Knicks vs Kings Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Healthier New York Starting to Look Elite Again

The Kings have shored up their perimeter defense a bit of late but still grade out as a poor defensive team beyond the arc on the season. The Knicks, by contrast, are one of the league's elite 3-point offenses. See how that informs our angle below.

Kenny Ducey - Betting Analyst at Covers
Kenny Ducey • Betting Analyst
Mar 16, 2024 • 16:05 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The New York Knicks are nearly back to full health and have come up with two statement wins since returning OG Anunoby to the starting lineup. Now, they’ll put that form to the test against an offensive-minded Sacramento Kings team that has reeled off four wins in five games.

Can New York keep it rolling here or will the Kings once again out-score a quality opponent as home favorites in the NBA odds?

Let's get right into it with our in-depth preview and NBA picks for Knicks vs. Knicks on Saturday, March 16.

Knicks vs Kings odds

Knicks vs Kings predictions

First off, the New York Knicks have proven to be a great team away from home this season. At 17-14 straight up and 16-13-2 against the spread, they’ve consistently brought their best stuff no matter the venue.

This is a team that was one of the hardest to figure out a month and a half ago before OG Anunoby and Julius Randle both went down with injuries before the All-Star break, leaving the team in a state of flux. The Knicks managed to stay afloat in the standings, but they lacked the quality we have seen over the last two games.

With that said, this has been a special run for New York over the last four even though its offense deserted it in a shocking loss to the Sixers. The Knicks have posted a special 90.5 defensive rating during that time and have won three of those contests, with the one being their worst offensive showing of the year by a wide margin.

The good news is the Sacramento Kings rank 20th in defensive efficiency, though they’ve brought that up to 13th in March as they’ve won five of seven. The key to their success on that end has come inside, with the 3-point line still representing a massive liability at 39% over the seven games.

The Knicks are taking the majority of their shots from three this season — the 10th-highest mark in the league, in fact, according to Cleaning the Glass, while Sacramento sits even higher in fourth. This will come down to who can defend the three better, and the Knicks have been the best team in the NBA this month in that regard.

Sacramento is shooting the lights out from deep at home this year, knocking down 38.2% of looks, but despite the solid play of late, it is shooting just 36% this month per Cleaning the Glass. The Knicks should have the matchup advantage, and their offense will not only shine against a porous defense but is one that we should begin to see return to dominance now that Anunoby is back in the fold.

My best bet: Knicks +4 (-110 at Caesars)

Knicks vs Kings same-game parlay

Knicks +3.5

Donte DiVincenzo 4+ made threes

Domantas Sabonis Uncer 19.5 points

We noted the Kings have continued to struggle at defending the 3-point line in recent games despite some improvements on that end, so I will look to attack their biggest weakness here with New York’s top 3-point threat in Donte DiVincenzo.

The Villanova product’s shooting volume has never been in question this season, and even with Anunoby's return, he’s taken 17 shots from deep over the last two games. While those are not quite the gaudy numbers we’d been seeing with the Knicks incredibly shorthanded, we can still count on him to shoot enough to take advantage of a great matchup. You’d have killed to get this line on him to hit four triples just a few weeks ago, and now that he’s gone through a short five-game shooting slump, we have the chance to buy back in against a bad perimeter defense.

Next up, I’ll be shorting Domantas Sabonis after a tough 17-point showing against a great Lakers interior defense. The Knicks sit atop the league in rim defense by a considerable margin this month and have been a Top-5 team in that area pretty much all season long. Considering the path to victory here will lie beyond the arc, I think we’ll see far more distributing from Sabonis and less scoring.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Knicks vs Kings spread and Over/Under analysis

The story here with the line has been pretty straightforward. Bettors are flocking toward the Kings amid a hot streak, taking them from 2-2.5-point favorites upon opening and pushing them to three points early on Saturday before the line has jumped to 3.5 and even four at some shops.

The movement on the total was a little funky at first, opening at 220.5 and moving briefly to 221 before steadily falling to where it sits now at 217.

As you might guess, the splits at DraftKings are rather lopsided. Just 26% of the tickets and 25% of the money on the spread have come in on the Knicks, and while just 44% of the bets are backing the Under that line has taken on a whopping 67% of the handle.

Knicks vs Kings betting trend to know

The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 41 games (+22.10 Units / 49% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Kings.

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Knicks vs Kings game info

Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Date: Saturday, March 16, 2024
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: MSG, NBCS-CA

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Kenny Ducey - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University's WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis - twice covering the NBA Finals.

He's been in the betting space for seven years, and has established himself as a top expert in MLB and tennis handicapping with brands like Tennis Channel, NBC Sports, and DraftKings. He's also been a frequent guest on betting shows such as MLB's Bettor's Eye and Tennis Bets Live.

Kenny has a knack for identifying underappreciated pitchers and tennis players as moneyline underdogs and credits his unique data analysis and hours of watching sports as the biggest reasons for success through the years. His best advice to bettors? Watch the games, trust your eye, and always question the public narrative.

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