The Minnesota Timberwolves need a get-right game. They have lost three of their last four despite being favored in all three of those, and each loss was costly in a tight race to escape the Western Conference Play-In Tournament.
The Phoenix Suns are simply trying to make the Play-In, and there may be no one worse for them to play than Minnesota.
My Suns vs. Timberwolves predictions trust the home favorites to continue their winning streak in this matchup, in particular because of one player’s pettiness. Find out more in my NBA picks for Friday, March 28.
Suns vs Timberwolves prediction
My best bet: Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 steals (+165 at bet365)
My analysis
Hate is an unhealthy emotion. It is bad for all parties involved. Hating someone does not lead to anything constructive in your life.
But for all rules, there are exceptions to prove them.
Jaden McDaniels’s hate of the Phoenix Suns is the exception, proving the rule of hate being an unhealthy and unproductive emotion. For McDaniels, that hate sits on the surface as the only emotion he ever shows, and it has played a significant part in the Minnesota Timberwolves' seven-game winning streak against the Suns.
In the three head-to-head matchups this season, McDaniels has cleared this prop each time, snagging three steals in two of the tilts. His loathing of Devin Booker manifests itself in fast hands.
When Anthony Edwards once said, “They got KD, but we got Jaden McDaniels,” the fifth-year wing took that as license to swipe at Kevin Durant’s handle. Bol Bol may as well be an advertisement to McDaniels for free possessions.
This is not hyperbole. McDaniels would rather smile in front of a camera — something he does about twice a season — than let Booker successfully whine to a ref. Meanwhile, Bradley Beal is probably on the [censored profanity] list after he dangerously shoved Edwards in mid-air to end their most recent meeting, a blowout in Phoenix on March 2.
Even if you want to dismiss this truth, realize that McDaniels has cashed this prop in 10 of 17 games since the All-Star Break.
But mostly, avoid hate in your life, unless it is a chance to capitalize on McDaniels’s seething hatred for Phoenix.
Suns vs Timberwolves same-game parlay
Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 steals
Jaden McDaniels Over 5.5 rebounds
Timberwolves moneyline
The Suns are just a good matchup for McDaniels, in addition to that unhealthy piece of hate. He has cleared this prop in each of his last two games against Phoenix, as well as in four of Minnesota’s seven straight wins against the Suns.
Why? It's partly because Royce O’Neale and Mason Plumlee are the best rebounders in the rotation, and McDaniels can reach over each of them for boards.
Seven straight wins against the Suns is not reason enough to bet the Timberwolves to reach an eighth, but given Minnesota has had three full days off and desperately needs to right its ship, the seven-point favorite should at least prevail.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Suns vs Timberwolves odds
Suns vs Timberwolves live odds
Suns vs Timberwolves opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix +7 | Minnesota -7
- Moneyline: Phoenix +240 | Minnesota -300
- Over/Under: Over 226 | Under 226
Odds courtesy of bet365
Suns vs Timberwolves spread and Over/Under analysis
- Minnesota opened as a seven-point favorite, and this line did not move aside from a few moments pondering -6.5.
- This total opened at 226 and reached 227 late Thursday night before a Friday morning dip to 225.
- The total continued to fall in the morning, then reaching 224 and 224.5 at lunch, perhaps further argument in favor of the Timberwolves’ ethos.
Suns vs Timberwolves trend
In addition to being 7-0 against the Suns since the start of last year’s playoffs, the Timberwolves are 6-1 against the spread in that stretch. Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Timberwolves.
How to watch Suns vs Timberwolves
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Friday, 3-28-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Arizona's Family 3TV, FanDuel Sports Network - North |
Suns vs Timberwolves latest injuries
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