Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s NBA Game

It's the Kyrie Irving show in Dallas right now, and he should continue to pile in the points vs. a Golden State squad that's been exposed time and again by point guards of late, per our NBA betting picks.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst
Feb 23, 2025 • 10:10 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 1 hrs
GS
35 %
DAL
65 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 points (-115) Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 points (-115)
Read Analysis
Kyrie Irving Dallas Mavericks NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Kyrie Irving controls the ball.

The shorthanded Mavericks reeled off some surprising wins before the All-Star break, and the team picked back up where it left off after the break with a win over the Pelicans on Friday. The Warriors have won two in a row and four of five, and they’ll be home after seven games on the road. 

My Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions expect Kyrie Irving to stay hot on offense as he leads his team into Chase Center. Read my NBA picks to see why you should take the Over on Kyrie’s scoring prop on Sunday, February 23.

Mavericks vs Warriors prediction

My best bet
Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 points (-115 at bet365)

My analysis
The Dallas Mavericks have won three straight and five of six. Despite dealing with numerous key injuries, the Mavs have been competitive thanks in large part to Kyrie Irving’s exploits. 

Heading into today’s showdown, Irving has scored 30 in three straight. He’s only hit the Over on this scoring line in 16 of 45 games on the season, but he’s been ultra-productive as of late. Across his last seven, he’s averaged 28.7 points and hit the Over five times. Over his last 13, he’s hit the Over seven times. 

Irving has hit the Over in one of three matchups with the Golden State Warriors this season, doing so with a 42-point eruption in his last game against the Dubs at home. Dating back to the 2021-22 campaign, Irving has averaged 27.8 points against the Warriors in five tries.

Golden State’s defense has been quite generous to opposing PGs. The Warriors have allowed just 23.4 points per game to the position on the season, but over the last seven, that number has jumped to 28.6. 

With no Luka Doncic and an injured Anthony Davis, Irving is front-and-center as the team’s go-to option on offense. Klay Thompson should be able to help while playing in a familiar environment, and Max Christie has been phenomenal in his brief time with Dallas, but this is Irving’s team right now.

Over the last three weeks, Irving’s 27.7 usage rate and 40.7 minutes per game comfortably lead the team. I expect him to score at will in this favorable matchup as he does his best to keep Dallas competitive against the new-look Warriors on the road.

Mavericks vs Warriors same-game parlay

Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 points

Klay Thompson Over 14.5 points

Stephen Curry Over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists

Thompson has hit the Over on this scoring prop in 22 of 49 games this season, reaching that mark 11 times on the road. He’s scored 15 or more in three of his last five, and I expect him to do it against his former team today.

Thompson posted 17 points in a home matchup with the Warriors this season, but he finished with 22 and 29 in two trips back to the Bay. This is an easy Over.

Stephen Curry has overcome a sluggish start to the season, and he’s been on a roll as of late. Across his last seven, the Chef has been cooking with averages of 30.4 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 5.4 assists. In that seven-game span, he’s hit the Over five times.

The Mavs have allowed 38.9 PRAs to opposing PGs this season, including 39.9 across their last 15. I’m betting on him staying productive against a depleted Mavericks team that’s been surprisingly competitive.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Mavericks vs Warriors odds

Mavericks vs Warriors live odds

Mavericks vs Warriors opening odds

  • Spread: Dallas +9 (-110) | Golden State -9 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Dallas +280 | Golden State -360
  • Over/Under: Over 230 (-110) | Under 230 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365

Mavericks vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Dallas has covered in five of its last six games.
  • Golden State is 4-1 ATS across its last five.
  • The Mavericks have hit the Under in three of their last six.
  • The Warriors are 3-2 to the Over across their last five.

Mavericks vs Warriors trend

The Mavericks have covered the spread in 57 of their last 99 games (+14.10 Units / 13% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Warriors.

How to watch Mavericks vs Warriors

Location Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date Sunday, 2-23-2025
Tip-off 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Mavericks vs Warriors latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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