NBA Player Props Today for 11-15: New Orleans Needs Ingram's Scoring

With injuries still piling up for the Pelicans, our NBA prop picks expect Brandon Ingram to carry the scoring load.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 15, 2024 • 13:59 ET • 4 min read
Brandon Ingram New Orleans Pelicans NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

After just one NBA game last night, we've got a whopping 12 games on the hardwood this Friday which means hundreds of NBA player props to consider. I dig into the matchups to find you some of the best NBA picks, and tonight, I'm betting on Brandon Ingram to carry the scoring load for a depleted Pelicans squad.

I'm also backing Hawks rookie Alexandre Sarr while fading Raptors point guard Davion Mitchell.

Best NBA player props today

Picks made on 11-15 at 1:30 p.m. ET.

NBA player props for November 15

Prop bet #1: Alexandre Sarr Over 1.5 blocks

-165 at bet365

Rookie Alexandre Sarr is still trying to find his footing in the NBA, but he has been consistent in one area: blocking shots. The 7-footer is averaging 2.3 blocks per game and has swatted away at least two shots in eight of 10 contests this year.

Today, Sarr and the Washington Wizards host the Atlanta Hawks. Both teams play at a blazing-fast pace, ranking second and fourth in the league in pace, which will mean plenty of possessions.

The Hawks also attack the rim at the third-highest frequency in the NBA, per ShotQuality Bets, which should result in more shot-blocking opportunities for Sarr.

Prop bet #2: Davion Mitchell Under 10.5 points

-115 at bet365

With Immanuel Quickley and Scottie Barnes sidelined, Davion Mitchell has become the Toronto Raptors' top ball-handler, but that hasn't led to many field goal attempts or points. Mitchell hasn't scored more than seven points in his last three games, and he's coming off a contest where he scored just a single point on two field goal attempts in 33 minutes. 

Today, Mitchell will be facing a Detroit Pistons squad that's been surprisingly competitive this year. 

The Pistons were 25th in the league in opponent effective field goal percentage (55.8%) and defensive efficiency last year, but they've embraced the defensive philosophy of new head coach J. B. Bickerstaff.

They're eighth in the league in opponent EFG% (53%) this season while ranking 11th in defensive rating. The Pistons also play at the sixth-slowest pace in the NBA, which will lead to even fewer scoring opportunities for Mitchell.

Prop bet #3: Brandon Ingram Over 24.5 points

-115 at bet365

Brandon Ingram was limited to 18 points on 7-18 shooting in Oklahoma City on Wednesday but that was against the league's best defensive team in the Thunder.

He should find it much easier to get buckets at home against a Denver Nuggets squad that ranks 19th in the league in defensive rating and plays at the sixth-fastest pace. The Nuggets have allowed a whopping 121.1 ppg over their last eight games despite facing several terrible teams like the Raptors (twice) and Jazz. 

To nobody's surprise, Zion Williamson is once again sidelined by an injury, and guards CJ McCollum and Dejounte Murray remain out. That will mean a sky-high usage rate and a ton of shots for Ingram, who's averaging 22.5 ppg on 19.2 shots per game.

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NBA odds today

Here are the full NBA odds for all of today’s matchups.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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