It's an all-Texas showdown tonight as Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs visit the Houston Rockets at the Toyota Center.
My Spurs vs Rockets predictions have Alperen Sengun continuing his dominance on the boards with another big game.
Keep reading for my NBA picks for Wednesday, November 6.
Spurs vs Rockets prediction
My best bet
Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 rebounds (-115 at bet365)
My analysis
Alperen Sengun is proving to be a franchise pillar for the Houston Rockets. He took a massive jump in 2023-24, averaging career-highs across the board of 21.1 points, 9.4 rebounds, and 5.0 assists per night.
So far this season, he’s putting up 16.4 ppg, 3.9 apg, and 12.3 rpg. The focus here will be his dominance on the boards.
At 6-foot-11, Sengun is a large man. He uses his length and strength well down low to make his presence felt on the glass. The Turkish-born center has hit the Over in rebounds in three of his last four appearances, bringing down 14 boards in an impressive win over the Knicks on Monday.
In fact, he’s hit the Over in rebounds in five of the seven games this season. Sure, you can say he’s playing against Wemby so perhaps it won’t be a banner day for Sengun inside, but he also averaged 13 boards across three outings vs. San Antonio last season.
This bet feels like a no-brainer given how much of an impact Sengun has in the Houston frontcourt.
Spurs vs Rockets same-game parlay
Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 rebounds
Chris Paul Over 8.5 assists
Under 212.5 points
Chris Paul has been the perfect addition to a young Spurs team led by Victor Wembanyama. He’s the type of player Coach Pop absolutely loves, and CP3 is already thriving in San Antonio. The Point God is averaging a mere 11.7 points, but he’s dishing out 8.7 dimes per night.
Paul has been playmaking at a high level for most of the season. He’s hit the Over in assists in four outings in a row, dropping 10, 13,10, and nine dimes.
We’re looking at two solid defensive teams here. The Spurs are third in defensive rating, while the Rockets are ninth. Offensively, they’re not as brilliant, scoring 105.8 ppg (28th) and 111.9 (18th), respectively.
Five straight meetings between San Antonio and Houston hit the Under in points dating back to last December. The Under has also hit in five of the Rockets’ seven contests, while the Spurs are 3-4 on the O/U.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Spurs vs Rockets odds
Spurs vs Rockets live odds
Spurs vs Rockets opening odds
- Spread: San Antonio +5.5 (-110) | Houston -5.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: San Antonio +190 | Houston -230
- Over/Under: Over 216.5 (-110) | Under 216.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Spurs vs Rockets spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Rockets and Spurs are 4-3 ATS.
- The Under has cashed in five consecutive meetings.
- Houston hasn’t covered this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.
Spurs vs Rockets trend
The Rockets have only covered the fourth-quarter spread in nine of their last 33 games at home (-16.30 Units / -43% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Rockets.
How to watch Spurs vs Rockets
| Location: | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-6-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FDSNSW, SCHN |
Spurs vs Rockets latest injuries
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