The Phoenix Suns are red-hot as they ride a six-game win streak into American Airlines Arena tonight.
Although the Dallas Mavericks have gotten the better of Phoenix more often than not over the last two seasons, my Suns vs. Mavericks predictions expect the visiting team to steal a win on the road. Find out more in my NBA picks for Friday, November 8.
Suns vs Mavericks prediction
My best bet
Suns moneyline (+155 at bet365)
My analysis
The Phoenix Suns will look to extend their win streak tonight, and I’m betting on the Suns continuing to shine against the Dallas Mavericks.
The Suns are the underdogs in this one, which makes the moneyline bet more profitable than backing them on the spread. Phoenix has covered in just two of eight games this season, so I wouldn’t have leaned into that pick regardless.
Since losing to the Lakers in the second game of the season, the Suns’ win streak has included victories over the Heat, Clippers, Lakers, and the Mavericks.
After an injury-riddled 2023-24 campaign, Phoenix is surprisingly healthy for Friday’s showdown, but the same can’t be said of Dallas. The Mavericks will be down Dereck Lively II and P.J. Washington, who are two key defenders and rebounders.
Playing at full strength with Kevin Durant and Devin Booker at the top of their games, I’m taking Phoenix to win this one outright.
Suns vs Mavericks same-game parlay
Suns moneyline
Kevin Durant Over 24.5 points
Under 231
Durant leads the Suns in scoring this season at 27.8 points per game, and just like his team, he’s been hot lately. Durant has scored at least 32 points in back-to-back games, and he’s eclipsed 30 points five times this season.
KD’s scoring prop is set at 25.5, but we can get it with shorter odds at 24.5 and add it to our parlay for a little extra security. Durant has scored at least 25 in six of eight, including 31 against Dallas in his first meeting with the Mavs earlier this season.
The Under has hit in seven of the last 10 head-to-head matchups, including a combined 216 points when the teams met earlier in the season. This is a pretty lofty point total, considering Phoenix has gone Under 231 in two of its last three and Dallas has hit the Under in three of its past four.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Suns vs Mavericks odds
Suns vs Mavericks live odds
Suns vs Mavericks opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix +3 (-110) | Dallas -3 (-110)
- Moneyline: Phoenix +130 | Dallas (-155)
- Over/Under: Over 231 (-110) | Under 231 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Suns vs Mavericks spread and Over/Under analysis
- Phoenix is 7-1 straight up thanks to a six-game win streak, but the Suns are just 2-6 ATS.
- Dallas has won two of its last three to improve to 5-3, but the Mavs are just 4-4 ATS this season.
- The Suns rank 13th in fewest points allowed, but the team is 5-3 to the Over this season.
- The Mavericks’ defense has allowed the sixth-fewest points to opponents this season, and Dallas is 3-5 to the Under.
Suns vs Mavericks trend
Dallas won the 2023-24 regular-season series 2-1 and covered in two of those three matchups. Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Mavericks.
How to watch Suns vs Mavericks
| Location: | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Date: | Friday, 11-8-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
Suns vs Mavericks latest injuries
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