Florida-Atlantic vs San Diego State Same-Game Parlay Picks

Same-game parlays, perhaps more than any other type of bet, drive revenue for sportsbooks. They’re not easy to hit, but the allure of cashing in big is quite appealing to sports bettors everywhere.

It's no different when trying to gain the upper hand on March Madness odds, but we are here to help you do just that for the Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State showdown in Saturday’s Final Four matchup.

Let's get right into it as we bring you our best same-game parlay picks for Saturday's first matchup. 

And for more March Madness picks, make sure to check out Rohit Ponnaiya's full betting analysis for Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State. 

FAU vs San Diego State same-game parlay picks

• Goldin u8.5 pts + Boyd o3.5 rebounds + LeDee o3.5 rebounds (+238)
• FAU +2.5 points + SDSU TT u67.5 + Goldin o5.5 rebounds + Martin o11.5 points (+489)

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Parlay Pick 1

Vlad Goldin u8.5 pts + Nicholas Boyd o3.5 rebounds + Jaedon LeDee o3.5 rebounds (+238 at FanDuel)

While Creighton center Ryan Kalkbrenner scored 17 points in their regional final defeat to San Diego State, he needed 17 shot attempts to reach that mark. It was his second-worst shooting performance in months, as Nathan Mensah gave him fits. The SDSU big man should do the same against Florida-Atlantic’s man in the middle.

Against a similar defense in Tennessee, Vlad Goldin managed just three points and was able to attempt just three shots. As a team, FAU was limited to only 50 shot attempts, nearly 10 fewer than its per-game average this season. Additionally, Goldin’s only game with more than 8 points in his last six was against Kansas State — also the only contest where he’s taken double-digit attempts.

When it comes to rebounding, Goldin often needs help from the four FAU guards around him.

That’s where Nicholas Boyd comes in.

The fourth-leading rebounder on the team this season, Boyd has upped his game in the postseason with 15 rebounds in the last two games and at least four boards in six of seven tournament games. In fact, his eight rebounds against Tennessee — the most similar opponent to SDSU — led all players in the game. Four rebounds should be easily attainable in this contest.

The last leg of our parlay switches over to the Aztecs. Jaedon LeDee is second on San Diego State this season with 5.3 rebounds per game, making him one of three players on the roster to average between five and six boards per game. So far through five NCAA Tournament games, LeDee's averaging 7.2 rebounds with at least four in each game.

FAU ranks 72nd in the nation in offensive rebound rate, and San Diego State will likely be emphasizing attacking the glass with effort. Four rebounds should be the floor for LeDee in this one.

Parlay Pick 2

FAU +2.5 points + SDSU TT u67.5 + Vlad Goldin o5.5 rebounds + Alijah Martin o11.5 points (+489 at FanDuel)

I’ve mentioned before that FAU faced a similar team to the one it will face on Saturday night in SDSU when the Owls defeated Tennessee in the Sweet 16. Those similarities extend to both ends of the court.

However, FAU’s defense shouldn’t be slept on either. The Owls rank 58th in college basketball in limiting teams to just one shot per trip, plus they take care of the basketball and their 0.35 assists per field goal made is the second-lowest total in the country.

The Owls also rank in the Top 20 in opponent effective FG%, opponent 2-point shooting, and opponent shooting efficiency. Inside, the Owls block one of every 25 shot attempts faced (the 10th-best mark in the nation), and record a steal once every 13.5 plays.

That’s a problem for the Aztecs. They’re one of the best teams at scoring in the mid-range, but their effective FG% ranks 223rd. SDSU also ranks 111th in assist-to-turnover ratio and just 239th in 2-pt shooting percentage.

While I think FAU wins, play it safe with the parlay and take the Owls to cover. This should also be a somewhat methodical game if the Aztecs hope to prevail, and they’re not built to score in bunches.

Therefore, we will pair the spread with a low team total for the Aztecs. Their TT of 67.5 is a number that Tennessee didn’t sniff and Memphis failed to hit. More importantly, Creighton held them to just 57 points, and it took late free throws for them to top that number against Alabama’s top-ranked effective FG% defense.

The last two legs tie into a strong FAU performance. Goldin has averaged 8.25 rebounds through the first four games of the tournament, including seven against Tennessee. He will have three inches on Mensah, and while I expect Goldin to struggle offensively, I don’t see him being held anywhere short of six boards.

If the Owls are going to cover or win, then Alijah Martin will need to continue his outstanding tournament play. He’s hit double-digits in five of his seven postseason games and scored nine against the Vols on just six shots.

I like Martin's floor at 12, so add that to the parlay and enjoy a solid profit.

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