Get set for the final Tuesday night of MACtion action when the Kent State Golden Flashes meet the high-scoring Buffalo Bulls.
Tuesday’s clash features two defenses that have seen better days, and my Kent State vs. Buffalo predictions expect both offenses to hum at UB Stadium.
Read on as I explain why my college football picks like the Over on Tuesday, November 26 with kickoff set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Kent State vs Buffalo prediction and best bet
My best bet
Over 49.5 (-108 at bet365)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
The Kent State Golden Flashes haven’t won a football game since September 16, 2023. For those counting at home, that's 20 straight losses.
Kent State is more like flickers than flashes. The offense has some bright spots, like the arm of junior quarterback Tommy Ulatowski, but not much else.
The Buffalo Bulls defense is sketchy, surrendering 30+ in three of their previous five with the 11th-worst passing defense in the MAC. So even a paltry attack like Kent State's could help run up the score.
The Golden Flashes might own the conference’s worst offense, but Kent State has had some excellent individual efforts. Wideouts Chrishon McCray and Luke Floriea have combined to catch 15 scoring strikes, and running back Ky Thomas has over 500 rushing yards.
They’ll score 10+ points if Kent State can keep Ulatowski upright. The Golden Flashes allow a conference-worst 37 sacks, but Buffalo doesn’t offer much in the way of a pass rush.
For all of its folly on the defensive side of the ball, the Buffalo offense scores big.
Bulls senior quarterback C.J. Ogbonna has thrown over 2,000 passing yards with 16 scoring strikes. He boasts two wideouts with 500+ receiving yards, and RB Al-Jay Henderson has 700+ rushing yards with seven TDs.
Kent State owns the conference's worst defense. They’ll get shelled by a multi-faceted Buffaloes offense that has averaged 28 points per night with 37+ points in four of its last five MAC games.
Fortunately for Kent State, the Buffalo defense is equally as bad. The Golden Flashes have enough bright spots that I expect them to score at least 10 points against a bad Bulls defense. That should lead to more than 49 points, so I am playing the Over on Tuesday
Kent State vs Buffalo same-game parlay (SGP)
Over 49.5
Al-Jay Henderson anytime touchdown
Buffalo -20.5
Henderson, the Bulls junior running back, is playing his final home game of the season and maybe the final home game of his Bulls career.
He’s scored seven rushing touchdowns, including one last week at Eastern Michigan. He also has 17 receptions with one receiving TD and meets a Kent State defense, allowing 33 rushing TDs and 24 passing touchdowns.
That leaky Kent State defense will allow Buffalo to cover the spread. Neither group is covering above 50%, but Buffalo has scored 92 points in its last two at home and should end with a lopsided victory.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Kent State vs Buffalo odds
Kent State vs Buffalo live odds
Kent State vs Buffalo opening odds
- Kent State vs. Buffalo spread: Buffalo -21 (-110)
- Kent State vs. Buffalo moneyline: Kent State +950, Buffalo -1,700
- Kent State vs. Buffalo Over/Under: 50.5
Kent State vs Buffalo spread and Over/Under analysis
- Kent State is 2-3-0 against the spread across its last five but 3-2-0 ATS in its previous five meetings with Buffalo.
- Buffalo is also 2-3-0 ATS in its previous five but 3-2-0 in their last five at UB Stadium.
- We’ve seen a slight dip from the 50.5 (-110) opener.
- Kent State boasts an Over/Under record of 5-5-0 in its last 10 games, while Buffalo is 7-2-1 to the over in its previous 10 games.
Kent State vs Buffalo betting trend to know
Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in their last seven games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Kent State vs Buffalo.
Kent State vs Buffalo game info
| Location: | UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY |
| Date: | Tuesday, 11-26-2024 |
| Kickoff: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN+ |
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