Get set for an exciting Friday night of American Athletic Conference football when the North Texas Mean Green meet the UTSA Roadrunners at the historic Alamodome.
This electric matchup features two top passing offenses in the AAC, and my North Texas vs. UTSA predictions expect the Roadrunners to prevail in a shootout.
Read on as I break down my free college football picks for Wednesday, November 13.
North Texas vs UTSA prediction and best bet
My best bet
UTSA moneyline (+100 at BetMGM)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
While the North Texas Mean Green rank third in the nation in total yards (503), their hopes of becoming Bowl-eligible should end on Friday night.
The UTSA Roadrunners’ offense has been clicking on all cylinders this season, averaging 30 points per night. Sophomore quarterback Owen McCown boasts 20 touchdown passes and has spread the ball out to four teammates who have snagged 270+ in receiving yards.
Although both defenses are quite weak, the Roadrunners are 4-0 at home, and UTSA possesses the second-best rushing defense in the AAC. They will now face a North Texas rushing defense that surrenders nearly 200 yards per night.
The Roadrunners have also won three straight against North Texas. UTSA is tidier with the rock and boasts 14 takeaways this season, so it'll wreak enough havoc on the defensive end to outscore the Mean Green.
I expect UTSA to find success on the ground, which should open the door for a big passing night for McCown & Co. to secure the win.
North Texas vs UTSA same-game parlay (SGP)
UTSA moneyline
UTSA team total Over 35.5
North Texas team total Under 37.5
UTSA has eclipsed this number in each of its last three, as the Roadrunners' offense has been on point. McCown is seeing the field well with 10 passing touchdowns, and he now faces a North Texas defense allowing 36+ points in three of its previous four.
Meanwhile, Mean Green QB Chandler Morris is up against an opportunistic UTSA defense that boasted 14 gained turnovers while leading the conference with 14 forced fumbles. North Texas has cleared 38 points only once across their previous four, and I'm fading them on Friday.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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North Texas vs UTSA odds
North Texas vs UTSA live odds
North Texas vs UTSA opening odds
- North Texas vs. UTSA spread: UTSA +2.5
- North Texas vs. UTSA moneyline: North Texas -125, UTSA +105
- North Texas vs. UTSA Over/Under: 71.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
North Texas vs UTSA spread and Over/Under analysis
- North Texas is 2-3-0 ATS in its past five games and opened by nearly a field goal. That number has dipped to as low as -1 (-110).
- UTSA is 2-3-0 across its last five and is 2-2-1 ATS in its last five head-to-head matchups against North Texas.
- The total has ballooned to as high as 72.5, and both programs are 4-1-0 to the Over in their last five.
North Texas vs UTSA betting trend to know
The Roadrunners have hit the moneyline in their last four games at home (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for North Texas vs UTSA.
North Texas vs UTSA game info
| Location: | Alamodome, San Antonio, TX |
| Date: | Friday, 11-15, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN2 |
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