College Football Week 9 Parlay Picks & SGP: Buffs Beat Cincy in Explosive Affair

The Colorado Buffaloes continue to turn heads, and we have an SGP for their Week 9 matchup against the Cincinnati Bearcats.

Ed Scimia - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Oct 24, 2024 • 12:47 ET • 4 min read
LaJohntay Wester Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images

November is almost here — meaning the first official release of College Football Playoff rankings — and there are plenty of relevant games for us to handicap in my Week 9 parlay picks.

I break down three matchups and look at an SGP focused on the Colorado Buffaloes in my free college football picks for Week 9 of the season.

Best college football parlays for Week 9

Best Week 9 parlay

Navy +13.5

Ohio State -25.5

Penn State moneyline

Along with the Army Black Knights, Navy has been one of the biggest surprises of the 2024 season. This year marks the first time both military academies have been ranked since 1960, and both remain undefeated to this point.

That will likely end for Navy on Saturday, as Notre Dame is a huge step up in competition for the Midshipmen. But there’s no reason to think Navy can’t be competitive even against a strong opponent. The Midshipmen have covered in each of their last five games and should be in this contest in the fourth quarter.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers saw a lot of the shine come off their season last week when the Indiana Hoosiers absolutely demolished them 56-7. There’s no rest for the Cornhuskers, as they face an angry Ohio State this week.

Outside of the Buckeyes' loss to Oregon, nobody has stayed even close to them, as they’ve won every other game by at least four touchdowns. I’m taking Ohio State to cover even with the 25.5-point spread.

Finally, I’m adding in a bet on Penn State to win outright against the Wisconsin Badgers.

The undefeated Nittany Lions did need a comeback to beat the USC Trojans last week, but they should have more than enough to at least eek out a win against Wisconsin, which didn’t come close to challenging its toughest two opponents in USC and Alabama this season. 

Best Week 9 SGP

Colorado moneyline

Over 57.5

LaJohntay Wester anytime touchdown

Don’t look now, but Colorado is actually good! Not that good, of course: While the Buffaloes have a 5-2 record, losses to Nebraska and the Kansas State Wildcats showed their limitations. 

Still, Coach Prime has certainly fostered improvement at Colorado, which will almost certainly go to a bowl game this year. 

The Buffs are still outside for a playoff spot, as are the Cincinnati Bearcats. Both teams have two losses, so this is likely a playoff eliminator, and Colorado should have the edge here.

While Cincinnati has won four of five, it hasn't shown me it has the talent to beat the Buffaloes in Colorado, with the home team having the higher ceiling thanks to its star power at key positions.

Let’s pair that with a bet on the Over. The Cincinnati offense will give Colorado fits, as it's averaging 451.4 yards per game and can attack both on the ground and through the air. 

The Buffaloes defense has been fine, allowing just 21.9 ppg, but ranks outside the Top 50 in virtually every relevant defensive category, suggesting they’re not as good as their scoring numbers suggest. Meanwhile, Shedeur Sanders should have little trouble lighting up the Bearcats, who allow 7.7 yards per pass attempt and might be even worse against the run. 

Travis Hunter may get all the attention on the Buffaloes — for good reason, as he’s an incredible two-way player — but he’s been limited in the passing game in recent weeks.

Meanwhile, Wester has scored seven times this year, including in five of the last six Colorado games. Wester offers more value on an anytime TD bet, and I expect him to find the endzone on Saturday. 

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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