The favorites had their way with the NFL odds board last week as they went 11-3 depending on the sportsbook you play at.
This week, we've got plenty of close spreads to choose from as just one game falls outside of a touchdown.
Join me as I break down the NFL slate and give my best NFL picks for Week 7.
Week 7 picks against the spread
Matchup | Pick |
---|---|
Broncos vs Saints | (-2) |
Patriots vs Jaguars | (-5.5) |
Lions vs Vikings | (-2.5) |
Texans vs Packers | (+3) |
Seahawks vs Falcons | (-3) |
Titans vs Bills | (-8.5) |
Eagles vs Giants | (-3) |
Bengals vs Browns | (-6) |
Dolphins vs Colts | (-3.5) |
Panthers vs Commanders | (+7.5) |
Raiders vs Rams | (+7) |
Chiefs vs 49ers | (-1) |
Jets vs Steelers | (-1.5) |
Ravens vs Buccaneers | (+3.5) |
Chargers vs Cardinals | (-2.5) |
Lines courtesy of bet365 as of 10-15.
Week 7 ATS picks
Broncos vs. Saints
Broncos -2
While the Broncos may not be world-beaters, they enter TNF in a much better position than the Saints do. The Broncos own a Top 6 defense and should rattle Spencer Rattler all night long. I'll lay the short price here with the road favorite.
Patriots vs. Jaguars:
Jaguars -5.5
I'd like to believe there is a non-zero chance Doug Pederson gets left in London if the Jaguars lose this game. Fortunately for Doug, the Patriots stink just as much, if not more. Plug your nose and take Trevor Lawrence to outplay rookie, Drake Maye.
Lions vs. Vikings
Vikings -2.5
Things couldn't have gone better last week for the Lions as they hung 47 points on the Cowboys, but things are about to get tougher. Minnesota is fresh off a bye and boasts a Top 3 scoring defense. I'll side with the fresh home side here.
Texans vs. Packers
Texans +3
The Packers may be 4-2 but their last two wins have come against the Rams and Cardinals. This is a step up in class against a legit Super Bowl contender. Give me C.J. Stroud to outplay Jordan Love in this spot.
Seahawks vs. Falcons
Falcons -3
Times are tough in Seattle right now. The Seahawks have lost three straight and the defense has surrendered at least 29 points in all three losses. Flying across the country for an early start against a potent Falcons offense is not an ideal get-right spot. Falcons roll.
Titans vs. Bills
Bills -8.5
Doesn't this seem like one of those games where the Bills put up 40 points and win by 30? With the addition of Amari Cooper, Orchard Park will be rocking and the Titans will wish they never got off the bus.
Eagles vs. Giants
Eagles -3
It wasn't pretty at times for the Eagles in their 20-16 win vs. the Browns, but they simply have more playmakers than the Giants. Oh, and cue the Saquaon Barkley revenge game.
Bengals vs. Browns
Bengals -6
The Browns may have hung tough with the Eagles last week, but I'm not backing a team that just traded their best offensive player.
Dolphins vs. Colts
Colts -3.5
I am once again trusting Joe Flacco's eliteness.
Panthers vs. Commanders
Panthers +7.5
This may be the craziest pick of the week, but the Commanders just played their hearts out on the road and lost to Baltimore. Will they be up for a game against the terrible Panthers? I'll take the points here, hook included.
Raiders vs. Rams
Raiders +7
Maybe this is the craziest pick of the week. But let's break it down. The Raiders didn't exactly do much with Davante Adams in the lineup, so without him, the offense remains the same. The Rams should not be a touchdown favorite over anyone.
Chiefs vs. 49ers
49ers -1
Patrick Mahomes may own a sterling record as an underdog in his career, but this game feels more like a must-win for the 49ers than it does the Chiefs. I'll take the home side here with the more consistent offense.
Jets vs. Steelers
Jets -1.5
For some strange reason, the Jets went out and acquired Davante Adams, in hopes of making a playoff push. Well, for one week, I'll buy the new player bump against a Steelers team still playing over their head.
Ravens vs. Buccaneers
Buccaneers +3.5
This game should be one of the higher-scoring games of the week, so give me the home side catching the hook with 3.5. Both offenses can trade points, but it feels like a last-possession-wins type of game.
Chargers vs. Cardinals
Chargers -2.5
The Cardinals have dropped three of their last four and enter with a ton of injuries to key pieces. The Chargers found some success on the ground in Week 6 and should have similar success against the Cardinals' 29th-ranked run defense.
Not intended for use in MA.
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