We have the Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears at Tottenham Stadium in London on October 13, and my focus is on Caleb Williams' odds. The first overall pick faces a poor Jags’ defense and will be hoping to leave London with a win.
I’ve taken a long look at Williams-specific markets at various sportsbooks to find the very best ways for you to add him to your NFL picks.
Caleb Williams player prop picks
- Best bet
Over 244.5 passing yards
(-113 at BetMGM) - SGP Pick
Over 244.5 passing yards
Rome Odunze Over 40.5 receiving yards
Keenan Allen Over 4.5 receptions
(+310 at BetMGM)
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
Caleb Williams prop pick
My best bet
Over 244.5 passing yards (-113 at BetMGM)
My analysis
Caleb Williams has only gone Over 244.5 passing yards in two of his five games so far. That isn’t great, but upon closer inspection, there are reasons to be interested. Those two games have most been in the past three weeks. He put up 363 passing yards against the Colts in Indianapolis and 304 yards last time out against the Panthers.
The Colts and Panthers aren’t great against the pass, and Sunday’s opposition, the Jacksonville Jaguars, are the NFL’s worst team against the pass through the opening five weeks of the season.
Jacksonville's defense has been a sieve, stopping very little when attacked through the air. It's given up an average of 287.8 passing yards per game, over seven yards more than the next worst team. In the past two weeks, the Jags let divisional rivals Joe Flacco and CJ Stroud throw for 359 and 345 yards, respectively.
So far, Williams has steadily grown into life in the NFL. While his passing yardage totals have varied wildly from week to week, there has been consistent growth in his QB rating.
We’ve seen Williams increase his QBR every single week, from 55.7 in his opening game victory over the Titans to a fantastic 126.2 after last week’s win over the Panthers. He’s also gone two weeks without an interception as well as throwing five touchdown passes in the past three weeks after failing to do so in his opening two games as a Bear.
With Williams showing improvement each and every time that he puts on a Chicago uniform it should give us confidence in him throwing for Over 244.5 passing yards.
Caleb Williams same-game parlay
Caleb Williams Over 244.5 passing yards
Rome Odunze Over 40.5 receiving yards
Keenan Allen Over 4.5 receptions
In Williams’ two big performances against the Colts and Panthers we’ve seen Odunze get 112 yards and 40 yards, just a yard shy of the Over. He’s averaged 5.8 targets per game, and against this terrible secondary, he’s primed for a big Sunday.
Keenan Allen had a poor start to life as a Bear and has yet to hit five catches in a game, but that should change here. Firstly, he’s missed two games with injury and is now finally healthy.
Secondly, he has just failed to make catches. He’s only had under six targets in one of his three games and has had 20 targets in total. He should get the chance to make catches on Sunday, and against the Jaguars, he’s more than likely to be productive when the chances come.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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