Eagles vs Commanders Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets for NFL Week 16

Gilbert's best bet: Saquon Barkley is enjoying a career year heading into Sunday's contest against Washington, and the NFL's leading rusher is primed to keep dominating on the ground.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Dec 21, 2024 • 18:33 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 11 hrs
WAS
37 %
PHI
63 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Saquon Barkley o95.5 rushing yards (-110) Saquon Barkley o95.5 rushing yards (-110)
Read Analysis
Saquon Barkley Philadelphia Eagles NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley runs past Washington Commanders defenders.

The Washington Commanders return home to host the Philadelphia Eagles in an NFC East showdown on Sunday afternoon.

The Eagles have rattled off 10 wins in a row after starting the season 2-2. Read on to find out why my Eagles vs. Commanders predictions expect Philadelphia running back Saquon Barkley to keep rolling in my best NFL picks for December 22.

Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Northwest Stadium in Landover, with the game airing on FOX.

Eagles vs Commanders prediction

Eagles vs. Commanders spread prediction

The Eagles opened at -4 and have settled at -3.5 as of Friday afternoon, and that’s a spread I’m comfortable taking given how well Philly has played since the bye week. The Commanders have struggled against top teams and I expect that to continue here.

Eagles vs. Commanders moneyline prediction

I’m willing to lay the -3.5 with the Eagles, so I’m also taking them at -185 on the moneyline. The line has shifted throughout the week, moving from -190 to -165 and back up to -185 by Friday afternoon.

Eagles vs. Commanders total prediction

The total has also come down a point to 45.5 after opening at 46.5. The Eagles have surrendered 20 points or fewer in six straight games, including giving up just 13 last week to Pittsburgh. Washington’s offense has also struggled a bit in recent weeks, scoring just 20 points last time out in New Orleans.

My best bet
Saquon Barkley Over 95.5 rushing yards (-110 at BetMGM)

My analysis

Saquon Barkley is setting records and taking names in his first season with the Philadelphia Eagles. The superstar running back already broke the franchise record for rushing yards in a season and leads the NFL with 1,688 yards in 14 games — an average of 120.6 per game.

Barkley has eclipsed 100 yards in nine of 14 starts this season, including tallying 146 yards on 26 carries in the first meeting against the Washington Commanders. Although he had a bit of a down game last week with just 65 yards on 19 carries, he was facing an elite Pittsburgh Steelers stop unit.

Meanwhile, Washington has already allowed 96+ yards to James Conner, Derrick Henry, D’Andre Swift, and Barkley in 2024. Bank on Saquon to flex his muscles early and often in this NFC East clash. 

Eagles vs Commanders same-game parlay

Saquon Barkley Over 95.5 rushing yards

Saquon Barkley anytime touchdown

Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown

Barkley has gone two games without a touchdown, which is a long drought for him. He scored in three straight games before that and has found the end zone in seven of 14 games this season.

Jalen Hurts has actually outpaced Barkley with 14 rushing touchdowns, including in three straight and eight of his last nine games. The Eagles should be able to score reach paydirt a few times in this one.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Eagles vs Commanders odds

Eagles vs Commanders live odds

Eagles vs Commanders opening odds

  • Spread: Philadelphia -3.5 | Washington +3.5
  • Moneyline: Philadelphia -185 | Washington +150
  • Over/Under: Over 45.5 | Under 45.5

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Eagles vs Commanders spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The line has settled at -3.5 after opening at -4.5 earlier in the week.
  • The total has also come down a point to 45.5 after opening last week at 46.5. There were 44 points in the first meeting.
  • 64% of Covers Consensus users are backing Philadelphia on the spread, while 67% are taking the Over.

Eagles vs Commanders betting trend to know

Philadelphia has covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of its last 19 games (+8.35 Units / 37% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Eagles vs. Commanders.

Eagles vs Commanders game info

Location: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
Date: Sunday, 12-22, 2024
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Eagles vs Commanders latest injuries

Eagles vs Commanders weather

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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