The Chicago Bears and New England Patriots are both looking to get back on track after a few disappointing weeks. The Bears have lost two straight games while the Patriots came back down to Earth last week for their seventh loss in the last eight games.
Find out why my Patriots vs. Bears predictions expect Chicago running back D’Andre Swift to excel against New England in my best NFL picks for Sunday, November 10.
Patriots vs Bears prediction
My best bet
D’Andre Swift Over 71.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
My analysis
Chicago Bears running back D’Andre Swift only had 51 rushing yards last week, but he has a great matchup here against the New England Patriots defense. The Pats are allowing the seventh-most rushing yards in the league at 136.9 per game, and Swift has been able to go Over 71.5 rushing yards in most of his games this season.
Prior to last week’s dud in Arizona, Swift ran for 129, 91, 73, and 93 yards in his previous four games. Those last three all came at home, where the Bears seem to play well in front of their faithful fans.
Furthermore, the Patriots have allowed a running back to go Over 71.5 rushing yards in each of the past six weeks. Tony Pollard, Breece Hall, Tank Bigsby, Joe Mixon, Dameon Pierce, Jaylen Wright, Raheem Mostert, and Jordan Mason have all ran for at least 75 yards against the Patriots.
The game script should also lead to the Bears attempting to run the clock in the second half, which means more opportunities for Swift to take off.
Patriots vs Bears same-game parlay
D’Andre Swift Over 71.5 rushing yards
D’Andre Swift anytime TD
Bears moneyline
I’m going to keep it simple with this same-game parlay. Swift found the end zone in four straight games before last week, including each of the last three games at Soldier Field.
The Bears are looking to bounce back, and while they may not cover the -6, they should get the dub at home.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Patriots vs Bears odds
Patriots vs Bears live odds
Patriots vs Bears opening odds
- Spread: New England +7 | Chicago -7
- Moneyline: New England +260 | Chicago -350
- Over/Under: Over 39.5 | Under 39.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Patriots vs Bears spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Bears opened as 7-point favorites and got bet down all the way to -5.5 on Wednesday before settling at -6 as of Friday afternoon.
- The Bears are favored for just the fourth time this season and this -6 spread is the biggest margin yet. They’ve been great at home, though, going 4-0 with a few commanding wins over decent teams.
- The total has moved down just a point from opening at 39.5 to 38.5 as of Friday.
- The total is set at a very low 38.5 and the Bears have scored 24 points or more in all four home games, including at least 35 in two contests. Take the Over 38.5 here in the hopes of a 27-17 type of win for Chicago.
Patriots vs Bears betting trend to know
The Bears have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games at home (+9.00 Units / 80% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Patriots vs. Bears.
Patriots vs Bears game info
| Location: | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date: | Sunday, 11-10-2024 |
| Kickoff: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
Patriots vs Bears latest injuries
Patriots vs Bears weather
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