With Super Bowl odds expecting plenty of offensive fireworks at Super Bowl 57, we're seeing a lot of elevated Super Bowl player props. But with the Eagles and Chiefs boasting high-scoring offenses and question marks regarding both defenses, there might be even more value in other Super Bowl betting markets.
Here's why I'm looking at the "both teams to score 20 points" prop as a part of my Super Bowl picks.
Super Bowl 57 prop odds: Both teams to score 20 points
The odds below represent the best odds available for this Super Bowl props market from regulated sportsbooks in your region.
| Super Bowl 57 prop | Odds |
| Both teams to score 20 points | -140 |
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Super Bowl 57 Both teams to score 20 points pick
- Both teams to score 20 points (-140 at bet365)
Pick made on February 9, 2023.
It's not very surprising that the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles are tied for first in the NFL with 28.7 ppg during both the regular season and playoffs. What is surprising is that while both teams rolled through the season and are meeting in the Super Bowl, they've been vulnerable defensively.
The Chiefs were 16th in the league in scoring defense (21.7 ppg allowed) during the regular season, and they've allowed fewer than 20 points in just five of 19 total games. Two of those contests came against the Jaguars and Seahawks, while the other three came against the Rams, Raiders, and Titans, who were starting Bryce Perkins, Jarrett Stidham, and Malik Willis, respectively, at quarterback.
They'll have a much tougher time slowing down this Eagles attack led by Jalen Hurts, who was the NFL MVP favorite until he missed Weeks 15 and 16 with a shoulder injury. Hurts' mobility gives the Chiefs' defense a different sort of threat to deal with, and it's a wrinkle they haven't faced much this season.
The Eagles' offense also doesn't seem to have any weaknesses. Their ground game led the NFL in rush EPA/play and DVOA, while their aerial attack features a pair of 1,000-yard receivers in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Both areas benefit from an offensive line that might be the best in the league.
Statistically, Philadelpia's defense is significantly better than Kansas City's, and the Eagles allowed a stingy 20.2 ppg during the regular season.
However, since Week 6, they've played just four games against teams in the Top 14 of the league in ppg; two contests against the Cowboys, Week 12 vs the Packers when they surrendered 33 points, and the NFC Championship against the 49ers when they faced a fourth-string quarterback.
They played against backup QB Cooper Rush in that first meeting against the Cowboys and when they faced Dak Prescott in the rematch, they were torched for 40 points.
Now they'll have to try to slow down the league's best offense and the best quarterback in the world in Patrick Mahomes. Good luck with that. The Chiefs haven't scored fewer than 20 points in a game since Week 3.
While the Chiefs are more well-known for a passing attack that ranks first in the league in every analytic, their ground game (10th in the league in Rush EPA) is more than good enough to gash a Philly D that ranks 23st in Rush EPA and surrenders 4.6 yards per carry.
Considering how explosive and consistent both offenses are, it seems almost a lock that both will hit the 20-point plateau. With such a high likelihood of this happening, I'd be willing to play this wager up to -160.
