DeVonta Smith Super Bowl 57 Prop Odds and Prediction: Smith Soars Over Receiving Yards Total

DeVonta Smith is no stranger to the big moment and our Super Bowl spotlight picks expect the Alabama product to have another productive performance in the Big Game — find out how to take advantage below.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Feb 12, 2023 • 15:12 ET • 4 min read

Super Bowl LVII is almost upon us and as usual, one of the most exciting ways to play the game is to wager on Super Bowl player props or even a same-game parlay.

With that in mind we’re going to take a look at Eagles wideout DeVonta Smith, his record over this season and the best Super Bowl odds for the former Alabama man.

Need more insight? Check out our full Super Bowl predictions

DeVonta Smith Super Bowl 57 prop pick and same-game parlay

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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DeVonta Smith Super Bowl 57 best bet

DeVonta Smith may only be in his second year in the NFL but he already knows a lot about winning big games. The Eagles had the best record in the NFC this season and then duly made their way to Sunday’s showpiece game, but even before being drafted No. 10 overall in 2021, Smith knew how to win.

Smith was a two-time CFP National Champion with an Offensive MVP in 2020, he’s won the Heisman, the Maxwell, Walter Camp, and Biletnikoff awards and was named a unanimous All-American in addition to being named both AP and Sporting News College Football Player of the Year in 2020.

This year, he’s taken a leap forward, posting his first ever 1,000+ yard season and increasing his touchdown tally from five to seven. Now he’s on the verge of becoming a Super Bowl champion and will be a key piece of the Eagles offense on Sunday.

His receiving yards line sits at 61.5 with most books, although some have already moved up to 63.5. The best way to play this line is to back the Over. It’s a number he’s exceeded on 10 occasions this season and narrowly missed adding an 11th in the Divisional Round, falling just a yard short.

He’s become more and more integral to the success of this offense as the season's gone on and the numbers bear that out. He went Over 61.5 receiving yards just three times in the first 11 games but has done it six times in the last eight. 

This is a player who is really finding his footing in the NFL and announcing himself as one of the best receivers in the game. Not only has he exceeded this total in 75% of his games since the start of December, but he also possesses a very real deep ball threat, which can really help eat up a large chunk of this yardage in one go. 

Prop: Over 61.5 receiving yards (-115)

DeVonta Smith: Over 61.5 receiving yards

Over 5.5 receptions

Anytime touchdown scorer

If you liked the look of DeVonta Smith’s receiving yards line of 61.5 yards and wanted to supersize the NFL odds by turning it into a same-game parlay then look no further. We’re going to juice this up to +450 with two additional legs.

In addition to the Over 61.5 receiving yards, we’ll then add in Over 5.5 receptions. It’s a number he’s gone Over in four of his last five games, with only the Conference Championship game against the 49ers seeing him stay Under.

With this likely being a close game, we should see plenty of passing attempts by Jalen Hurts and it’s worth noting that the Chiefs allowed two of the Bengals' wideouts to record 6+ receptions.

Then finally we’ll also add in the anytime touchdown for Smith to complete the same-game parlay. We spoke about his improvement in the second half of the season and that’s also true in terms of touchdown output, with five TDs compared with just three in the first half of the season.

Against the Chiefs, we saw the Bengals’ second receiving option Tee Higgins have a huge game, while the Chiefs secondary focused on Ja’Marr Chase and we could well see a repeat of that here with Smith thriving while the attention stays on teammate A.J. Brown.

Same-game parlay: +450 at bet365

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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