NFL Anytime Touchdown Props for Week 6: Roschon Johnson, Bucky Irving, & Brock Bowers

TD Prop bet #1: Roschon Johnson anytime TD

Best odds: +225 at Caesars

Things are getting wild with Chicago Bears running back Roschon Johnson and this TD prop. We've hit it in back-to-back weeks and although his goal-line workload is legit, we're still getting +225 for another score in Week 5 vs. the lousy Jacksonville Jaguars.

The big back has just 17 carries over the last two weeks and no targets, but he's getting used heavily near the goal line as his five red-zone carries over the last two weeks have yielded three scores. D'Andre Swift is back and moving the ball, but RJ is out-touching the starter for the short yards. He might be averaging just three yards per tote of late, but he's getting it done and paying the same price as Week 3 despite his role becoming more defined. 

His three carries inside the 5-yard line over the last two weeks rank sixth in football. He converted on each of those carries. 

With this matchup and his role in an improving offense, I'd play this to +160. It's the gift that hopefully keeps on giving. 

TD Prop bet #2: Bucky Irving anytime TD

Best odds: +175 at bet365

Bucky Irving is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' best running back. He's averaging 5.6 yards per carry compared to Rachaad White's 3.7 yards. The latter is dealing with a foot injury and has been limited at practice this week. The carries have been pretty split over the last three weeks but Irving enters Week 6 as the healthier back vs. a short-week New Orleans defense that couldn't get Kareem Hunt off the field in Week 5.

Rachaad White #gobucs

Watch as his right foot gets trapped during this hip drop tackle. Bucky Irving has been in since this play.

Common mechanism for a high ankle or in this case possibly a mid foot injury

Hope he’s okay pic.twitter.com/s73Xwg4L1S

— Tom Christ, PT, DPT, OCS, FAAOMPT (@FantasyInjuryT) October 4, 2024

Irving's role in the red zone is also a huge plus. He has received 100% of the carries inside the 20-yard line over the last two weeks and only two RBs have more RZ carries over that stretch than the rookie across the league. 

The final dealbreaker here is the price. At +175, this is an easy full-unit play. Even with White healthy and Irving getting all the RZ carries, I'd price this closer to +130. Now we add in a possible injury, and the CLV on this could be huge. 

TD Prop bet #3: Brock Bowers anytime TD

Best odds: +220 at bet365

The Las Vegas Raiders' move from Gardner Minshew to Aidan O'Connell is a lateral one in my books. It's not going to make me downgrade Brock Bowers in Week 6 indoors vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers where he could be the focal point of the offense again. 

Brock Bowers 57 yarder!! 🙌

📺: #LVvsDEN on FOX
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/owAbIim8o7

— NFL (@NFL) October 6, 2024

Davante Adams is almost but certainly missing his third game while every other WR not named Tre Tucker is questionable heading into Friday. In Week 5, Bowers scored his first TD of the season, taking 12 targets and turning them into eight grabs and 97 yards. All the rookie is doing right now is leading his position in receptions (28), yards (313), and targets (36). He was also more involved near the goal line last week with two RZ targets, one of which came inside the 5-yard line. 

I don't think the Raiders will put up 30 points at home, but being indoors helps and he could see 12+ targets again in Week 6. This is a full-unit buy for me to +175.