The Chicago Blackhawks host the Washington Capitals at the United Center on Sunday night, and both teams enter this contest on the second half of a back-to-back.
A high-scoring affair is typically in store when these two teams meet, as the Over is 9-0-1 in their past 10 meetings.
Should bettors pound the Over in the NHL odds, or will the goaltending step up this time around? Find out in our free NHL picks for Capitals vs. Blackhawks on Sunday, December 10.
Capitals vs Blackhawks odds
Capitals vs Blackhawks predictions
I discussed Blackhawks winger Anthony Beauvillier’s point market and attacking the Over at plus-money in my Saturday NHL player props article, and it hit. In the “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” mindset, we are going to attack that market once again on Sunday.
He recorded his first goal and point as a Blackhawk on Saturday as a shot by Nikita Zaitsev went off him net-front. Due to the Corey Perry situation, Chicago brought in Beauvillier from Vancouver to give Connor Bedard and Philipp Kurashev some help on the first line.
That means we are catching plus-money on the Anthony Beauvillier odds, while getting first-line opportunities alongside two guys who are producing just south of the point-per-game mark. Since joining the Hawks, Beauvillier’s average time on ice has increased by almost two minutes, and his shots on goal per game have also been more consistent.
Even if he does absolutely nothing in this game shot-wise, he can still luck into a point given the offensive proficiency of Bedard and Kurashev. Meanwhile, this situation presents a good spot for Beauvillier given the defensive woes of Washington.
The Capitals rank 27th in the league in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60) at 5-on-5. They also rank 20th in penalty kill percentage, which is beneficial for Beauvillier given that he skates with the first power play unit.
Backing up this poor defense is goaltender Darcy Kuemper, who is expected to guard the cage for the Caps on Sunday. Through 13 starts this season, Kuemper is 5-6-2 with a fade-worthy .887 SV% and 3.23 GAA.
My best bet: Anthony Beauvillier Over 0.5 points (+130 at DraftKings)
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Capitals vs Blackhawks same-game parlay
Obviously, we have strong correlation here. If Beauvillier gets a point, then it is more likely this game goes Over its total. Chicago’s defensive woes are just as bad as Washington’s, as the Hawks rank 30th in xGA/60 at 5-on-5.
Arvid Soderblom is slated to start between the pipes for the Blackhawks. Through 12 appearances in the crease, Soderblom is 2-8-1 with a .884 SV% and 3.62 GAA.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Capitals vs Blackhawks moneyline and Over/Under analysis
The Capitals opened as a -148 favorite and have since been bet up to -162. I suspect that the market will keep pushing this line further despite the Hawks’ mini two-game win streak, given how much the market has swung against them this year due to their bad play.
That brings us to the total, which is pretty much listed at six across the board. While neither offense is inspiring, both blue lines and goaltending situations are worse, so I think the total only goes up from here.
There have been six or more total goals scored in each of the past 10 meetings between these two teams.
Capitals vs Blackhawks betting trend to know
Beauvillier has registered 14 points over his past 20 games against Washington. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Blackhawks.
Capitals vs Blackhawks game info
Location: | United Center, Chicago, IL |
Date: | Sunday, December 10, 2023 |
Puck drop: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
TV: | Monument, NBC Sports Chicago |
Capitals vs Blackhawks latest injuries
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