Capitals vs Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Boasting one of the league's best offenses, the Vegas Golden Knights are seeing contributions from across their lineup, including the blue line, where Shea Theodore is leading the charge. Find out why Todd Cordell believes Theodore is poised to add to his point total.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Nov 17, 2024 • 10:54 ET • 4 min read

NHL

Match starts: 6 hrs
VEG
72 %
WAS
28 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Shea Theodore Over 0.5 points (-113) Shea Theodore Over 0.5 points (-113)
Read Analysis
Shea Theodore Vegas Golden Knights NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Vegas Golden Knights are a well-oiled machine right now. They own a 7-2-1 record over the last 10 games and have surged to the top of a competitive Pacific Division as a result.

They are now back on home ice, where they own an 8-1 record on the season and have dominated since the day they entered the NHL.

My Capitals vs. Golden Knights predictions see the home side continuing to build on their home success, with one of the game’s best offensive defensemen leading the charge.

Let’s take a closer look at my NHL picks for November 17. 

Capitals vs Golden Knights prediction

My best bet
Shea Theodore over 0.5 points (-113 at FanDuel)

My analysis

The Washington Capitals are off to an exceptional start that has surpassed even the highest of expectations. That being said, there are some emerging problems under the hood. They just haven’t fully shown themselves yet.

Washington quietly ranks tied for 29th in 5v5 expected goals against over the past 10 games, keeping company with teams like the Chicago Blackhawks and Philadelphia Flyers.

They’re giving up a lot of good chances but have mostly masked their defensive shortcomings with solid goaltending.

That’s not a recipe for success over the long haul and is concerning heading into a date with the Vegas Golden Knights. The Knights have a lot of high-end talent and consistently finish at an efficient rate, ranking 4th in the NHL in shooting percentage thus far.

Not to mention, the Golden Knights have taken their offense to a new level. They rank 1st in 5v5 shot generation and 4th in goals over the last 10 games.

Given the volume Vegas is generating and the caliber of chances Washington’s conceding, this is a spot where the Golden Knights should net a few goals.

If that’s the case, Shea Theodore is likely to be involved. He is an elite offensive defenseman who routinely skates behind the top line at 5v5 on top of serving as the quarterback of the NHL’s 2nd most efficient power play.

He plays big minutes and is a focal point behind Vegas’ elite attack. Expect him to make noise offensively in this sneaky-good matchup.

Capitals vs Golden Knights same-game parlay (SGP)

Shea Theodore Over 0.5 points

Pavel Dorofeyev Over 0.5 points

Golden Knights moneyline

Pavel Dorofeyev is another player high on the list of guys who should benefit from this matchup against the Capitals. He is skating on the top line, and top power-play unit, alongside Jack Eichel, who has 27 points through 17 games and has been one of the best playmakers in the NHL.

Dorofeyev should have ample opportunity to use his prolific shot — the best attribute his game features — sharing the ice so frequently with a player who already has 22 assists.

Having a distributor like Shea Theodore playing behind him for a healthy chunk of his shifts, be it at 5v5 or on the power play, will certainly help the cause as well.

Given how much their ice overlaps, it’s a very realistic possibility both players cash on the same goal.

I love this spot for the Golden Knights as a whole. Their offensive game has really taken off while the Capitals are heading in the wrong direction defensively.

Not to mention, the Caps have done a lot of their damage at home (7-2-1). It’ll be tougher for them to find their game in Vegas against a team that’s been almost unbeatable on home soil since Day 1.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Capitals vs Golden Knights odds

Capitals vs Golden Knights live odds

Capitals vs Golden Knights opening odds

  • Puck line: Washington +1.5 | Vegas -1.5
  • Moneyline: Washington +117 | Vegas -132
  • Over/Under: Over 6 | Under 6

Capitals vs Golden Knights trend

Shea Theodore found the scoresheet in 60% of his home games following a day off last season. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Capitals vs Golden Knights

Location: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, NV
Date: Sunday, 11-17-2024
Puck drop: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: MNMT, SCRIPPS

Capitals vs Golden Knights latest injuries

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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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