A pair of Western Conference powerhouses will meet Tuesday for the second time in the span of just a few days.
My Stars vs. Golden Knights predictions see the home team getting revenge, with last year’s marquee deadline acquisition Tomas Hertl making an impact along the way.
Let’s take a closer look with my January 28 NHL picks.
Stars vs Golden Knights prediction
My best bet
Golden Knights moneyline (-121 at Pinnacle)
My analysis
The Golden Knights are in a bit of a rut, having won just three of their past 10 games. Encouragingly, their process has looked a lot better than the results.
At 5v5 they rank 9th in expected goal share and have posted a differential of more than two goals. That has translated to a 37% share of the actual goals, slotting them 31st in that span.
They have generated 20.57 expected goals yet scored just 14, more than six below expectation. Vegas has also conceded more than four goals above expectation.
It would be one thing to underperform if lacking talent on the roster. That’s obviously not the case with this Golden Knights squad.
They have several stars up front (Jack Eichel, Mark Stone, Tomas Hertl, etc.), a loaded blueline, and a solid starting goaltender in Adin Hill.
Unless all of those players forgot how to play hockey overnight, it’s not reasonable to expect the Golden Knights to continue piling up chances yet having little to show for them.
It’s also a stretch to think Hill, who has saved more than 16 goals above expectation since the beginning of last season, will continue giving them up at a rate higher than he should.
The Golden Knights should get things moving in the right direction sooner rather than later. They started to get the ball rolling with an impressive 4-1 win over Florida last time out.
Given their home success (19-6-1), I think the Golden Knights should be able to build on that win against a Dallas Stars team that has not fared nearly as well on the road this season (13-10-0).
Stars vs Golden Knights same-game parlay (SGP)
Golden Knights moneyline
Tomas Hertl Over 0.5 points
Under 6.5 goals
Tomas Hertl is red-hot offensively. He has picked up at least one point in nine consecutive games, piling up 13 along the way.
He has looked great skating alongside Pavel Dorofeyev and Victor Olofsson on the second line; as well as playing a pivotal role on an electric top power play unit.
Hertl has hit the scoresheet in four straight games on home soil and in both games against the Stars this season.
The Golden Knights and Stars both rank inside the Top-8 when it comes to limiting goals on a per game basis.
The two sides are missing a few excellent auxiliary pieces in Mason Marchment, Tyler Seguin, and William Karlsson, among others, which takes some of the scoring depth out of the mix.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Stars vs Golden Knights odds
Stars vs Golden Knights live odds
Stars vs Golden Knights opening odds
- Puck line: Dallas +101 | Vegas -113
- Moneyline: Dallas +1.5 (-261) | Vegas -1.5 (+218)
- Over/Under: Over 6.0 (-102) | Under 6.0 (-112)
Stars vs Golden Knights trend
Seven of the past eight head-to-head meetings have featured six goals or fewer. Find more NHL betting trends for Stars vs. Golden Knights. Find more NHL betting trends for Stars vs. Golden Knights.
How to watch Stars vs Golden Knights
| Location | T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, NV |
| Date | Tuesday, 1-28-2025 |
| Puck drop | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | HULU |
Stars vs Golden Knights latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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