Stars vs Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

The Dallas Stars own one of the leagues stingiest defenses and Ryan Gilbert believes that'll be the difference maker as they take on the Penguins in Pittsburgh.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Nov 11, 2024 • 15:18 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Jake Oettinger Dallas Stars NHL
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The Pittsburgh Penguins return home to host the Dallas Stars on Monday night. Pittsburgh is coming off a 4-2 win in Washington the night after a 5-1 loss in Carolina.

Meanwhile, Dallas beat the Blackhawks at home 3-1 for its lone win in its last four games. The Stars got swept in the Global Series by the Panthers and are coming off a 4-1 loss in Winnipeg over the weekend.

My Stars vs. Penguins predictions expect this Dallas team to stay stingy in my best NHL picks on Monday, November 11th.

Stars vs Penguins prediction

My best bet
Jake Oettinger Under 28.5saves (-130 at DraftKings)

My analysis

While we’re taking an Under on Jake Oettinger, this isn’t about fading the Dallas Stars goalie. It’s about betting on the team in front of him to limit the Pittsburgh Penguins’ shots on goal total.

The Stars are one of the best teams in the league in terms of limiting shots on goal against with 27.62 on average per game — the eighth-best mark in the league. That number actually drops down to 27.33 per game on the road.

Dallas has allowed more than 28 shots in a game just three times this season and all of those games came in the first few weeks of the season. The Stars have allowed 28 shots or fewer in the other 10 of their 13 total games, including in each of their last seven contests.

While the Penguins are capable of racking up shots on goal, they’ve done so more against inferior teams. They’ve also weirdly had more poor shooting performances at home rather than on the road.

Look of the Stars to keep the Penguins to the outside with Oettinger keeping his saves total in the low-to-mid 20s.

Stars vs Penguins same-game parlay (SGP)

Oettinger Under 28.5 saves

Stars moneyline

Under 6.5

We’re backing our best bet by taking the Stars and the Under 6.5 in our same-game parlay here. Dallas has gone over the total in just three of its 13 games so far this season, and Pittsburgh has played to the under in four of its last five games.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Stars vs Penguins odds

Stars vs Penguins live odds

Stars vs Penguins opening odds

  • Puck line: Dallas -1.5 | Pittsburgh +1.5
  • Moneyline: Dallas -160 | Pittsburgh +135
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Stars vs Penguins trend

The Dallas Stars have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 away games (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Stars vs. Penguins.

How to watch Stars vs Penguins

Location: PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Date: Monday, 11-11-2024
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Victory+, SN-PIT

Stars vs Penguins latest injuries

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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