UFC 278 Yanan vs Pudilova Picks and Predictions: A Tight Fight Between Bantamweights

Lucie Pudilova and Wu Yanan are mostly evenly matched heading into their clash at UFC 278 and oddsmakers are expecting a close fight. See why we like Pudilova to prevail while picking up a victory by decision in our betting picks.

Danny Howard - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst
Aug 20, 2022 • 08:04 ET • 4 min read
Lucie Pudilova UFC 278
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Wu Yanan vs. Lucie Pudilová is scheduled for three rounds in the bantamweight division as a featured attraction on tonight's UFC 278 undercard from the Vivinit Arena in Salt Lake City. The hard-slugging Pudilova hopes her second stint in the UFC goes off with a bang, but it’ll have to come at the expense of Wu, who desperately needs a win to avoid her own dismissal.

Oddsmakers see this as a close fight but expect Pudilova to come out on top as a -120 favorite. Yanan is on the verge of making this an even money fight, coming in at +100 in current UFC odds.

Behold our picks and predictions for Yanan vs. Pudilova on Aug. 20.

Yanan vs Pudilova fight odds

Live odds courtesy of the bet365.

Yanan vs Pudilova method of victory odds

Method of Victory Wu Yanan Lucie Pudilova
To win by KO/TKO +1,000 +800
To win by Points +150 +130
To win by Submission +1,200 +1,000
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings on August 18, 2022.

Yanan vs Pudilova picks

Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Yanan vs Pudilova betting preview

The first time Pudilová came into the UFC, she went on a disappointing 2-5 skid that led to her exit in 2020. She rebounded back home in the Czech Republic well enough to earn another chance on the promotion, and she’s riding a 5-1 streak coming into this fight. Yanan has posted a 1-4 record in the UFC and really hasn’t generated much buzz.

Pudilová works behind a lot of activity and is well conditioned, landing 4.15 significant strikes per minute at 36% accuracy. While she takes her share of punishment, she has yet to be stopped in her MMA career. Her explosive style doesn’t have the power to carry her through to the top tier of the division, but she bangs as loud as loose change in the dryer, and fans love to see it.

Yanan is an excellent finisher, scoring 11 finishes in 13 wins. The problem is she’s clearly been better in the regional circuits and hasn’t quite adjusted to the level of competition in the UFC. She lands 4.42 significant strikes per minute at 40% accuracy but lands 0.70 takedowns per 15-minute fight at 30% accuracy. 

These two are evenly matched in practically every aspect. Both are capable strikers and willing to absorb punishment, and both are coming in desperate for a victory knowing too well the consequences of continued setbacks. Put those two factors together and we might have ourselves a sleeper pick for the fight of the night.

Yanan vs Pudilova tale of the tape

Wu Yanan   Lucie Pudilova
26 Age 28
5-foot-8 Height 5-foot-8
125 lbs Weight 125 lbs
66 inches Reach 67 inches
13-5-0 (6 KO) Record 13-7-0 (2 KO)

Yanan vs Pudilova UFC prediction and best bet

Our prediction is compiled from the analysis of the fighters and is an indication of who we are leaning with to win this bout.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this fight or where the most value lies, and is where we would put some of our bankroll behind.

Pudilová’s losses in her skid came against legitimate opponents who are still trending upwards. Yanan hasn’t gelled to the UFC’s pace, and that is the key intangible that separates the two. While both may be better suited to their respective regional circuits, Pudilová’s busier offense will wreak havoc on Yanan’s absence of defensive awareness.

Neither woman can really outpace the other. This could come down to who is the busier of the two, and that would favor Pudilová. Yanan has been outlanded 323-288 in her five fights, suggesting that she can’t strike with her opponents and needs to initiate hostilities to be effective. 

Because Pudilová doesn’t have stopping power or a strong ground game, we can see why this line is close to even. That being said, Pudilová will come out on top on the merits of her superior work rate.

Prediction: Lucie Pudilova moneyline (-120 at DraftKings)

I’m pretty sure I gave it away just a moment ago, but the busier fighter will end up winning this on the cards. That would be Pudilová, who will start first, reset, then start again to shut Yanan down while piling up the points. One thing about Yanan is that she is tough, and Pudilová will light her up plenty, though she won’t be hitting her hard enough to threaten a stoppage. 

Taking a points win at +130 feels just as safe as taking her straight up. We’re riding with Pudilová to come out on top here with a decision victory.

Pick: Lucie Pudilova to Win by Decision (+130 at DraftKings)

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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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