UFC Fight Night Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark Picks and Predictions: Sseda Proves Strongest

Both Da Un Jung and Devin Clark could use a win to regain some momentum in the light heavyweight division, but only one fighter will walk away smiling on Saturday night. Our UFC expert picks say Jung is the smart selection as the betting favorite.

Danny Howard - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst
Feb 4, 2023 • 16:51 ET • 4 min read

Da Un Jung vs. Devin Clark is scheduled for three rounds in the light heavyweight division, and is the co-main event of tonight's UFC Fight Night card from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Jung and Clark are both coming off losses, and need to get back on track to keep themselves visible in a volatile light heavyweight division. UFC odds have Jung a clear favorite at -240. The athletic and well-conditioned Clark comes into this fight a +200 underdog.

Here are our picks and predictions for Jung vs. Clark at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas.

Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark fight odds

Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark method of victory odds

Method of Victory Da Un Jung Devin Clark
To win by KO/TKO +120 +550
To win by Points +350 +500
To win by Submission +950 +1,200
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook on February 4, 2022.

Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark picks

Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark betting preview

The UFC is giving Da Un Jung a bit of the spotlight here against an inconsistent opponent. That being said, Jung can’t sleep on Clark’s wrestling or athleticism. Regardless of how they’re moving the South Korean banger, no fighter can handle the loss of momentum that comes with a losing streak, and Clark is in the same predicament here. 

Jung is a fun fighter and a vicious operator, but there’s the sense that he needs to polish up his game as he flirts at entering the division rankings. In his last fight, Jung got a little too careless and was clipped by Dustin Jacoby, leading to a KO loss. He has the reputation of an action fighter who gets busy with his strikes and puts a lot of force behind his shots.

"Sseda" is coming in with plenty of advantages. He lands 4.05 significant strikes per minute at 43% accuracy with 2.43 takedowns per 15 minutes at 61%. His average fight time clocks in at 8:13, and he has 13 finishes in 15 wins.

Devin Clark is coming into this fight needing to put on a career-best performance. He exits another stoppage loss, and is just 2-3 in his last five fights. While Clark has great movement and wrestling skills, he’s been stopped six times in seven defeats, and has poor striking defense.

“Brown Bear” has fought from middleweight to heavyweight, demonstrating his conditioning and dedication. He lands 2.94 significant strikes per minute at 55% accuracy to go with 2.30 takedowns per 15 minutes at 35% accuracy. Clark’s fights last 11:10 on average, and he tends to go the distance, with eight of his 13 wins coming by decision.

Jung holds advantages in height, reach, and level of opposition. Both fighters are susceptible to lapses in their defense that can lead to calamity, meaning there is plenty of doubt as to how this can end up. 

Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark tale of the tape

Da Un Jung   Devin Clark
29 Age 32
6-foot-4 Height 6-foot-0
205 lbs Weight 223 lbs
78.5 inches Reach 75 inches
15-3-1 (11 KO) Record 13-7 (4 KO)

Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark UFC prediction and best bet

In terms of overall dynamism, Jung is a better fighter than Clark. He’s a busier striker, but lands with more power. He’s a proven finisher with an aggressive style, likely to spark you out up top, or be just as problematic on the mat.

Clark tends to fight in a straight line and can be open to counter shots. To that point, Jung can get a bit relaxed when he should be attentive and can get hurt. The only issue here is that Clark doesn’t push the initiative once he gets in on his opponent, and that has resulted in him getting run down.

Jung is going to have a fighter who is known for his subpar striking defense and tendency to get finished standing right in front of him all night. Take Jung at -240 while you can.

Prediction: Jung moneyline (-240 at DraftKings)

Clark’s striking defense is a lowly 44%, and doesn’t throw with enough activity or bad intentions to keep Jung off him. This is the kind of fight that Clark gets beaten decisively. The thinking is that Clark might get beat out in a round, but he’s survived late into the second round in his recent losses. 

It’s also a toss-up on how Jung can get that stoppage. He’s just as likely to submit him as he is to knock him out. We’re going with the double chance that Jung gets a KO or submission at a fair price. 

Pick: Jung to win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-105 at DraftKings)

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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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