Plays suggested today using Trends:
Yankees UNDER 8.5 (Trend #2 - trend is 30 - 16 so far since start of season):
-Stroman with era rising lately BUT, is low era on the road and in day games (both under 2.00 ERA over 11.3 innings)
-Yankees with 4th best bullpen!
- Brewers hit .246 / .329 OBP off Stroman with 2 HR/6RBIs in 65 ABs
- Yanks facing an unknown pitcher who pitched very well in his first start over 5 innings
- Yanks hit consistently around the same avg for day game/road and vs a rightie (around .245 avg)
BUT hit significantly fewer HRs during day games
- Brewers with 8th best bullpen in baseball
- for me, I notice over the years that getaway games on Sunday tend to go UNDER if good pitchers involved
NEGATIVE
- high era umpire (5.2 era avg)
- Brewers hit well in day games and vs righties but generally worse at home than on the road (30 pts lower)
Rating for this bet = 6. 0 / 10 DECENT chance of going UNDER 8.5 (would have rated 6.4? if UNDER umpire)
Personal Plays:
Yanks Under 8.5 x 1U
Clev/Atl Under 9 x HALF U
- only 3 of 15 away games by Cleveland have gone over this number
- 2 pitchers pitching well so far this season and low run production in pitchers history vs lineups
- Atlanta 7 - 7 for the number of times going over this total at home (but on a 5 game UNDER run)
- strong wind blowing in from centre with lower humidity than usual for such a temperature of 77
Col - Houston Under 16.5 x HALF U
-Gomber pitches ok at home and Valdez is pitching well this year
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Hot Forum Topics
