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Narrowed down to:

D'backs

Reds

Rocks/Marls Un 8.5 -120 Chacin/Sanchez

1) Yes, a dog can have a long winning streak and conversely a fav can have a long losing streak.

2) Yes, it is rare, but a dog with a top 20 pitcher is a play. If dog and fav are both top 20, play the under.

Woody, anyone who started this system at the beginning of the year wasn't paying attention. For instance, how did you place wagers the first five games? There were no Sagarin ratings on any pitchers this year so how would you know if they were top 20? And even after the first week, are you going to trust a pitchers numbers based on one start? This is why I make sure that the starting pitcher is in the top portion of the ratings based on innings pitched, and also why I started tracking this on Monday 4/18.

Quote Originally Posted by taurus:

I too had a bad day Thursday  1-5 , with Minnesota my one winner.
( not using Sagarin - using the yahoo stat that maglio mentioned)

Two days  3-7 on my 10 dollar plays - minus 36.38

I'm using looser criteria than others in this thread. If it's a dog under 150, I am including even tho from the opening lines the team might slip into the negative juice. As others have said, this is definitely a trial period.

My slate for Friday  it's a big one.- bear in mind I'm not using Sagarin, so fading Verlander is a PLAY for me.
Cubs
Wash
Ariz
Reds
San Diego
San Fran
Chisox
Toronto
K C
Cleve
LAA
Good Luck to all degenerates.

Taurus, I think it is VERY important to use the Sagarin ratings for this system. It is what the article is based on, and more importantly, the pitchers are rated based on his NPERA versus a standard ERA. What this is doing, as you can see, is giving you WAY too many picks per day. In the long run, it's going to be hard to win with 8-12 plays per day. Just my opinion for what its worth.

GL

Ok, here's what we have for Friday:

Kansas City      +158        $20

Cleveland          +107        $20

Arizona             +114        $20

Cincinnati         +122        $20

San Deigo        +121        $20

GL

Quote Originally Posted by taurus:

Thanks guys- I will pull the switch to Sagarin.
I may ask help in getting to the link - but hope I can locate it.

Here is the link: https://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin.htm

I actually don't hate Cin or SD. Volquez for Cincy can be overpowering and his best effort came on the road this year, plus that have some decent bats. As far as SD goes, if you can get a top 20 with the dog, you got to love that. Phily hitting .213 vs lefties on the road, SD hitting .288 vs lefties at home. I like SD.

Bob, you've got the wrong Sanchez. Sanchez with SF is a top 20, not Fla.

You are correct - got teams mixed up.

However a winner never the less!

Gotta get lucky once in awhile!

Got Indians @ +105

Also laying the 115 Hudson/Lince Un 6.5

 Dodgers  W L3 = NP for me

Also a Mets fan but bet against them in this system. A win-win situation for me if they lose I'm glad a few bucks go into my roll if they win I'm just as happy to see it. Probably a RO today its pouring on LI.