Still tinkering with things.
Posted record at Covers April 7 through May 22 (83-91) (-$1360)
(Totals Only) for May 23
Cleveland Under 8 (+100)
Minnesota Under 8 (-120)
Colorado Under 11.5 (-115)
To win $200 on each
Made some adjustments to the totals model yesterday. Scaled my bet size back.
Let's see what happens today.
Falcon Sports
Thanks guys
I've been floundering around this season. I made some adjustments to my Totals model yesterday because it had been skewing heavily to the Overs. I made a couple adjustments to pick up some Unders. At least on a more even basis.
Tried to go with my Top 3 today. I'm just not a high volume guy.
Good luck tonight guys
Falcon Sports
I scaled back on the requirements for an Under. If my model is projecting a difference of at least 1 run, I'm going to seriously consider it for a play. I also moved the requirements for an Over to project at a difference of (1.5 runs). This is instead of using 1.25 runs for both an Over and an Under. Hopefully this balances my selections more evenly.
Cleveland Under 8 (projected at 7)
Minnesota Under 8 (projected at 7)
Colorado Under 11.5 (projected at 10).
I also scaled my wager amounts back. I'd like to give this adjustment a little breathing room.
Falcon Sports
Here is everything for Wednesday May 24
Falcon Sports (Totals Only)
3-0 (+$600)
To win $200 on each
Totals for May 24
Cleveland Under 9 (-120) Draftkings
Grabbed and posted this early last night
Washington Under 9.5 (-110) Fanduel
Colorado Under 11 (-110) Draftkings
Seattle Under 8.5 (-110) Draftkings
To win $200 on each
Good luck today guys
Falcon Sports
I made some adjustments to my Power Totals model and I'm now picking up Unders with a 1 run difference than posted total. I was using a basis of (1.25 runs).
Cleveland Under 9 (projected 7.80 runs)
Washington Under 9.5 (projected at 8.00 runs)
Colorado Under 11 (projected at 9.60 runs)
Seattle Under 8.5 (projected at 7.35 runs)
I cut my wager amounts in order to give the adjustments a little wiggle room. I will have plenty more Overs as we move along. I'm only wagering to win $200 on these, so I can look ahead at the early lines and bet them. A lot of lines are already up for Thursday.
Good luck today guys, I won't have any additions. Going to try and keep the play volume around 100 per month.
Falcon Sports
That cubs line will be interesting to keep an eye on. Not all books have it up yet. Fanduel hung an Over 7 (-105).
Hopefully the wind holds about 12mph, it will be blowing in. I do look at the weather but I'm not a handicapper. I have a mathematical number of (8.55 runs) on this one, so I'm rolling with the Over 7.
Two plays for Thursday so far.
Tampa Bay Over 8.5 (-105) Caesars (10.40)
Cubs Over 7 (-105) Fanduel (8.55)
To win $200 on each
I have 5 books daily available and more when I go to Tunica.
Good luck guys
One more wager that I'll get in later today.
Falcon Sports
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