(Totals Only) for Today

LET'S GO !! Sunday fun day !!

@QBUN

 Waiting on the Grand Salami. My model is projecting (129.59), let's see what they put out.

Falcon Sports 

Ok guys, today I'm going to play a 1st Inning prop using my model. It may become a daily fixture of it may last for just today.

Sunday May 28

Milwaukee NRF1 (-105)

To win $200

This is a very popular prop these days. That's no run 1st Inning for those that do not know. It means it must be (0-0) Top of 2nd or you lose. 

I'll update things later, still waiting on the Grand Salami to be posted today.

Good luck guys 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Salami at 133 what's your play

I just bet it at Draftkings at Under 138.5 (-115)

To win $200 on each

Day 6 update soon

Falcon Sports 

Alright guys, I'm really going to put my Power Totals model to the test today. The 2 prop wagers that I'm making today May just be a one day thing. I'm looking into it closely. 

Here we go with (Day 6) with The Falcon 

Falcon Sports (Totals Only)

12-5 (+$1250)

70.59% Winners 

To win $200 on each 

Breakdown

Unders (7-2)

Overs (5-3)

Grand Salami (0-0)

1st Inning (0-0)

Plays for Sunday May 28

Cleveland Under 8.5 (-110) Draftkings 

Milwaukee Under 8.5 (-110) Draftkings 

Arizona Under 9 (-110) Fanduel 

Seattle Under 9 (-105) Caesars 

Milwaukee NRFI (-105) Draftkings 

Grand Salami Under 138.5 (-115) Draftkings 

To win $200 on each

My Power Totals Model is showing a pretty big edge on that Grand Salami as I have it projected at (129.59) runs today. 

Good luck guys 

Falcon Sports 

For a game to be an under you're looking for a 1 run differential, the grand salami you project is not even 10 runs differential and 15 games on board. Can you explain please why this is a playable number on salami

I don't know how those 2 props are going to perform. I'd like to really check them out these last four days in May. I'd love for one or both to become of my daily wagers. Both are very popular wagers these days. 

Milwaukee is my lowest projected total today at (6.61) runs. This is the reason that I'm using their game for my NRF1.

And I have that huge discrepancy on the Grand Salami.

Reminder for the Grand Salami. Every game must be completed, any rain out or rain shortened game will void the wager. 

Good luck guys 

Falcon Sports 

@waynaholic

 Of course. U cannot look at the Grand Salami like that. I'm showing (129.59) runs today. The books hung (138.5) and that is a huge discrepancy. To be honest I was going to play it with a difference of (3-5) runs. 

My model would never have a 15 run difference as most of my projected totals are pretty much the same as the books. 

I may lose that Grand Salami today but I doubt I ever see a 9 run difference again. Off the record, I may pound this but I don't recommend that to anyone else.

Falcon Sports 

DOYERS OVER easiest winner of the day! 

@QBUN

 Yep my model liked it but I'm a dummy. 

About those two props, they will be on a very short leash. I'm not sure they are going to work. The 1st Inning prop carries a huge luck factor and my model doesn't really factor luck into the equation. 

They could both just be here for today. 

I'm still digging into them, so we shall see. 

Falcon Sports 

It for sure looks like these 2 props will be short lived. I sure hope the NRF1 hits today but as I said too much pure luck is involved in that prop. 

The Grand Salami is already looking bad as there could be 30 runs scored in the Dodger game. One outlier like this can kill the wager and it has very little to do with the model being right or wrong. My model projected the Dodger game Over 10 runs, so it would have nailed the Over that it suggested. 

I'll live with the results today but I feel as though I made a mistake by playing them. 

It's early in my journey in this thread, so I'll deal with it.

I've got some early Memorial Day activities, so I may not be around much. 

Good luck guys

Falcon Sports 

Ahhhhhh...looking like one of those days..

@QBUN

 I'm hoping to survive. 

Big mistake on those 2 props. 

Tomorrow back to basic top three baseball totals. 

Falcon Sports 

Any thoughts on the last game on the card...PHILY v ATL....

Looking pretty tight with the total @ 9.

@QBUN

 Model has (9.12) so I'll pass. 

Falcon Sports 

Me too..thanks for quick response.  

@QBUN

 I'm sick, I've dropped 3 bets on non baseball totals. I wasn't even going to waver from my plan. The model deserves better. 

Back to basics tomorrow. 

Falcon Sports 

These overs killing me today as well

@MITM

We all make mis-steps in the game of gambling.  Get back to basics tomorrow with the models you know and trust and you'll be fine.

Thanks guys

If the model loses, I can live with that. It just sucks when I personally screw things up. 

Oh well, we are just 23 plays into this. If the model is truly good, it will overcome my dumb mistakes. 

Falcon Sports 

Falcon Sports (Totals Only)

14-8 (+$990)

63.64% Winners 

(-113) avg juice 

To win $200 on each 

Boy I screwed things up today but the record still looks good. 

The model actually went (2-1) with a bad Push included. 

I went (0-2) on the stupid props. 

Just on baseball totals only, the model is sitting at (14-5) (74% Winners)

But I'm ok with making right at a grand over the first six days. 

Beginning tomorrow, I should be playing the Top (3-4) MLB Totals daily. 

Back with plays for Memorial Day soon. 

Falcon Sports 

Great job all the way around! No one wins all the time...it's a matter of finding the right spots and BELIEVING in your system/research etc.....LET'S GO!!!

@QBUN

 I'm just pissed the model is (14-5) and I've screwed it into 3 more losses but it is what it is. 

From now on, I'll use the models Top 3-4 plays daily and forget everything else the rest of baseball season. I can live with the model losing but I hate that I screwed things up.

Boring automation tomorrow. 

Falcon Sports