Flamingo's season thread. (mostly Hawks discussion)

This play has bit me before but I will give it another go.

Toronto TT under 54.5 2nd half SMEDIUM

Took the hawks based on the convincing write up and it's looking real good at halftime.

Iso teams start pressing when they get down and it usually doesnt go well. This was obvious at the end of the half. I expect toronto to keep turning it over in the second half

It ended up being a great night but it could have been epic if Washington didn't have a meltdown and if Teague could have played his usual 30 minutes.  I ended up cashing a Large, Medium and Smedium play while losing on two smalls and a smedium.  I did make a half small play on the OKC ML once it was announced that Bogut and Iggy were out.

Chicago was 7/9 from 3 in the 4th quarter vs Boston.  They could have easily lost the game if they don't catch fire from deep.  ATL should abuse them tonight.

FB love this thread and love your insight! You got me hooked on the Hawks!!!!!!!!!!!

wish I knew my Blazers like you know your Atl team, best of luck... I enjoy the read and hope Hawks pull thru for you again tonight

thanks for the insight 

Glad you guys are benefiting from my posts.

Any thoughts on the spread?

I think about >15pt victory for the hawks

Horford is 14-18 fg's the last 2 games. Gasol is in big trouble tonight!

Right with you.  BOL

Atl ML +115 2nd half small

crazy string of poor luck with mack getting injured and bud sitting Schroder. but the bet pays the same. Teague missed a bunch of FT's and some open 3's woulda kept this from getting the nerves up. Anyhow thanks for the picks as always

I think I made a pretty good prediction of what would take place in the Chiacgo game.  I am a little upset at the Chi TT Under play not hitting.  Schroder and Antic ended up not playing and they do a great job on the defensive end.  Even with those two out, the Bulls only had 39 points at the half.  I missed the second half and was shocked to see them score 60 to give me a push on the bet.  Rose was very inefficient and Horford once again got the best of Gasol and put up 22 as predicted.  Rose, Butler, Gasol, Gibson all played 37+ minutes.  Thibs just continues to run his players in to the ground.  I don't think Chicago is going to be a real threat come playoff time.

Looking forward to the early game today and your write up. I'll likely play the first half.

Detroit vs Atlanta

Recap of Game 1 without Smith

-The first non-Smith game was a tale of two halves.  ATL was up by 19 at the half and Detroit ended up losing by only 3.  The Hawks made 8 3s in the first half while only making 2 in the second.  The Pistons made 3 3's in the first half and 10 in the 2nd half. Over their last 13 games, the Pistons are averaging 11.2 3's per game at 38.5%.  The Pistons would attempt 43 3's on that night, which is way above their average.  This has become a common occurrence for teams playing a Hawks defense that locks down the paint.  I saw an interesting stat yesterday that shows just how good the interior defense of Atlanta is.

"Teams shoot from farther away from the basket against the Hawks than any other team, an average of 13.7 feet (per basketball-reference.com). That's nearly a foot farther away than the league average (12.8)."

-In the first matchup, Drummond looked absolutely terrible.  He ended up having a -13 +/- in only 17 minutes of play.  Some people were saying that he was getting over the flu, but I'm not so sure as he seemed back to his usual self the next night vs Brooklyn.  Drummond and Monroe present a huge size problem for Atlanta, but they are terrible pick and roll defenders.  They are slow footed and they aren't the smartest defenders.  There is no stopping Atlanta's PnR for Detroit.

Keys for tonight's game

-This will be the first and only nationally televised game for the Hawks this season.  They have had one game on NBATV but that's nowhere close to being on ESPN.  I don't even have NBATV on my cable package.  I initially was going to lay off of this game, but the added ESPN coverage has reeled me in.  The Hawks should be very motivated to give a good performance in their only national coverage for the year.  Over the years, the Hawks have had a tendency of underperforming in nationally televised games.  I believe they will look to stop that trend today.

-The Hawks are more rested than the Pistons.  This will be each teams 7th game in 11 days.  Each Hawks starter has rested one game and Schorder + Antic rested vs Chicago.

-Kill them with the PnR and PnP.  Drummond and Mornroe cannot and will not hang with Millsap and Horford on the perimeter.  They won't have much success stopping the lightning quick combo of Teague and Schroder either.  The Hawks will rely on the PnR all night.

The spread is a little too high for my tastes.  I will probably end up buying a few points and parlaying them with another team or two.  I'm going to wait for the other lines to be released and then will be back with my play.

That's not a bad idea.  I may end up playing the first half as well.

One idea would be to let Flamingo make the picks in his thread.

This is my thread and this is a public forum.  The whole purpose of this forum is discussion and sharing ideas and opinions. 

I welcome all conversation whether it agrees or disagrees with me, except the waste of space that you just contributed.  Stay at home with that mod-wannabe crap.