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NBA PLAYOFFS......................................................2019

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Posted: #176
Rockets take a 9 pt lead into 4th. Up 13 with 10 min left
 
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Posted: #177
1-0 ATS, won 1 unit
 
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Posted: #178
MY LINES.......................................game 5's (tues)

Raptors -6.13 over 76ers
Nuggets -2.73 over Blazers


Raps off 1 ATS win, largest mismatch teams off 1 ATS win are good plays, we already won once on the Bucks, and these teams almost always win 2 in a row ATS at some point in series. 

very good spot according to history as far as how a series plays-out.


Nuggets and Blazers in the same spot as far as history of series, I suspect Nuggets win SU by will pass on the game as Blazers are the better team but to many injuries.



 
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Posted: #179
Raptors -6 over 76ers --- 2.2 units
 
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Posted: #180
let's wait-out the line and total, possible we add to our play and make a totals play, will post again before game time.
 
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Posted: #181
Raps/76ers OVER  211.5 (-105) --- 2.1 units to win 2 units 
 
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Posted: #182
Raps rolling......... 162 pts scored end of 3rd, we need 50 points in 4th.

We could be in trouble with this big blowout , the starters will get taken out and the bench will be the kiss of death for us.

We really need 76ers to somewhat get back in the game.
 
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Posted: #183

Thank you very much! Respect! 

 
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Posted: #184

Yes thank you claw. Looking forward to tomorrow

 
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Posted: #185
Quote Originally Posted by dj199493:

Thank you very much! Respect! 


 
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Posted: #186
Quote Originally Posted by ProKaeper:

Yes thank you claw. Looking forward to tomorrow


 
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Posted: #187
game --- 1-0 ATS, won 2 units
totals --- 1-0 , won 2 units


2cd Round.............................................

games --- 8-1 ATS, won 10.6 units
ML      ---- 2-0, won 2.14 units
totals   --- 2-0, won 3 units

total plays 12-1, won 15.74 units


leans 4-0
 
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Posted: #188
MY LINES....................................game 5 (weds)

Bucks -9.46 over Celtics
Warriors -8.8 over Rockets


Not the best of spots for the Bucks, normally an elite team would close it out on the 1st try most times and our largest mismatch teams as well.

Doubt the Bucks can play as well tonight as they've been playing past 2 games. 

I would look for Celtics to have a chance for the SU win but likely come up just short.

Celtics +9 over Bucks --- 1.1 units
Celtics +5.5 1st half --- 1.1 units
Celtics ML 1st half +230 --- .5 units to win 1.15 units
 
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Posted: #189
Warriors have not really played well at all this series but are still tied 2-2, they can only play better, not sure the Rockets can play any better.

We pass on the game but still look for Warriors to win this series, which means they should win SU tonight but not sure about the cover.

we already have a 3 team series winner parlay tied in with Bucks and Raps who are looking good so we will sit on that for our play on Warriors to win the series.




 
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Posted: #190
top notch work Claw. Do you happen to post anywhere else where we could get notifications of new posts?
 
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Posted: #191
Quote Originally Posted by Prop_Source:

top notch work Claw. Do you happen to post anywhere else where we could get notifications of new posts?

no, covers only
 
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Posted: #192
games --- 0-2 ATS, lost 2.2 units
ML --- 0-1, lost .5 units


son of a gun, Bucks just to damn tough.

But on the bright side our incredible Bucks just keep on rolling................

We need the Raps now to hit our 2 team series winners parlay.

And the Bucks are right where we thought they'd be way back at about the 55 game mark in regular season when we first posted on them.

Many doubted this team, experts were saying the Freaks game won't work in the playoffs but we backed them at what was incredible value on futures plays for a team this good.

Yet another example of experienced team VS the better team and the experienced team did not just lose they got dominated by a team with no prior experience at winning anything..

Bucks are an incredible 8-1 ATS this postseason, the Warriors on the other hand, the team with all the experience  were 3-3 ATS 1st round and 1-4 ATS IN 2CD ROUND.

Value lies in teams with no experience who have for the 1st time elevated their games to an elite level.




Bucks with their big win are now playing on an unsustainable level, The Raps or 76ers will most likely get a split in 1st 2 home games for Bucks.

If the Raps win tonight they also could be in the same regression boat.  We very well could have some great spots ahead.
 
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Posted: #193
Warriors win another close game, Rockets just can't get over the hump.

It's not over yet, Durant injury maybe will help them but maybe not. Warriors were a championship team without him and he may return.


The Celtics are who we thought they were, a good solid playoff team but not a elite team. 

Our PR's were proven correct , in that Celtics played over their heads for a small moment in last years playoffs and then got everyone excited to think this was a strong team so then came the big expectations and many bit on those expectations. 

Celtics are a good solid playoff team..... untill they can elevate their games which they have not done over any longer period as of yet, doubtful this team makes the finals next year. 

But you never know which team will if any, elevate their games to an elite level like the Bucks did this year.

Celtics might but they have not done it yet, I think many will still bite on these big expectations next season going off only  a very small sample of playoff games when the Celtics did nothing more them play with what is called .....'variance"..... all teams do it but Celtics did it in playoffs which makes it seem more meaningful, but likely is not.

I would wait to back the Celtics next season, if they happen to elevate their game to an elite level we'll be right on top of it as the seasons goes on. Celtics will be one of the teams we'll be watching next year.




 
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Posted: #194

Claw.. plays or thoughts for tonight?

 
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Posted: #195
MY LINES...........................game 6 (thurs)


76ERS -1.87 over Raps
Blazers 5.27 over Nuggets

elite teams like the Raps will mostly close-out a series on the 1st try unless they are in regression mode like the Bucks, but Bucks still did it.

Raps are close but not exactly , just not the best of spots but not exactly the worst either, so-so spot. With the Bucks win and rest and how well they are playing Raps will bring the biggest effort tonight. 

We'll back the Raps here with a small play. 


Very good spot for Blazers tonight, this series is evenly matched and these are the types of series goes 7 games.
 
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Posted: #196
Raps -2 over 76ers --- 2.2 units

we wait-out the line on Blazers, looks like it might be headed down before up. 
 
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Posted: #197
Blazers are toast what r u talking about its a mismatch everyway look at it.that series should have been over already 
 
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Posted: #198

Quote Originally Posted by MLdogs:

Blazers are toast what r u talking about its a mismatch everyway look at it.that series should have been over already

 

Heel MLdogs....sit and have patience and it will be rewarded with a treat...the semi-final round.

 

 
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Posted: #199

Claw do you have complete faith in the Raps winning in this spot with the 76sixers in a must win with some hope being 2-3 in the series and with them at home with some pretty expectant fans ?

 

 
 
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Posted: #200

Good stuff Claw, glad to see you doing so well  this post-season. Can I ask, are these PR rankings something you have created using data/stats you obtain through various websites? I am a big fan of stats/data and especially Jeff Sagarin.

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