Youre one of the few people i pay attention to on here but are we talking about bucks regressing because theyre 8-1 ATS this postseason? Celtics couldnt hit a shot and flamed out, not team chemistry and Kyrie drama, while the Bucks played near their averages I'd hardly say they were playing that much higher than theyre used to. Id think Kawhi regressing some is more likely. Just my thoughts but i kinda love the bucks here
Youre one of the few people i pay attention to on here but are we talking about bucks regressing because theyre 8-1 ATS this postseason? Celtics couldnt hit a shot and flamed out, not team chemistry and Kyrie drama, while the Bucks played near their averages I'd hardly say they were playing that much higher than theyre used to. Id think Kawhi regressing some is more likely. Just my thoughts but i kinda love the bucks here
As you said Elite teams cover game 1. I guess the question then is just how elite is this Bucks team? I guess we will find out tonight. I agree Raptors should take one of the games ats. Honestly with the theory that great teams cover game 1 and with what Giannis said about this game that this team will come out ready. Kawhi used his entire tank of gas game 7 (him and his 41 shots literally bailed them out every single possession) and I cant envision back to back 30+ shot games from him. Personally I think he comes out a bit slower himself trying to get more people involved. Because of this and Giannis' comment Im leaning Bucks 1H (if Kawhi doesnt need to turn it on til at half with them only down say 6 I think theyd take that.)
I can see either team full game but I cant get past the fact that Bucks 1H might be the best play in this particular game (I usually prefer to take points myself but hey)
You continue to provide excellent insight Claw...keep it going.
Your confidence in the Bucks is commendable. If, however, Durant is not able to return at all, and the Warriors beat the Bucks without KD...you won't be crestfallen, will you?
Win or lose I love your input and write ups. Keep it up my dude! I love my raptors but they've burned so much of my money. I might just hop on the total with ya. If raps win they need defense to win. And also I don't think Mil bench will perform the way they perform at home. BOL!
There should be more threads like this one on Covers. There is no name calling here...only posts intended to add to the goal we should all have in common...
handicap these games with enough input, from sharp minds, to give the greatest advantage in our predictions. Hat tip to you Claw for a willingness to share data and insights gained over the course of several years, in the pursuit of the common goal. Well done!
It is for that very reason I post the following:
Rather than look to last night's game between GS/Por as an exposure of Portland as an inferior team (which they are), flip that coin and recognize what a force GS can be when they are lazar-focused. Their bench has weaknesses, to be sure, but when Kerr gets everyone on the same page...watch out! DO NOT be lulled into the trap of looking at their regular season numbers as indicative of their capabilities or HEART. You have seen that heart on full display during KD's absence.
Kerr and his staff learned a valuable lesson during the 2015-16 season when they won 73 regular season games...the record came at a cost. Even LeBron will admit...the legs eventually reveal the milage after 90 games in a single season. My point is, GS took a lot of nights off during this regular season and lost 10+ games they would not have lost in 2015-16. They did that with May and June in mind guys.
Furthermore, is there a team on the planet that would not be made better with the addition of Kevin Durant?
So.....when the Ws and the Bucks tip off on Thursday, May 30th to begin the final series of 2019, remember those statistics you are relying on should have an asterisk, especially if KD is back at full-octane.
I take nothing away from the Bucks. They are the only other "elite" team this year...Portland and Toronto are pretenders. The Bucks' numbers speak for themselves and respect is truly due them. Giannis deserves every superlative thrown his direction. Indeed, he could possibly be the Finals MVP on a losing team.
I'm going to "Quote" this post during the Finals for your consideration when some of you will be blinded by the hype. It is only offered to be a contribution, not to demean or diminish the data or insights of some of you with handicapping minds which are far superior to mine.
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