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RAMS VS. PATRIOTS: There's no need to wait around two weeks to put a bet in. MEGA Write-UP!

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Posted: #26

Boatloads, Rams are a BAD matchup for the Patriots, Chiefs should have been a cake-walk their D was so bad, yet it required a phantom roughing the passer call against Brady for them to seal the deal.

moneybagmoneybagmoneybagmoneybagmoneybag

 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by Rented:

I would not want to bet on NE losing 2 Super Bowls in a row.

I tried using that logic of Patriots not losing 2 games in a row in December, and we all know how that turned out.  It's not a strong enough trend to back your bankroll up against.

 
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Posted: #28
Scalabrine bringing the early write-up, love it. On the Rams all year, we will cash bro.
 
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Posted: #29

I agree with everything I just don't know about Goff. That's my only question mark. Can McVay make him believe he can win this game.  Pats rb Michel ran for 100 yards against the Chiefs D which gave them a balanced attack. He will not be running for any where near that vs the Rams. But we've seen Brady win games with no running game what so ever in the past. Rams D line will not be on the field all game like the Cheifs was.  McVay will double Edelman and let Brady try to win the game throwing to Gronk and his gimpy self all game long. I love the Rams here as well.  

 
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Posted: #30
Fade this guy. Thinks Pete Carroll just had to run it. That's it game over. Yeah it's that simple right?
 
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Posted: #31
Wow very interesting. Thanks for the great writeup, glad you had another one to cap off the season.

 
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Posted: #32

Agree 100% i will be on rams as well. GL

 
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Posted: #33
All I know is that when you write a long love story like this, you lose. Many people called out "Patriots are not good" and look what they did. Anytime people called out the Patriots, they always proved people wrong. Might wait for the 2nd half to bet or just enjoy the game.
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by BPNJ:

All I know is that when you write a long love story like this, you lose. Many people called out "Patriots are not good" and look what they did. Anytime people called out the Patriots, they always proved people wrong. Might wait for the 2nd half to bet or just enjoy the game.


Says who? He has won all of these that I have seen in the playoffs this year, and one in NBA.
 
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Posted: #35

Pats will win this game.   110%.  Rams shouldn't even be in the Superbowl.   Don't overthink this.

 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by scotty0129:

Pats will win this game.   110%.  Rams shouldn't even be in the Superbowl.   Don't overthink this.



Just remember...Pats shouldn't be in the Superbowl  either. 
So...you should think about that.
 
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Posted: #37
Youre talking like they cruised in convincingly....
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

2019 Record: 2-1

Cowboys over Seahawks 30 Units W
Raptors over Spurs 1 Unit L
Eagles over Saints 4 Units W
Lakers over Bulls 4 Units W

+32 Units


Usually, I'd wait around the two weeks to gather all the information I need but I feel so comfortable with this one, I only needed a few hours of quiet calm and research before I posted it. That post comes right here.

I am taking the Rams +1.5. It opened at -1 and less than 4 hours I am already the beneficiary of a 2.5 pt swing in a very tight spot. I'll take every point.

Here's why:

1. This Rams team is modeled after the Seahawks Super Bowl Winning Team of 2014 and the Eagles of 2018 and their financial formula under the NFL cap rules has worked to perfection.

This is the new formula for success in the NFL:

Pay your QB on a rookie deal and unload at the other positions grabbing up all the prized free agents. 

It's how the Seahawks were able to spend so much on the Legion of Boom and how the Eagles paid Wentz virtually nothing in comparison to all their prized positions and offseason signings which lead to a title. BOTH paid off with a Super Bowl Victory and really, that formula has worked 3 times in 5 years if Pete Carroll just calls 4 running plays to end a game.

And here we are again with the Rams. Goff is paid a base salary of $3 million dollars. That is insanity. 


Good writeup, I don't disagree. 

But, I love the comment highlighted in red. If "Pete Carrol calls 4 run plays".....I have heard this one a million times since the Seahawks choked it away vs the Pats. The correct answer was to give the ball to Lynch on the goaline, as many times as needed.

That being said: Russel Wilson was the QB...he could of checked into the Lynch run anytime he wanted. But, he wanted to throw the winning TD. Greed cost him, and the Hawks, dearly. End of story.

That pick is Wilson, no one else. And, as is typical of an epic meltdown, the Seahawks haven't won since. Surprising this hasn't been more of an issue...

Never Make A Winner A Loser. Never.
 
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Posted: #39

Quote Originally Posted by Cap-Master:

Quote Originally Posted by Spooker:

Quote Originally Posted by AlgerWong:

NEWS: Someone just placed a $570,000 bet on LA RAMS ML in Caesars palace
If this is true,  why has the line gone up for Rams. I know the games were tight today and the bookies got lucky again on the "upsets".
the reason the line went up is because rams will cover. Remember the line moves up u take the dog. If it moves down u go favorite. The idiot public perception along with the greed of the bookies has made it this easy on us smart bettors. Truly this easy although I admit I use more than this to cap my games and determine winners.

Cap-Master-  This trend wrong on NO-RAM game- NO -3.5 down to -3 and lost game.

 
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Posted: #40

Quote Originally Posted by Rented:

Remember that the public was all over the Pats +3 vs KC and won. I don't care if public plays Pats so be it. The public can win sometimes too. I would not want to bet on NE losing 2 Super Bowls in a row. Just picture Brady finding Edelman open over and over again. That's what gonna happen.
What is the public - an honest question. Why are they important? 

The pen is mightier than the pigs
 
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Posted: #41

Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Lol. No. I’ve been to Vegas 6 times. Loved it every time. But I have Vegas right here on my phone now with legalized gambling!

 

Ummm Scal.  Irish7878 doesn't think GucciCapper was only referring to placing wagers when GucciCapper referred to having a party in Vegas.  Believe it read "Hot Asian Princess Party" between the lines.

 
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Posted: #42
they need 3 third and longs in that OT drive to win the game.  a 3rd and 9 and 2 third and 10s     they don't complete those and the Chiefs win that game IMO

love the pick.  BOL
 
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Posted: #43

an_popcorn

 
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Posted: #44

Quote Originally Posted by Cap-Master:

Agreed scale, I had the rams right away. Didn't even require any thought on this one. Here's to hoping tbjs ks the easiest Superbowl winever

of course it didn’t require a thought.. don’t think throw money out there like a complete clown you are 

 
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Posted: #45

Please get that rams buyback keep betting on the rams .. we just saw a better version of the rams lose at there home.. kc had a better qb wide receiving corps and tight end. Rams have slight better o line.. and at this time neither running game is to be desired.. Chiefs terrible defense played well against The run.. pats beat them thru the air.. rams can stuff the run.. there front won’t be able to get to Brady.. another good matchup for the pats

 
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Posted: #46

Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

Quote Originally Posted by Rented:

Remember that the public was all over the Pats +3 vs KC and won. I don't care if public plays Pats so be it. The public can win sometimes too. I would not want to bet on NE losing 2 Super Bowls in a row. Just picture Brady finding Edelman open over and over again. That's what gonna happen.
What is the public - an honest question. Why are they important?

The Public represents "square" amateur bettors ofcourse

The public typically likes to bet favorites while "sharp" professional bettors often favor taking the points.

For example the public loved to bet against the sorry Browns the last couple years while sharps often took the points 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #47
Brilliant post. As usual. Good job. I agree with all. I Have a little play i put in to start the season, rams to win the super bowl $100 to win $1000. Nice on that one. Will for sure be adding to that play on the + small points. Rams raise the Lombardi this year. Good luck my man. Go Rams 
 
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Posted: #48
I will get back to the other comments but to everyone saying, "I don't see the Pats losing two SB's in a row" I refer you to 2012 and 2008 where the Pats not only lost two in a row. but lost two in a row to the 'lowly' Giants (a huge Dog the first time) and a 3.5 pt dog the second time. Now look at their wins.

2002 - Beat Rams 20-17 on the last play
2004 - Beat Panthers 32-29 on the last play
2005 - Beat Eagles 24-21 under 2 minutes
2015 - Beat Hawks on last play on the worst SB play call of all time
2017 - Beat Falcons on last play

Now you GET points, ANY points (VERY valuable!) given Bill plays it close to the vest in Bowls because he knows Brady is always there for 'The Drive" AND the Pats have flushed their "Bet Against Us" mantra down the toilet since they are the favorite.

"Nobody believed in us!" Yeah, okay Tom. Well that psychological crutch is LONG gone for you to lean on. I love that that's out the window.
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by supermanbets:

of course it didn’t require a thought.. don’t think throw money out there like a complete clown you are 


Maybe do something more with your pathetic little life than hate random people on covers for no reason. You're an awfully arrogant little prick for sharing nothing useful here.
 
 
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Posted: #50
Another tidbit NOT in the OP:

I was just watching Tiki and Tierney on CBS sportsline and it was noted that the coaching staff got together at 8am ON GAMEDAY and at the breakfast buffet drew up 8 new plays and used 5. All 5 worked.

This can be looked at two ways:

1. The Pats braintrust is so brilliant that they can come up with and USE 5 of 8 NEW plays in a AFC Championship Game and have them work.

I look at it the as a negative:

To feel the need to have to come up with 8 new plays shows there was a deficiency in their gameplay up until that point that they had to remedy that MORNING.

And against the Chiefs putrid D, it worked.

The Rams D is not the Chiefs D, that I can promise you...
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