@suuma what's your thoughts on the colts and bills? I would appreciate your insight
Very tough game for the Colts on the road, but with Dareus and McKelvin out, I'll give the Colts a slight edge. Don't know whether Darby can cover TY Hilton. What can we expect of Tyrod Taylor in his first game under anti-QB coach Rex Ryan when his best receiver is covered by Vontae Davis? Too many variables IMO.
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Quote Originally Posted by megatron54:
@suuma what's your thoughts on the colts and bills? I would appreciate your insight
Very tough game for the Colts on the road, but with Dareus and McKelvin out, I'll give the Colts a slight edge. Don't know whether Darby can cover TY Hilton. What can we expect of Tyrod Taylor in his first game under anti-QB coach Rex Ryan when his best receiver is covered by Vontae Davis? Too many variables IMO.
Real curious on your thoughts on San Diego? Big on them first game
Lions historically bad on road and 0-5 last 5 seasons for road openers I believe
The stat in the bottom is completely useless. I don't see a true discrepancy in this game. The Chargers have worked to improve their offensive line but they will start Joe Barksdale at RT according to their latest depth chart. He was flat out terrible last season. Haloti Ngata looked terrific in his first training back and the coaches expect him to be ready to go. So the Chargers will have a hard time getting their run game going. King Dunlap has a tough matchup against Ezekiel Ansah on the other side. The Lions have a solid secondary and Rivers will be without Antonio Gates, but it's still Philip Rivers at home with a better pass protection than last season. The Lions have a very young offensive line but the Chargers' front seven is the same from last season who couldn't get pressure on any QB to make Flowers, Verrett and Weddle more valuable. I see somewhat of an equal matchup with both teams being able to score. Fourth quarter performance likely wins this game and I like the over more than any side. Could be good for a teaser.
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Quote Originally Posted by monkeebooger:
Love ya suuma. You were amazing last year.
Real curious on your thoughts on San Diego? Big on them first game
Lions historically bad on road and 0-5 last 5 seasons for road openers I believe
The stat in the bottom is completely useless. I don't see a true discrepancy in this game. The Chargers have worked to improve their offensive line but they will start Joe Barksdale at RT according to their latest depth chart. He was flat out terrible last season. Haloti Ngata looked terrific in his first training back and the coaches expect him to be ready to go. So the Chargers will have a hard time getting their run game going. King Dunlap has a tough matchup against Ezekiel Ansah on the other side. The Lions have a solid secondary and Rivers will be without Antonio Gates, but it's still Philip Rivers at home with a better pass protection than last season. The Lions have a very young offensive line but the Chargers' front seven is the same from last season who couldn't get pressure on any QB to make Flowers, Verrett and Weddle more valuable. I see somewhat of an equal matchup with both teams being able to score. Fourth quarter performance likely wins this game and I like the over more than any side. Could be good for a teaser.
This is a game I would play the under every time
again no matter whether I hit it the first time or not. This game is set
up to go under 40 points and I’ve got several reasons to explain:
Both teams have excellent defenses and furthermore are very good at defending third downs and red zone attempts
The Texans’ offensive line has been above average
in a weak pass-rushing division. They had a very soft schedule. Brian
Hoyer had a good pass protection last season and wasn’t really
effective. This matchup against the Chiefs is completely
different- he will see major pressure and will throw into good
coverage. The Chiefs will force a few sacks and three and outs.
The Chiefs have a terrible and reshuffled offensive
line. This is a nightmare matchup for the Chiefs. Jadeveon Clowney will
line up on Sunday and get at least a limited snap count. From what I’ve
heard, the Texans offensive linemen weren’t
able to block Clowney and Watt at training – so why should the Chiefs
be able to do that? Eric Fisher is listed as RT on the depth chart,
Laurent Duvernay-Tardif next to him at RG. Eric Fisher has been a bust
in the NFL so far. In his first year he played
RT, giving up 47 total pressures and 6 penalties. Last year he played
LT and gave up 42 pressures along with 9 penalties. This time RT again
and has a 6th round pick from 2014 next to him who has seen
ZERO NFL snaps thus far and who looked horrible
in the pre-season. These two guys will try to block JJ Watt and Whitney
Mercilus – have fun my friends! On the other side it’s Donald
Stephenson who played 31 snaps last season and rookie Ben Grubbs
blocking against Jared Crick and a healthy Jadeveon Clowney
flying from the edge. Have fun my friends! And in the middle it’s
rookie Mitch Morse against Vince Wilfork.
Both teams should show us a conservative gameplan,
because both offensive lines will get dominated by the opposite front
seven and both QBs are going to throw into good coverage. That means we
are likely going to see a lot of running plays
which eats the time. But I also expect both teams to not be highly
successful on the ground, because Alfred Blue isn’t good and both teams
have an improved run defense. The Chiefs have a TNF game against the
Broncos on deck, so they won’t show their two aces
and rather try to sneak out a stinker instead of trying to rape the
playbook. The Texans are just limited on offense and will rather try to
not turn the ball over instead of seeking for throws downfield. Many
running plays, time ticking, many three and outs
and more FGs than TDs on successful drives – I can hardly see any team
scoring 20+ here on Sunday.
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Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans Under 41 -107
This is a game I would play the under every time
again no matter whether I hit it the first time or not. This game is set
up to go under 40 points and I’ve got several reasons to explain:
Both teams have excellent defenses and furthermore are very good at defending third downs and red zone attempts
The Texans’ offensive line has been above average
in a weak pass-rushing division. They had a very soft schedule. Brian
Hoyer had a good pass protection last season and wasn’t really
effective. This matchup against the Chiefs is completely
different- he will see major pressure and will throw into good
coverage. The Chiefs will force a few sacks and three and outs.
The Chiefs have a terrible and reshuffled offensive
line. This is a nightmare matchup for the Chiefs. Jadeveon Clowney will
line up on Sunday and get at least a limited snap count. From what I’ve
heard, the Texans offensive linemen weren’t
able to block Clowney and Watt at training – so why should the Chiefs
be able to do that? Eric Fisher is listed as RT on the depth chart,
Laurent Duvernay-Tardif next to him at RG. Eric Fisher has been a bust
in the NFL so far. In his first year he played
RT, giving up 47 total pressures and 6 penalties. Last year he played
LT and gave up 42 pressures along with 9 penalties. This time RT again
and has a 6th round pick from 2014 next to him who has seen
ZERO NFL snaps thus far and who looked horrible
in the pre-season. These two guys will try to block JJ Watt and Whitney
Mercilus – have fun my friends! On the other side it’s Donald
Stephenson who played 31 snaps last season and rookie Ben Grubbs
blocking against Jared Crick and a healthy Jadeveon Clowney
flying from the edge. Have fun my friends! And in the middle it’s
rookie Mitch Morse against Vince Wilfork.
Both teams should show us a conservative gameplan,
because both offensive lines will get dominated by the opposite front
seven and both QBs are going to throw into good coverage. That means we
are likely going to see a lot of running plays
which eats the time. But I also expect both teams to not be highly
successful on the ground, because Alfred Blue isn’t good and both teams
have an improved run defense. The Chiefs have a TNF game against the
Broncos on deck, so they won’t show their two aces
and rather try to sneak out a stinker instead of trying to rape the
playbook. The Texans are just limited on offense and will rather try to
not turn the ball over instead of seeking for throws downfield. Many
running plays, time ticking, many three and outs
and more FGs than TDs on successful drives – I can hardly see any team
scoring 20+ here on Sunday.
Best of luck this season Suuma. Quick question tho. I'm thinking of tailing you for the first time and just wondering are all your games the same amount of units? Thanks.
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Best of luck this season Suuma. Quick question tho. I'm thinking of tailing you for the first time and just wondering are all your games the same amount of units? Thanks.
Good write-ups Suuma. Hey man, BOL this year as always. I agree with you on several picks which include the Bengals, Rams, and Chiefs Under. I appreciate what you bring to the online community. TTYL
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Good write-ups Suuma. Hey man, BOL this year as always. I agree with you on several picks which include the Bengals, Rams, and Chiefs Under. I appreciate what you bring to the online community. TTYL
Hey Summa, appreciate what you do and look forward to another good year. Just curious if you bet any halftime lines. I couldn't remember from last year. I'm hoping you don't as I love to follow your plays and always have to be at work on Sundays! thanks man and good luck
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Hey Summa, appreciate what you do and look forward to another good year. Just curious if you bet any halftime lines. I couldn't remember from last year. I'm hoping you don't as I love to follow your plays and always have to be at work on Sundays! thanks man and good luck
First Post, I have been on this Forum for last 10yrs, just leaching. Joined, just to thank people like you , Phixer, Scalabrine and LC ( whatever happened to him) etc. You guys really spend so much of your time to anaylise this sport . I always enjoy reading your post. I may not agree all the time but you are very informative. I respect your opinion. Please don't let any of these short time plungers to discourage you from posting.
Again thank you.
BOL this season. I'll be watching you.
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First Post, I have been on this Forum for last 10yrs, just leaching. Joined, just to thank people like you , Phixer, Scalabrine and LC ( whatever happened to him) etc. You guys really spend so much of your time to anaylise this sport . I always enjoy reading your post. I may not agree all the time but you are very informative. I respect your opinion. Please don't let any of these short time plungers to discourage you from posting.
No because Wendell is not necessarily a downgrade IMO. He is much more experienced and knows this offense. This puts Tre Jackson to starting RG which I like.
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Quote Originally Posted by a4u2fear:
Suuma, what's your opinion with NE center out?
No because Wendell is not necessarily a downgrade IMO. He is much more experienced and knows this offense. This puts Tre Jackson to starting RG which I like.
Hey Summa, appreciate what you do and look forward to another good year. Just curious if you bet any halftime lines. I couldn't remember from last year. I'm hoping you don't as I love to follow your plays and always have to be at work on Sundays! thanks man and good luck
Never play first halfs. All picks will be locked in before Sunday
Good luck to you this week
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Quote Originally Posted by dkite22:
Hey Summa, appreciate what you do and look forward to another good year. Just curious if you bet any halftime lines. I couldn't remember from last year. I'm hoping you don't as I love to follow your plays and always have to be at work on Sundays! thanks man and good luck
Never play first halfs. All picks will be locked in before Sunday
Good write-ups Suuma. Hey man, BOL this year as always. I agree with you on several picks which include the Bengals, Rams, and Chiefs Under. I appreciate what you bring to the online community. TTYL
Thanks buddy, let's get them this week
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Quote Originally Posted by NFLGuru83:
Good write-ups Suuma. Hey man, BOL this year as always. I agree with you on several picks which include the Bengals, Rams, and Chiefs Under. I appreciate what you bring to the online community. TTYL
First Post, I have been on this Forum for last 10yrs, just leaching. Joined, just to thank people like you , Phixer, Scalabrine and LC ( whatever happened to him) etc. You guys really spend so much of your time to anaylise this sport . I always enjoy reading your post. I may not agree all the time but you are very informative. I respect your opinion. Please don't let any of these short time plungers to discourage you from posting.
Again thank you.
BOL this season. I'll be watching you.
Thank you very much. I don't care about those plungers, hehe.
Have a good start
0
Quote Originally Posted by JDE:
First Post, I have been on this Forum for last 10yrs, just leaching. Joined, just to thank people like you , Phixer, Scalabrine and LC ( whatever happened to him) etc. You guys really spend so much of your time to anaylise this sport . I always enjoy reading your post. I may not agree all the time but you are very informative. I respect your opinion. Please don't let any of these short time plungers to discourage you from posting.
Again thank you.
BOL this season. I'll be watching you.
Thank you very much. I don't care about those plungers, hehe.
IMO taking the Redskins in this game is like
playing Russian Roulette with seven bullets. The one free slot equals an
early exit of Ryan Tannehill or two special teams and one defensive
score. I don’t have a big play in week one because
there is a chance I’ve missed something before the season starts but
later in the season this would have been a big play for me. I had a big
play on the Dolphins against the Chargers last year and the game ended 37-0. It was an equal game, not because of the players but because of the strengths and weaknesses in the matchups. The Chargers couldn't get pressure towards Tannehill and their offensive line got eaten - Rivers got sacked four times.
The Dolphins have the
best 4-3 defensive line in the league, period.
This line is also incredibly deep. Earl Mitchell looks stronger, he was
pushing linemen a few yards backwards against the Falcons. CJ Mosley is
a nice addition, as well as rookie Jordan Phillips. Even Derrick Shelby
looked good in the pre-season. This line
won’t have any concerns in fourth quarters with such a rotation.
Olivier Vernon will keep Trent Williams busy and on the other side there
is such a big mismatch it isn’t funny. Suh and Cameron Wake will line
up against rookie Brandon Scherff and Morgan Moses (1 combined NFL start).
On Monday this game will be on wikipedia as the definition for the word
“pressure”. This first step by Suh is flat out amazing. Against the
Falcons he was disrupting the opposite o-line before the center has
given away the ball. Cameron Wake is one of the
best DEs in the league. Kirk Cousins won’t have a clean pocket and will
struggle because he is not good under pressure. Later in the season I
expect this offense to be legit with the o-line having time to gel and a
solid receiving corps, but going against
the likes of Grimes and Taylor while getting throws from Kirk Cousins
under pressure will cause trouble for the Redskins. Gruden said that the Skins want to run to set up quick passes. They ain't running against the Dolphins. If you want to know
how this offense might look like on Sunday, feel free to watch the tape
from the Rams@Skins game from 2014 when Colt
McCoy was under center who I liked a lot. Cousins will get sacked
multiple times and there is a chance he doesn’t finish this game.
The Redskins made a good job in the off-season
upgrading their college defense. But with Breeland and Gallette out,
this isn’t a good matchup at all. Branden Albert is ready to go and Mike
Pouncey will play at his natural position again.
Albert can block everything, one of the best LT’s in the league. This
first-string offensive line is just legit. When Albert and Pouncey were
playing, the Dolphins were nearly unstoppable. And while I believe the
Redskins to have an improved pass rush, this
is not enough to get consistent pressure on this pocket. I said it in
May: Ryan Tannehill is a very underrated QB. He had the 5th best accuracy and the 4th
best INT percentage last season. Only Ben Roethlisberger was better in
both categories.
And he can run. Kenny Stills, Jarvis Landry, Greg Jennings, Jordan
Cameron, my favorite WR in the draft DeVante Parker, Richard Matthews,
Dion Sims and Lamar Miller in the backfield – Ryan Tannehill will be
moving the ball with ease. And what’s even better:
he will get a few short fields because of their defense. This game has
31-6 written all over it.
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Miami Dolphins -3.5 +100
IMO taking the Redskins in this game is like
playing Russian Roulette with seven bullets. The one free slot equals an
early exit of Ryan Tannehill or two special teams and one defensive
score. I don’t have a big play in week one because
there is a chance I’ve missed something before the season starts but
later in the season this would have been a big play for me. I had a big
play on the Dolphins against the Chargers last year and the game ended 37-0. It was an equal game, not because of the players but because of the strengths and weaknesses in the matchups. The Chargers couldn't get pressure towards Tannehill and their offensive line got eaten - Rivers got sacked four times.
The Dolphins have the
best 4-3 defensive line in the league, period.
This line is also incredibly deep. Earl Mitchell looks stronger, he was
pushing linemen a few yards backwards against the Falcons. CJ Mosley is
a nice addition, as well as rookie Jordan Phillips. Even Derrick Shelby
looked good in the pre-season. This line
won’t have any concerns in fourth quarters with such a rotation.
Olivier Vernon will keep Trent Williams busy and on the other side there
is such a big mismatch it isn’t funny. Suh and Cameron Wake will line
up against rookie Brandon Scherff and Morgan Moses (1 combined NFL start).
On Monday this game will be on wikipedia as the definition for the word
“pressure”. This first step by Suh is flat out amazing. Against the
Falcons he was disrupting the opposite o-line before the center has
given away the ball. Cameron Wake is one of the
best DEs in the league. Kirk Cousins won’t have a clean pocket and will
struggle because he is not good under pressure. Later in the season I
expect this offense to be legit with the o-line having time to gel and a
solid receiving corps, but going against
the likes of Grimes and Taylor while getting throws from Kirk Cousins
under pressure will cause trouble for the Redskins. Gruden said that the Skins want to run to set up quick passes. They ain't running against the Dolphins. If you want to know
how this offense might look like on Sunday, feel free to watch the tape
from the Rams@Skins game from 2014 when Colt
McCoy was under center who I liked a lot. Cousins will get sacked
multiple times and there is a chance he doesn’t finish this game.
The Redskins made a good job in the off-season
upgrading their college defense. But with Breeland and Gallette out,
this isn’t a good matchup at all. Branden Albert is ready to go and Mike
Pouncey will play at his natural position again.
Albert can block everything, one of the best LT’s in the league. This
first-string offensive line is just legit. When Albert and Pouncey were
playing, the Dolphins were nearly unstoppable. And while I believe the
Redskins to have an improved pass rush, this
is not enough to get consistent pressure on this pocket. I said it in
May: Ryan Tannehill is a very underrated QB. He had the 5th best accuracy and the 4th
best INT percentage last season. Only Ben Roethlisberger was better in
both categories.
And he can run. Kenny Stills, Jarvis Landry, Greg Jennings, Jordan
Cameron, my favorite WR in the draft DeVante Parker, Richard Matthews,
Dion Sims and Lamar Miller in the backfield – Ryan Tannehill will be
moving the ball with ease. And what’s even better:
he will get a few short fields because of their defense. This game has
31-6 written all over it.
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