Presidential Election

HRC's odds of winning presidency have been dropped to -260 from -400 just about few weeks ago. But she still has 66% of beating Trump in Nov. 8 in CNN/Pivit.  

The race has tightened, but this EV map shows HRC leading 272-174:

 I understand it only effects non-swallorers.....hence the prolonged cough to clear the throat...

I don't believe any modern candidate who refuses to release his or her tax return can win a general election.  I wanted to start my post by stating that because Trump's refusal to disclose one of them at least is not what I'd call savvy.  There are a few things I suspect his returns would reveal, like he donated less than the 4% Bernie contributed to charity despite earning hundreds of millions more dollars, something that looks extremely hypocritcal when he supposedly cares so much about veterans and others.  He probably does have a lot of debt he incurred as well.  IMO, I don't think he cares about anyone but himself and his family.  It's laughable anyone feels he's in touch with the common person.  That's a joke.

Secondly, I still don't really see how Trump can win without grabbing most of the battleground states and fighting actual math.  The demographics look bad for him when he is going to record extremely low numbers from Hispanics and black voters.  It's hard for me to guess at the disparity for women but I suspect something like 60/40 or 65-35 in favor of Hillary.  After all of that, he needs a ridiculously high share of white voters, especially men, to vote in his favor to offset the losses in other areas. 

I haven't felt he can win the election for a couple of months now unless he somehow wins the debates, which I think we all know is unlikely since he doesn't know enough information about the important subjects.  He attempted to defer to his peers in the Republican debates on the finer details for policies.  Yes, I paid close attention and watched virtually all of the debates.  I gain perspective by listening to all sides involved.  That approach isn't going to work this time around.  He is going to have to speak at length about some very difficult subjects that quite frankly he doesn't know enough about.

Truth be told, HRC has been a rabid carpet muncher for the last 20 years or so.  Which I have no problem with, to each his / her / their own.

Hillary -200 now, sure hope all you clinton backers saved some money to add to your "lock" position.

Odds often fluctuate over time but trend still favors Clinton.  According to predictwise graph, gambling markets indicate rising trend for Clinton and declining trend for Trump since 2015.  December shows highest support for Trump and August 2016 for Clinton.  Clinton has always been a strong favourite and is doing better now than Obama in 2012 election. 

Donald Trump pulls ahead of Hillary Clinton by 2 points, 45 vs 43, in the CNN/ORC poll. Great news for Trump supporters, and the betting odds also reflect it accordingly. 

Odds of HRC slowly clime back to -250, Obama was around -250 just before the 2012 Election. Two more months to go before Nov. 8, things will get heating up for sure.  

In previous 8 presidential elections, the candidate that is leading in September polls went on to win.  But polls aren't as reliable as gambling markets in predicting election outcomes.  Also national polls aren't as reliable as State polls.  Vanzack is right about battleground States being the main determinant.

Van,

Looking for a non-biased point of view: do you think this "fainting" has any impact on her chances, or is it pretty much a non-issue?

This happened at 9;30 am ........

The temperature in New York City on Sunday morning was in the low 80s....82*, with relatively low humidity of around 46% and with a slight breeze..

Hillary didn’t faint, she collapsed....One report is that Hillary went stiff as a board but was semi-conscious. They couldn’t bend her enough to carry her so, and also for appearances, dragged her to the car.....
That’s when both her $500 pair of shoes came off.

Clinton went to her daughter’s apartment some time later and departed shortly after... one reporter asked if she was feeling better. Clinton responded: Yes,but we have to due something about this damn Global Warming..

No tangible impact. Electoral math too much to overcome. Pure demographics make the task nearly impossible even with hillary.

Is Hillary 'dead' money would be the obvious,  deplorable question at this  point in time after her knees buckled in NY. Has this woman ever ran more than a 1/4 mile in her life or did she always have somebody to bail her out like Comey?

There's a difference between betting on Hillary to become president, and for the Democratic Party to win the presidency.

She was just diagnosed with pneumonia and I am reading reports that they may be looking for a replacement to run for president instead of her.

Do you think that she might actually be replaced by someone like Biden, Sanders or Kaine?

Hillary Clinton has cancelled a campaign trip to California, but a campaign official said her health is fine ..and she feels great ..

Quote Originally Posted by Mark_The_Narc:

No tangible impact. Electoral math too much to overcome. Pure demographics make the task nearly impossible even with hillary.

I would think,if that was your grandmother ,,you would be a little more concerned..

It took four men to stuff her in that van...200 lbs. of dead weight cankles is very hard to move....

It's not about the news, it's all about the news source.