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Presidential Election

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Posted: #776
All you bankroll will eventually be tied up if Hillary wins.
 
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Posted: #777
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:

As of yesterday, the Princeton Election Consortium has Clinton with a 95% win probability (and a 97% Bayesian probability). Predictwise is at 88%.

Need this mess to be over. Have too much of my bankroll tied up.

Will not take too long from now, Skip, 11-08-16, only twenty some more days. 
 
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Posted: #778
Hillary -600, that's the highest number since the book opened it from last year.

Also, Trump might tear apart the GOP's current majority in the Senate.

Book has "Republicans no longer Senate majority" at -280. 
    
 
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Posted: #779
remember, if you plan on voting for trump, clear your calendars for november 28 so you can be sure to get to the polls.  otherwis,e for normal people, do what you'd normally do. 


https://www.sfgate.com/elections/article/Donald-Trump-just-encouraged-supporters-to-vote-9965546.php
 
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Posted: #780
It looks like the Dewey/Truman debacle to me.
 
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Posted: #781
Quote Originally Posted by sundance:

It looks like the Dewey/Truman debacle to me.


i'm assuming math was not your best subject at school
 
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Posted: #782


It used to be my best subject. The polls are rigged. There is no way Hillary has a double digit lead. The combination of Trump and Assange could destroy Hillary before the 1st Tuesday in November.

 
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Posted: #783
Bovada line explosion this morning

HRC -550
DJT +375
OTHER+2000

If you have neglected to fill in your position, then you may just want to hold off for now. All three lines have the value of absolute zero


 
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Posted: #784
Quote Originally Posted by sundance:


It used to be my best subject. The polls are rigged. There is no way Hillary has a double digit lead. The combination of Trump and Assange could destroy Hillary before the 1st Tuesday in November.

Yeah, the rapist, Assange, will come to the rescue...

Julian Assange: My Next Leak Will Ensure Hillary’s Arrest

-didn't happen

Julian Assange: I Will Bring Hillary Down Before The Debate Stage On September 26th!

-didn't happen

ASSANGE WAITS FOR HOUR BEFORE

DEBATE, RELEASES HILLARY CONFESSING TO IT ALL

-nothing...

 
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Posted: #785
I agree that double digit lead by NBC/WSJ is the outlier poll, I'm guessing those polls after the tape will be 6-7%.  With country divided as it is, winning by DD is just not going to happen.  There's been only one DD margin in last 40 years, Reagan in 84.
 
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Posted: #786

Sounds like Assange  is related to WJC.

 
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Posted: #787
Quote Originally Posted by gmitran:

I agree that double digit lead by NBC/WSJ is the outlier poll, I'm guessing those polls after the tape will be 6-7%.  With country divided as it is, winning by DD is just not going to happen.  There's been only one DD margin in last 40 years, Reagan in 84.

When was the last time that Utah becomes a battleground State? 1964, but Hillary is tied with Trump at 26% in one Utah poll as of now. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #788
Toss up states are now likely Clinton - and safe Trump states are now just likely Trump..
This map will be almost totally blue by the end of this week:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_race_changes.html
 
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Posted: #789
Quote Originally Posted by sundance:


It used to be my best subject. The polls are rigged. There is no way Hillary has a double digit lead. The combination of Trump and Assange could destroy Hillary before the 1st Tuesday in November.




Hope is not a plan Sundance. "Polls are rigged" is a losing man's argument. If you put money on DJT then I wish you luck......but I take no pleasure in watching people lose money so I hope that you are simply a Trump supporter as opposed to holding a losing ticket.
 
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Posted: #790
I have a $100 on Trump at 2-1 with my boss inyourlife16.
 
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Posted: #791
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


When was the last time that Utah becomes a battleground State? 1964, but Hillary is tied with Trump at 26% in one Utah poll as of now. 

Wow, amazing.  The numbers just communicate the story so clearly.

Mormons who are GOP voters are revolting against trump who is...well.. revolting lol

I think Mormons have a higher standard of character and morals and will not make sad excuses and insane justifications or use diversions to some how try to make trump more palletable.  Trump is a complete train wreck and the Mormons know it and are willing to accept reality.

Along with the lack of morals and character, trump's anti-immigration and wall building rhetoric that seems to have wrangled in the bottom feeders of America is not something the Mormons will take the bait one. 

Faith is important to Mormons and as a religious minority in the USA their ability to practice their religion under the first amendment is a big part of their values.  So for trump and his supporters to persecute Muslims as a religious minorities standing behind a Christian majority is not a good dynamic to utilize when dealing with a religious minority like the Mormons. 

Finally trump is constantly putting his foot in his mouth and while his mindless followers are dismissing every foolish thing he does and says, Mormons are probably more aware and sensitive to when in his insensitivity and ignorance he insults or attacks Mormons or someone like mitt Romney Questioning his faith.

What trump does that, he not only shows a lack of respect or understanding for a religious minority like the Mormons,  he shows a complete lack of respect and understand about faith and exposes himself as the being empty spiritually and void of real faith. The Mormons who are more attune are quite aware that you can tell trump lacks personal faith and that is why he acts so ignorantly and lacks moral character 
 
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Posted: #792
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


When was the last time that Utah becomes a battleground State? 1964, but Hillary is tied with Trump at 26% in one Utah poll as of now. 


There's not a single scientific reliable poll out recently besides NBC showing HRC by DD lead so that is an outlier poll.

I just don't think she'll win by DD as Trump's core are extremely loyal and he's "pivoting" hard to them now to hold onto them.  As HRC is also unpopular, GJ/JS will get larger share of protest votes.

Anytime recently where candidate win by DD, the electoral margins are by 300+ and I don't see HRC winning by that much.

Having said that, I don't mind being wrong as I have HRC by 150+ electoral at +300. 
 
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Posted: #793
Quote Originally Posted by sundance:

I have a $100 on Trump at 2-1 with my boss inyourlife16.

You are correct Sir. I had forgotten about that. I remember begging you to clarify your position with your boss when some random controversy popped up a couple months back......I forget exactly what it was. It may have been regarding if your boss would still pay if Hillary got sick and couldn't run.......or something like that. A friendly 2-1 with your boss for $100 is fine..........nobody gets too hurt on that, though I'd rather see you getting 5-1 on $50. BOL
 
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Posted: #794
yeah, the polls are rigged. deja vu all over again. flashback to Covers 4 years ago when Romney lemmings walked off the betting cliff because Fox News told them the polls were skewed. Fine with me. Made out like a bandit.
 
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Posted: #795
Quote Originally Posted by dl36:


Wow, amazing.  The numbers just communicate the story so clearly.

Mormons who are GOP voters are revolting against trump who is...well.. revolting lol

I think Mormons have a higher standard of character and morals and will not make sad excuses and insane justifications or use diversions to some how try to make trump more palletable.  Trump is a complete train wreck and the Mormons know it and are willing to accept reality.

Along with the lack of morals and character, trump's anti-immigration and wall building rhetoric that seems to have wrangled in the bottom feeders of America is not something the Mormons will take the bait one. 

Faith is important to Mormons and as a religious minority in the USA their ability to practice their religion under the first amendment is a big part of their values.  So for trump and his supporters to persecute Muslims as a religious minorities standing behind a Christian majority is not a good dynamic to utilize when dealing with a religious minority like the Mormons. 

Finally trump is constantly putting his foot in his mouth and while his mindless followers are dismissing every foolish thing he does and says, Mormons are probably more aware and sensitive to when in his insensitivity and ignorance he insults or attacks Mormons or someone like mitt Romney Questioning his faith.

What trump does that, he not only shows a lack of respect or understanding for a religious minority like the Mormons,  he shows a complete lack of respect and understand about faith and exposes himself as the being empty spiritually and void of real faith. The Mormons who are more attune are quite aware that you can tell trump lacks personal faith and that is why he acts so ignorantly and lacks moral character 

It could get ugly, Trump might lose Arizona, Georgia, or Utah and all of those current battleground states. Hillary might beat Trump by 100 or more electoral votes, largest landslide since Reagan in 1984.  
 
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Posted: #796
Just go out and vote. I still see 20,000 at Trump rallies and 500 at Clinton rallies. 
 
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Posted: #797
The polls are conditioning Americans to a big, huge Hillary victory. Psy Ops being executed.
 
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Posted: #798
Quote Originally Posted by roastedpeanuts:

Just go out and vote. I still see 20,000 at Trump rallies and 500 at Clinton rallies. 

At +400 for DJT, roasted peanuts is gonna make a killing with his rally size angle. You should go All-In. You are going to need a wheel barrel and a few 55 gallon drums for all that cash. BOL
 
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Posted: #799

The following is a copy/paste from Rasmussen. It looks like  the feeling of feminized  American's have quit hurting after hearing  the 'p' word on tape from 11 years ago.

The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, Clinton still held a four-point 43% to 39% lead over Trump, but  that was down from five points on Tuesday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday.



 
 
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Posted: #800
Quote Originally Posted by Inyourlife16:


At +400 for DJT, roasted peanuts is gonna make a killing with his rally size angle. You should go All-In. You are going to need a wheel barrel and a few 55 gallon drums for all that cash. BOL


It's always interesting to see how trump supporters construct their perspective.  So based on rally attendance at events that they don't even attend personally and instead are going on what they hear, they are going to formulate their view based on  rallies. 

It just seems completely insane. Seems like such an uneducated and irrational way to chose to make a prediction. 

Its one thing to hear about trump supporters, it's a whole other thing to actually see them try to talk about things.   The kart before horse mentality where rather than using facts and reality to form and opinion they instead try to desperately grasp at anything and everything to justify their view in spite of logic and reality. 

I guess that is why the biased media like briebart and Fox News are so lucrative.   Or like how someone would take Rasmussen polls with even a ounce seriousness after their clear bias has been exposed time and time again.   Like what kind of fool would believe the biased media and reporting like that?

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