UPDATE: 'Race for the White House'

no. 

Thanks to the electoral college, the presidential election will be decided on those battle ground states. Florida might turn blue again on Nov. So might Georgia, although it's a long shot. A ranked SurveyUSA has Biden +2 over Trump in Georgia.   

i am predicting pennsylvania  michigan and arizona r blue for sure and that seals it for biden

Update, AUGUST 25:


Biden needs to win any  3 of these states,
...or just   2   if one is Florida!


trump MUST win at least 6 of these:

+2 trump, OHIO (18) 

*TIED*,  Georgia (15)

*TIED*, N.Carolina (15)

+3 Biden, Arizona (11)

+5 Biden, FLORIDA (29) 

+6 Biden, Wisconsin (10)

+7 Biden, Michigan (16)  

+7 Biden, Pennsylvania (20)

https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/

AUG 25:

Joe Biden maintains a comfortable NATIONAL lead over Dr.Death

The poll average at RealClearPolitics polls monitoring site is +7.6 *
The poll average at 270towin polls monitoring site is +9.1
The poll average at 270towin polls monitoring site is +9.3

*RCP is the site I have consistently quoted here
even though it is always the LOWEST of the three.

A couple minor moves...

The good guys are 3 net seats short of a 50/50 split in the Senate
which they would effectively control with tie votes cast by Kamala Harris.
Dems likely lose a seat in ruby-red Alabama to popular Tuberville.

So DEMS must win 4 others from among these possibles:

+7.2  ARIZONA - Mark Kelly (D) over loser *Martha McSally ....UP!
+4.3  N.CAROLINA - Cunningham (D) over *Tillis....................UP!
+4.2  MAINE - Sara Gideon (D) over outdated *Susan Collins....UP!
+8.0  COLORADO - Gov. Hickenlooper (D) over *Gardner ........n/c
+0.2  IOWA - Greenfield (D) vs *Joni Ernst ............................UP!

- 1   MONTANA - Governor Bullock (D) vs *Daines ..................n/c
- 1   KANSAS - Bollier (D) vs Marshall (R) ......................... no info

Source: https://tinyurl.com/yxrearw3

Trump has gone from a +150 underdog to a -105 favorite over the last two weeks. its over, MAGA.

i think gideon might be higher than that now

8.4 at 538 is about their average the past few months . maybe use that stat

I don’t think that there should be any debates,” Pelosi told reporters. “I do not think that the president of the United States has comported himself in a way that anybody has any association with truth, evidence, data and facts.”

“I wouldn’t legitimize a conversation with him nor a debate in terms of the presidency of the United States,” she added. 

This is what happens when you screw with a trip to davos. And take the keys from Air Force 3... Awe poor Donnie....

RNC vs. DNC Ratings:     Dems draw
5.7 Million More Viewers on night 3

By Lindsay MacDonald Aug 27, 2020

Someone start playing the Rocky theme music because the DNC's ratings
might have just delivered the knockout punch to the RNC score.

Viewership for the Republican National Convention fell on its third night,
in sharp contrast to the gains the DNC saw last week for Night 3.

According to early Nielsen numbers, about 15.7 million viewers watched
the Republican National Convention during the 10 p.m. hour across six
networks: Fox News, CNN, MSNBC, NBC, ABC, and CBS.
That's down about 2.3 million viewers from the previous night,
which featured a speech from First Lady Melania Trump.

By comparison, the Democratic National Convention pulled 21.4 million
viewers across those same six networks on Night 3, which was
 up 2.2 million from its previous night's viewership numbers.

Harris ended up drawing 5.7 million more viewers than Pence.

Source:  https://tinyurl.com/yxmqdo6l

SEPT, 02:  A couple minor moves in the SENATE races...

The good guys are 3 net seats short of a 50/50 split in the Senate
which they would effectively control with tie votes cast by Kamala Harris.
Dems likely lose a seat in ruby-red Alabama to popular Tuberville.

So DEMS must win 4 others from among these possibles:

+8.2 ARIZONA - Mark Kelly (D) over loser *Martha McSally ....UP!
+4.4 N.CAROLINA - Cunningham (D) over *Tillis....................UP!
+4.4 MAINE - Sara Gideon (D) over outdated *Susan Collins....UP!
+8.0 COLORADO - Gov. Hickenlooper (D) over *Gardner ........n/c
+0.2 IOWA - Greenfield (D) vs *Joni Ernst ............................n/c

- 2 MONTANA - Governor Bullock (D) vs *Daines ..................n/c
- 1 KANSAS - Bollier (D) vs Marshall (R) ......................... no info

Sept 11:
Biden maintains consistent national lead:

These 3 poll monitoring sites using "rolling averages" ....so it changes often:

The poll average at RealClearPolitics polls monitoring site is +7.5
The poll average at 270towin polls monitoring site is +7.9
The poll average at 538 polls monitoring site is +7.5

*RCP is the site I have consistently quoted here, despite being right-bias.

I can't see anyway Biden will lose this election...

For once we agree.

Except of course for whatever bogus SCAM trump and Barr are conspiring to unleash for their anticipated "October Surprise"

you said it 

October surprise?

Fox announced 30 min ago Trump has bought ad space for October. 

The official told Fox News that the new round of ads will include one national cable buy, as well as local broadcast buys in eight key early voting states, adding a new ad presence in Arizona and Pennsylvania, while continuing ads in North Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin. The buy also includes the second congressional district in Nebraska, and the second congressional district in Maine, according to the official.

The new ad buys in Arizona and Pennsylvania come just ahead of early voting in the states – with voters in Arizona beginning early voting on Oct. 7, and those in Pennsylvania on Oct. 19. The campaign is also expanding their urban radio efforts, and adding Pennsylvania to their existing radio presence.

"This week’s advertising continues our strategic plan to follow the dates on the calendar, the states that are voting early, the data that always guides our decision-making and our pathway to 270," Trump campaign manager Bill Stepien told Fox News.

Battleground states update, September 15:

From "270towin" polls monitoring site:
https://tinyurl.com/yamph8b3

**Note: Biden needs only to win any 3 of these,
... or only 2 states if one of them is Florida.

TRUMP MUST WIN SIX of these at least !

+0.5 trump, Georgia

virtual TIE, OHIO
virtual TIE, N.Carolina
+2.0 Biden, Florida
+4.0 Biden, Arizona
+4.8 Biden, Pennsylvania (has DEM Governor)
+6.0 Biden, Wisconsin   (elected DEM Governor in 2018)
+6.2 Biden, Michigan    (elected DEM Governor in 2018)

TRUMP MUST WIN SIX of these at least !