The National Polling has narrowed Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites. This is a common occurance to almost every election. It may narrow even further pending the anticipated "October Surprise" Nothing surprising or unexpected here.
+5.9 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics +5.4 Biden/Harris at 270towin +6.9 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
National polling is important, but the key is always the swing states.
3
The National Polling has narrowed Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites. This is a common occurance to almost every election. It may narrow even further pending the anticipated "October Surprise" Nothing surprising or unexpected here.
+5.9 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics +5.4 Biden/Harris at 270towin +6.9 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
National polling is important, but the key is always the swing states.
The National Polling has narrowed Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites. This is a common occurance to almost every election. It may narrow even further pending the anticipated "October Surprise" Nothing surprising or unexpected here.
+5.9 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics +5.4 Biden/Harris at 270towin +6.9 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
National polling is important, but the key is always the swing states.
September 18"
Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites has increased slightly
+6.0 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics +6.0 Biden/Harris at 270towin +6.7 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
4
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
September 16:
The National Polling has narrowed Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites. This is a common occurance to almost every election. It may narrow even further pending the anticipated "October Surprise" Nothing surprising or unexpected here.
+5.9 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics +5.4 Biden/Harris at 270towin +6.9 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
National polling is important, but the key is always the swing states.
September 18"
Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites has increased slightly
+6.0 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics +6.0 Biden/Harris at 270towin +6.7 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: September 16: The National Polling has narrowed Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites. This is a common occurance to almost every election.It may narrow even further pending the anticipated "October Surprise" Nothing surprising or unexpected here. +5.9 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics+5.4 Biden/Harris at 270towin+6.9 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight National polling is important, but the key is always the swing states. September 18" Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites has increased slightly +6.0 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics+6.0 Biden/Harris at 270towin+6.7 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
What are the poll numbers from Gateway Pundit?
4
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: September 16: The National Polling has narrowed Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites. This is a common occurance to almost every election.It may narrow even further pending the anticipated "October Surprise" Nothing surprising or unexpected here. +5.9 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics+5.4 Biden/Harris at 270towin+6.9 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight National polling is important, but the key is always the swing states. September 18" Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites has increased slightly +6.0 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics+6.0 Biden/Harris at 270towin+6.7 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: September 16: The National Polling has narrowed Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites. This is a common occurance to almost every election.It may narrow even further pending the anticipated "October Surprise" Nothing surprising or unexpected here. +5.9 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics+5.4 Biden/Harris at 270towin+6.9 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight National polling is important, but the key is always the swing states. September 18" Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites has increased slightly +6.0 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics+6.0 Biden/Harris at 270towin+6.7 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
What are the poll numbers from Gateway Pundit?
Ahh that infamous bastion of "alternative facts" believed by extremist right-wing kool-aid drinkers" :
apparently they believe trump is winning nationally by +7.2.. a total landslide!
FOX News hosts believe trump is leading nationally by only +7.1
1
Quote Originally Posted by DeezyAZ81:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: September 16: The National Polling has narrowed Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites. This is a common occurance to almost every election.It may narrow even further pending the anticipated "October Surprise" Nothing surprising or unexpected here. +5.9 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics+5.4 Biden/Harris at 270towin+6.9 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight National polling is important, but the key is always the swing states. September 18" Biden's lead at three poll monitoring sites has increased slightly +6.0 Biden/Harris at RealClearPolitics+6.0 Biden/Harris at 270towin+6.7 Biden/Harris at FiveThirtyEight
What are the poll numbers from Gateway Pundit?
Ahh that infamous bastion of "alternative facts" believed by extremist right-wing kool-aid drinkers" :
apparently they believe trump is winning nationally by +7.2.. a total landslide!
FOX News hosts believe trump is leading nationally by only +7.1
Such a dumb thread. Only final week the polls are accurate as that is what they are judged by. 5-10% Trump voters lie to deceive the polls. Trump I’m a landslide.
1
Such a dumb thread. Only final week the polls are accurate as that is what they are judged by. 5-10% Trump voters lie to deceive the polls. Trump I’m a landslide.
Such a dumb thread. Only final week the polls are accurate as that is what they are judged by. 5-10% Trump voters lie to deceive the polls. Trump I’m a landslide.
165yds Trump voters aren't lying ..there just unwilling to admit their support for the president to pollsters..
0
Quote Originally Posted by 165yds:
Such a dumb thread. Only final week the polls are accurate as that is what they are judged by. 5-10% Trump voters lie to deceive the polls. Trump I’m a landslide.
165yds Trump voters aren't lying ..there just unwilling to admit their support for the president to pollsters..
Trump’s Ohio suburb slide could signal peril in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin!
The Associated Press, Sep 21 COLUMBUS, Ohio – Peggy Lehner, a Republican state senator in Ohio, doesn’t sugarcoat what she has seen happen to support for President Donald Trump in her suburban Dayton district:
"It hasn’t ebbed. It’s crashed," said Lehner, who is not seeking reelection in the district of working-class and white-collar communities the president won comfortably four years ago.
"He is really doing poorly among INDEPENDENTS!"
Republican lawmakers and strategists in Ohio say they are seeing research that shows a near-uniform drop in support from his 2016 totals across EVERY suburban region of the state!
Ohio has long been a bellwether. No Republican has won the White House without carrying the state since the advent of the modern two-party system, and no Democrat has since 1960.
Trump is faring worse than four years ago in communities in essentially all suburban areas around Ohio, from its major cities to its several mid-size metro areas, more than a half-dozen Republican operatives tracking races across Ohio say. Source: https://tinyurl.com/y3g56r5a
5
Trump’s Ohio suburb slide could signal peril in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin!
The Associated Press, Sep 21 COLUMBUS, Ohio – Peggy Lehner, a Republican state senator in Ohio, doesn’t sugarcoat what she has seen happen to support for President Donald Trump in her suburban Dayton district:
"It hasn’t ebbed. It’s crashed," said Lehner, who is not seeking reelection in the district of working-class and white-collar communities the president won comfortably four years ago.
"He is really doing poorly among INDEPENDENTS!"
Republican lawmakers and strategists in Ohio say they are seeing research that shows a near-uniform drop in support from his 2016 totals across EVERY suburban region of the state!
Ohio has long been a bellwether. No Republican has won the White House without carrying the state since the advent of the modern two-party system, and no Democrat has since 1960.
Trump is faring worse than four years ago in communities in essentially all suburban areas around Ohio, from its major cities to its several mid-size metro areas, more than a half-dozen Republican operatives tracking races across Ohio say. Source: https://tinyurl.com/y3g56r5a
Trump’s Ohio suburb slide could signal peril in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin! The Associated Press, Sep 21COLUMBUS, Ohio – Peggy Lehner, a Republican state senator in Ohio, doesn’t sugarcoat what she has seen happen to support for PresidentDonald Trump in her suburban Dayton district: "It hasn’t ebbed. It’s crashed," said Lehner, who is not seeking reelection in the district of working-class and white-collar communities the president won comfortably four years ago. "He is really doing poorly among INDEPENDENTS!" Republican lawmakers and strategists in Ohio say they are seeing research that shows a near-uniform drop in support from his 2016 totals across EVERY suburban region of the state! Ohio has long been a bellwether. No Republican has won the White House without carrying the state since the advent of the modern two-party system, and no Democrat has since 1960. Trump is faring worse than four years ago in communities in essentially all suburban areas around Ohio, from its major cities to its several mid-size metro areas, more than a half-dozen Republican operatives tracking races across Ohio say.Source: https://tinyurl.com/y3g56r5a
ok let me get this straight
that source is citing REPUBLICANS who agree rump is tanking badly in suburbs ??
"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
2
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Trump’s Ohio suburb slide could signal peril in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin! The Associated Press, Sep 21COLUMBUS, Ohio – Peggy Lehner, a Republican state senator in Ohio, doesn’t sugarcoat what she has seen happen to support for PresidentDonald Trump in her suburban Dayton district: "It hasn’t ebbed. It’s crashed," said Lehner, who is not seeking reelection in the district of working-class and white-collar communities the president won comfortably four years ago. "He is really doing poorly among INDEPENDENTS!" Republican lawmakers and strategists in Ohio say they are seeing research that shows a near-uniform drop in support from his 2016 totals across EVERY suburban region of the state! Ohio has long been a bellwether. No Republican has won the White House without carrying the state since the advent of the modern two-party system, and no Democrat has since 1960. Trump is faring worse than four years ago in communities in essentially all suburban areas around Ohio, from its major cities to its several mid-size metro areas, more than a half-dozen Republican operatives tracking races across Ohio say.Source: https://tinyurl.com/y3g56r5a
ok let me get this straight
that source is citing REPUBLICANS who agree rump is tanking badly in suburbs ??
ok let me get this straight that source is citing REPUBLICANS who agree rump is tanking badly in suburbs ??
Yes.
REPUBLICAN officials are expressing very real concerns!
There is debate among state Republican strategists about how many new voters there are left to lift Trump in rural and small town Ohio.
Former Ohio Republican Party Chairman Kevin DeWine, a second-cousin to Gov. Mike DeWine, said, "I just don’t see him getting more votes."
There is less debate in other states. Pennsylvania Republicans say across the longtime GOP stronghold of Chester County west of Philadelphia, for instance, Trump has slipped as far as he has in Ohio’s suburbs, though in more populous towns and in a state he carried by fewer than 45,000 votes.
Former Pennsylvania Rep. Ryan Costello, a Republican, said that the suburban electorate is rapidly diversifying in ways that hurt Trump, especially among young families and among those concerned about the coronavirus. "I think that there is a higher likelihood at this moment in time that Trump performs worse in the suburbs," Costello said. "It’s his tone. It’s the chaos. Perhaps a combination. But certainly the pandemic, the mismanagement of the pandemic."
"Trump is leading in some areas but no where near by the percentage he won them by in 2016," said Madonna, who has conducted polls in the state for more than three decades.
Republicans have similar concerns about suburbs in Michigan
5
Quote Originally Posted by undefined:
ok let me get this straight that source is citing REPUBLICANS who agree rump is tanking badly in suburbs ??
Yes.
REPUBLICAN officials are expressing very real concerns!
There is debate among state Republican strategists about how many new voters there are left to lift Trump in rural and small town Ohio.
Former Ohio Republican Party Chairman Kevin DeWine, a second-cousin to Gov. Mike DeWine, said, "I just don’t see him getting more votes."
There is less debate in other states. Pennsylvania Republicans say across the longtime GOP stronghold of Chester County west of Philadelphia, for instance, Trump has slipped as far as he has in Ohio’s suburbs, though in more populous towns and in a state he carried by fewer than 45,000 votes.
Former Pennsylvania Rep. Ryan Costello, a Republican, said that the suburban electorate is rapidly diversifying in ways that hurt Trump, especially among young families and among those concerned about the coronavirus. "I think that there is a higher likelihood at this moment in time that Trump performs worse in the suburbs," Costello said. "It’s his tone. It’s the chaos. Perhaps a combination. But certainly the pandemic, the mismanagement of the pandemic."
"Trump is leading in some areas but no where near by the percentage he won them by in 2016," said Madonna, who has conducted polls in the state for more than three decades.
Republicans have similar concerns about suburbs in Michigan
Trump’s Ohio suburb slide could signal peril in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin! The Associated Press, Sep 21COLUMBUS, Ohio – Peggy Lehner, a Republican state senator in Ohio, doesn’t sugarcoat what she has seen happen to support for PresidentDonald Trump in her suburban Dayton district: "It hasn’t ebbed. It’s crashed," said Lehner, who is not seeking reelection in the district of working-class and white-collar communities the president won comfortably four years ago. "He is really doing poorly among INDEPENDENTS!" Republican lawmakers and strategists in Ohio say they are seeing research that shows a near-uniform drop in support from his 2016 totals across EVERY suburban region of the state! Ohio has long been a bellwether. No Republican has won the White House without carrying the state since the advent of the modern two-party system, and no Democrat has since 1960. Trump is faring worse than four years ago in communities in essentially all suburban areas around Ohio, from its major cities to its several mid-size metro areas, more than a half-dozen Republican operatives tracking races across Ohio say.Source: https://tinyurl.com/y3g56r5a
"Republicans should be worried because President Trump is currently under-performing in the districts," according to GOP website rightwisconsin.com.
While GOP strategists say Trump can make up the suburban losses with new voters, Marquette University’s polling director Charles Franklin sees no evidence in research tracking Trump’s support this year to suggest new voters are choosing him.
3
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Trump’s Ohio suburb slide could signal peril in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin! The Associated Press, Sep 21COLUMBUS, Ohio – Peggy Lehner, a Republican state senator in Ohio, doesn’t sugarcoat what she has seen happen to support for PresidentDonald Trump in her suburban Dayton district: "It hasn’t ebbed. It’s crashed," said Lehner, who is not seeking reelection in the district of working-class and white-collar communities the president won comfortably four years ago. "He is really doing poorly among INDEPENDENTS!" Republican lawmakers and strategists in Ohio say they are seeing research that shows a near-uniform drop in support from his 2016 totals across EVERY suburban region of the state! Ohio has long been a bellwether. No Republican has won the White House without carrying the state since the advent of the modern two-party system, and no Democrat has since 1960. Trump is faring worse than four years ago in communities in essentially all suburban areas around Ohio, from its major cities to its several mid-size metro areas, more than a half-dozen Republican operatives tracking races across Ohio say.Source: https://tinyurl.com/y3g56r5a
"Republicans should be worried because President Trump is currently under-performing in the districts," according to GOP website rightwisconsin.com.
While GOP strategists say Trump can make up the suburban losses with new voters, Marquette University’s polling director Charles Franklin sees no evidence in research tracking Trump’s support this year to suggest new voters are choosing him.
The good guys are 3 net seats short of a 50/50 split in the Senate which they would effectively control with tie votes cast by Kamala Harris. Dems likely lose a seat in ruby-red Alabama to popular Tuberville. Thus, DEMS must win 4 others.
Here's how those other key SENATE races are shaping up:
+8.0 ...no change COLORADO - Gov. Hickenlooper (D) over *Gardner
+6.0 ...was +5.2 MAINE - Sara Gideon (D) over outdated *Susan Collins
+5.5 ...was +6.7 ARIZONA - Mark Kelly (D) over loser *Martha McSally
+4.2 ...was +3.6 N.CAROLINA - Cunningham (D) over *Tillis
+2.0 ...was *TIED* IOWA - Greenfield (D) vs *Joni Ernst
- 0.5 S.Carolina - Jaime Harrison (D) vs Lindsey Graham** NEWLY ADDED - 1.6 MONTANA - Governor Bullock (D) vs *Daines - 1.0 KANSAS - Bollier (D) vs Marshall (R)
3
Taking a look at the Senate races to Sept 25:
The good guys are 3 net seats short of a 50/50 split in the Senate which they would effectively control with tie votes cast by Kamala Harris. Dems likely lose a seat in ruby-red Alabama to popular Tuberville. Thus, DEMS must win 4 others.
Here's how those other key SENATE races are shaping up:
+8.0 ...no change COLORADO - Gov. Hickenlooper (D) over *Gardner
+6.0 ...was +5.2 MAINE - Sara Gideon (D) over outdated *Susan Collins
+5.5 ...was +6.7 ARIZONA - Mark Kelly (D) over loser *Martha McSally
+4.2 ...was +3.6 N.CAROLINA - Cunningham (D) over *Tillis
+2.0 ...was *TIED* IOWA - Greenfield (D) vs *Joni Ernst
- 0.5 S.Carolina - Jaime Harrison (D) vs Lindsey Graham** NEWLY ADDED - 1.6 MONTANA - Governor Bullock (D) vs *Daines - 1.0 KANSAS - Bollier (D) vs Marshall (R)
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