allenrikvik

I wish the best for everyone out there and a speedy recovery.  I live in Texas gulf area, so I can understand rapid devastation, although fire fully consumes to an extent that water does not.  

Being a former e-response/hazmat person, the described emergency response program needs to be reviewed on several levels, first defining 'what is an emergency?'

@bellsbendboy

 off topic:

madduxsport gives the lines.  Swipes from the betting sites, so updated often.  Since they scrape the data, the spreads are occasionally reversed, so check

Massey Rating also provides schedule and final scores, as well as a projected score.

All

I am looking for direction/websites on some data.

1) Schedule with opening/current odds:  I am looking for a schedule that provides opening / current odds, much like the Vegas Insider report that seems to have disappeared.  I have noted similar comments in various threads as well.  I am trying to use Madduxsports as a proxy (references the 5Dimes odds, which includes the FCS), but the odds are often inversed.  have to clean-up the file.  BTW - I cant get 5Dimes access due to location.  Wish I could resolve that.

2) Offense/defense data for FCS:  Love Statfox and the game match-ups.  Really want to get the same data for the FCS.  Have asked Statfox if they could provide, but nothing to date. 

Last - what a week.  Had an uncomfortable number of upsets on the list last week and most covered.

Weeks 1-4, bet more aggressive and trust your handicaps.  The betting models are getting tuned, so you can get some value.  I will include some 2-3 team parlays and first half bets.  defenses are usually better prepared in the early games, so look at the stronger defense, first halves, and unders.  Mismatches show up in the first half.

Weeks 5-8, less aggressive betting, as the betting models are tightening up.  Your model is better, but you have less information than Vegas, so public bets start to reverse.  There will be a one week where Vegas issues a major correction, as the dogs are hitting.  A couple of teams will become cover darlings in some form - May be first half team, sneaky good run defense, etc.  Few parlays, mostly ATS and a few totals.

Weeks 9 +:  conservative betting, betting models are tuned and injuries / weather are factors.  Vegas has the data, as well as sharps.  The public is betting on perception.  Limit total game, since you cannot get enough current data - no parlays, a few ATS/TT and increasing moneylines.  This is the bet 10 unit to win 1 units scenarios.

Bowls - back to early games, as the mismatches show up, as well as injuries reverse.