Boisestateand8

@Buffalobob89074

 BOL to you too! 

@Macwestie1

  let's cash some tickets Mac!

Taking the Saints +4 (4*) and the Texans +3' (3*) today.

4* SAINTS  +4 over Falcons 

3* TEXANS +3' over Lions

Made a horrible pick on LSU 

Zebras cost Utah an outright win, but at least they covered. Zebras also figured prominently in Texas Tech's loss! How the hell do you miss that blatant facemask? If they're gonna review targeting plays then they should certainly review facemask plays.

All said and done I had a +1.3 unit day. Better than losing. End of rant on the shitty officiating. 

@theclaw

 With you on the Saints and Texans. BOL! 

The rest of this week's card:

4* LSU +3 over Alabama 

3* HAWAII +12' over Unlv 

3* UTAH +3' over Byu

MAC

Tuesday 

BOWLING GREEN (-7) vs Western Michigan - These two are part of a four way first place tie atop the MAC standings. The Bee Gees have won the last two meetings, but are 0-4-1 ATS as chalk this season. However, the Broncos appear to be outclassed here, and are 0-2 SU and ATS vs teams with similar talent (Marshall and NIU).

BUFFALO (-5) vs Ball St. - Cardinals have played much better than their 3-6 SU record would indicate. As a dog they've covered five of their last six games, including a perfect 4-0 in the MAC. And last week they gave Miami-OH all they could handle in a 27-21 loss. They need to win out to get to a bowl. The Bulls on the other hand are a win away from bowl eligibility, but need to play better than they have in their last three games. Last week they nearly blew a 38-7 lead at Akron before holding on for a 41-30 win, despite being outgained by 90 total yards. Lean to Ball St. here.

TOLEDO (-14) vs Central Michigan - The Rockets dominated the last two meetings between these two, but this season they've been anything but dominant, compiling a 1-5 ATS record as chalk. Last week they barely survived at EMU, winning 29-28, after the Eagles failed on a two point conversion that would've won it. The Chippewas need a win to stay alive for a bowl, but they've lost their last four, and are just 2-5-1 ATS for the year. If Toledo's interested they should roll.

Wednesday 

MIAMI-OH (-31) vs Kent St. - The Redhawks have won the last two meetings and SHOULD cruise to an easy win against the worst team in the FBS.....if they're motivated. The Golden Flashes look like they've thrown in the towel for this season.

OHIO (-9) vs Eastern Michigan - The Bobcats are part of that four way tie for first place in the MAC, and have outgained their conference foes by an average of 151.2 yards a game, compared to the Eagles at plus 31.8 per game. EMU gave it their all in a near upset of Toledo last week, but appear to be overmatched here.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-18) vs Akron - The Huskies need a win to become eligible for a bowl, and they should get it here against the Zips, who are playing out the string.

Good looking card Mac! On a few of those myself. 

@Betterthanu

Down -23.3 units and trying to stop the bleeding 

3* KANSAS +2 over Iowa St.

3* TEXAS TECH +4' over Colorado 

Treading carefully, and taking a page out of Dr Strangelove's winning strategy with the running dogs.  Got some other games I've got my eye on tonight. 

@DrStrangelove

 BOL to you too brother! 

Some more fine tuning:

OREGON -23' over Maryland - This isn't the team you wanna face when you have a bad pass defense like the Terps. Dillon Gabriel is completing 71% of his passes and the Ducks are getting better by the week. The line has dropped from -26. Long road trip for Maryland.

NOTRE DAME -26 over Florida St. - The 'Noles haven't cracked 20 points since their opener, and haven't gained 300 yards in any game this year. It just looks like this team has thrown in the towel and the Irish should win by however much they want to.

BOISE ST. -24 over Nevada - Broncos are averaging 55 points a game at home. Load up the box to stop Ashton Jeanty and Maddux Madsen will burn you with the passing game. Play a base defense and Jeanty may run for 300. He's due for a big game. However, because BSU plays a lot of backups when the game is out of hand the backdoor may be open.

PENN ST. -13 over Washington - Huskies haven't been good away from their campus (0-4 ATS) and if the Nittany Lions can shake off yet another loss to Ohio St. they should cover this one.

HAWAII +13' over Unlv - Rainbow Warriors are a handful in Honolulu. They only trailed Boise 13-7 going into the fourth quarter a month ago, and they held Fresno to less than 200 total yards last week in a 21-20 road win! The Rebels played their asses off in their 29-24 home loss to Boise two weeks ago, and after a bye take a long trip to the islands.

UTAH +3 over Byu - If the freefalling Utes can get up for any game this year, it'll be this one.

WASHINGTON ST. -20' over Utah St. - Cougs could score 50 or 60 against this Aggies defense, if you can call it that.

Now to see if I can find a few winners out of this mess and stop the bleeding!

Regarding Ole Miss, it appears that leading rusher Henry Parrish is out, and their top two WRs are doubtful. That's from Bill Connelly's Friday breakdown.

Fine tuning my potential playlist:

Miami FL -11 over GEORGIA TECH - 'Canes have been playing with fire lately, but they've averaged over 43 points a game vs Power Four opponents. Even if QB  Haynes King is able to play, following the Yellowjackets' bye week, will he be rusty? It just feels like Tech will have to score in the 30s just to keep up. Not sure they can. Also, there's a HUGE revenge factor from last year's Mario Cristobal brain fart that cost Miami a win.

TEXAS -21' over Florida - Hard to see any way the Gators can keep up with so many injuries. Feels similar to the Oklahoma game that Texas won 34-3.

NORTH TEXAS +3 over Army - The bottom has fallen out of this line, which tells me Bryson Daily is out. That's a huge line adjustment though.

Kansas +2' over Iowa St. - I liked this better at +3, but Jayhawks should be able to run all day here. Haven't checked yet to see if they made Dr. Strangelove's running dog list yet, but it seems like they could qualify. I also like that they're off a bye.

INDIANA -14' over Michigan - Wolverines are 42-2 in this series since 1968, but Curt Cignetti wasn't coaching the Hoosiers in those 44 games. Last week was the first time Indiana has trailed all season, and it was the only time all season an opponent has scored against them in the first quarter. This team is relentless. They jump on you early and bury you late, owning the fourth quarter in every game, and  they've won every game by double digits. 

TEXAS TECH +4 over Colorado - Tahj Brooks and the Red Raiders running game could be the difference here. If they can control the clock and keep Shedeur Sanders and company off the field they can win this. Buffs have no run game, but their air attack can torch Tech's defense if given the opportunity. The key is to limit those opportunities.

Temple +27 over TULANE - Potential flat spot for the Green Wave in their Homecoming game, with Navy and Memphis on deck. 

VANDERBILT +6 over South Carolina - The line has jumped up from -4'. After looking at this one a little closer the Gamecocks are off a revenge win over Texas A&M last week with another revenge game vs Missouri NEXT week. Vandy has lost 15 straight in this series, including a 47-6 shellacking a year ago, and may be looking for a little payback of their own! Hell, they've covered every game as a dog this year so how can you NOT play em here?

More coming

@EightIron

@allboutmoney

And finally,

C-USA

Liberty (-11) at MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. - Flames got a 42-35 win in the last meeting a year ago, but didn't cover the -16 point spread. Now, after being a prohibitive preseason favorite to win the conference title again, they've dropped two straight, including a shocking 27-24 loss to FBS newcomer Kennesaw St. two weeks ago. Liberty is just 1-5 ATS this year, all as chalk. Can't hardly back the Blue Raiders though, as their only FBS wins have been over Kennesaw and at UTEP.

UTEP (-4) vs Kennesaw St. - I wouldn't play this garbage game with monopoly money.

Jacksonville St. (-10) at LOUISIANA TECH - Gamecocks cruised to a 56-17 smackdown in last year's meeting, and they're off a 31-21 win at Liberty last week. After an 0-3 start they've won and covered five straight. It's Homecoming in Ruston, and the Bulldogs better bring some defense in this one, as Jack St. is averaging just under 45 points in their last six games. 

Western Kentucky (-18') at NEW MEXICO ST. - Homecoming for the Aggies, who upset the Hilltoppers, 38-29, on the road a year ago. WKU should roll in this one by as much as they want to.

At the risk of sounding like a homer, I don't see Nevada hanging with Boise for very long. I haven't bet the Broncos all year, but might take em here.

@rosswin97

@Macwestie1

 Best of luck to you too Mac! 

SEC

TEXAS (-21') vs Florida - Longhorns are off their bye week and need to regroup, after being dumped by Georgia, 30-15 and surviving at Vanderbilt, 27-24 in their last two games. Their defense should be able to handle the shorthanded Gators, who hung with Georgia for a while before losing 34-20. They were missing their top QB, RB, WR and CB in that game, and then lost backup QB DJ Lagway to an injured hammy, and also lost another CB. They've played hard in their last five games (5-0 ATS), but man are they beat up!

Georgia (-3) at OLE MISS - Revenge game for the Rebels, who were stomped by the Bulldogs in Athens a year ago, 52-17. Tough game to cap. Georgia has failed to cover their last five games as chalk, and Carson Beck has thrown six interceptions in his last two games, but the defense bailed them out holding Texas and Florida to an average of 244 total yards. Ole Miss absolutely has to win this game to have any hope of crashing the playoff party, and Jaxson Dart is the nation's leading passer, but this is their toughest test of the season.

South Carolina (-4') at VANDERBILT - Hard to play against either team in this one. Gamecocks have won the last 15 meetings and the last seven in Nashville, and they're off a huge 44-20 upset win over Texas A&M. The 'Cocks need one more win for bowl eligibility and are 6-2 ATS. But the Commodores have been one of the best stories of the season and are a live dog here. How can you not take a team that's a perfect 6-0 ATS as a dog this year, with four outright wins? Not betting it, but Ima rooting for Vandy!

TENNESSEE (-24') vs Mississippi St. - Homecoming game for the Volunteers, who have a huge game at Georgia on deck and can't get caught looking ahead against a team that has nothing to play for except pride. The Vols' defense has yet to allow any team to eclipse 20 points in a game, and has allowed a grand total of 99 for season. Offensively they've struggled in SEC play, but should get healthy vs a Bulldogs defense that's allowing nearly 43 points a game vs conference opponents. 

Alabama (-3) at LSU - Both teams are off a bye and have split the last two meetings, each team winning at home. Call this one a playoff elimination game with both teams having two losses. The Crimson Tide have lost their last two road games, at Vandy (40-35) and at Tennessee (24-17), but are off a 34-0 shutout win at home over a shorthanded Missouri team two weeks ago. The Bayou Bengals meanwhile were dumped at Texas A&M, 38-23, but they're 4-0 in Baton Rouge, and are especially tough to beat there at night.

Oklahoma (-3) at MISSOURI -The Sooners are favored in this game? Based on what, a 59-14 beatdown of FCS Maine? Not buying it, but I'm also not buying the Tigers until I learn more regarding QB Brady Cook's status. Mizzou had the week off, so we'll see if he's recovered enough from two separate injuries to start.

@IntenseOperator

@ULLafayettekid