ealxele

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Posts: 43

Member Since: May 2021

Last Activity: 17 December 2024

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replied to WEEK 11 Regression teasers (223-128) 63.5% in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: A few angles..... 1). AD and tA(total yards-o:total yards)-oA(total yards-o:total yards) <-30 and 16>week>10 and p:DL and week=11 and o:wins<8 and rest<13 2). rest>11 and A and p:L and not DIV and tA(total yards-o:total yards)<-30 and o:rest<9 and -23) AD and line < oA(margin, N=6) + 2.5 - tA(margin, N=6) and month = 11 and rest >6 and p:DL and week>10 and tS(W, N=3)=0 4) month = 11 and AD and n:F and day = Sunday and on:D and not division = o:division and line <= 6 and tA(passing yards-o:passing yards) - oA(passing yards-o:passing yards) > 0 and t:wins >= 4 and tS(W@A, N=3) > 1 and oS(W@H, N=3)>1 5) HF and o:streak < -2 and month = 11 and day = Sunday and not division = o:division and tA(total yards-o:total yards) - oA(total yards-o:total yards) > 30 and op:DL and week=11 and p:AL Just curious where you getting these angles from? :0 View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	46	November 20, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 11 Regression teasers (223-128) 63.5% in NFL Betting Let's go @Jowchoo!! Glad the anchors covered . View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	46	November 15, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 11 Regression teasers (223-128) 63.5% in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by ealxele: @jowchoo Do you do 6 point teasers for all? I saw the line for EAG moved to -4 so +6 teaser makes it EAG +2...would you recommend adding 7 point teaser to make the anchor EAG +3? No Ah I got you. So I’m assuming you do 6 point teasers and I’ve missed the window since the EAG spread is -4 now? Thank you again! View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	46	November 14, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 11 Regression teasers (223-128) 63.5% in NFL Betting @jowchoo Do you do 6 point teasers for all? I saw the line for EAG moved to -4 so +6 teaser makes it EAG +2...would you recommend adding 7 point teaser to make the anchor EAG +3? View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	46	November 14, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to WEEK 11 Regression teasers (223-128) 63.5% in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: My anchors this week are: PHI +3 PHI under 56 Keep up the good work Jowchoo. I was wondering how did you come up with your anchors? And what is a double play? View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	46	November 12, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 :SDQL/ Regression teasers in NFL Betting Crazy stuff @jowchoo looking forward to your next post in week 10! Keep up the good work. View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	40	November 04, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 :SDQL/ Regression teasers in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by ealxele: Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by ealxele: @jowchoo thank you so much for sharing these. I am having trouble understanding - would you please help understand this? Genuinely curious and want to learn. Thank you again! Teams that rate to regress(either sides or totals) relative to their ATS record are combined with teaser insurance. It is that simple, when a team gets out of balance with their ats record, the value is already with a regression and when adding in the insurance from teasers you are +EV. Anchor teasers are aggressive and produce a lot of plays and are not for many punters. Very interesting. How do you know when a team that is rate to regress relative to their ATS record? I.e. when a team gets out of balance with their ATS record. Do you have a certain criteria for this? Also when you have the 2 anchor teasers for example this week in week 9 are you using those 2 anchor teasers and then add Green Bay +10.5 in it making it a 3 leg teaser? Then do the same thing except add NYG +10 in the second teaser and so on? Thank you so much for the reply! Each anchor teaser is tied to each satellite,there are no (3 team) teasers. About 25 teasers (2 team) for each anchor................................gl Oh wow this is insane to me lol! Over 25 teasers lmao. I am so intrigued with this. 1) How do you know when a team that is rate to regress relative to their ATS record? I.e. when a team gets out of balance with their ATS record. Do you have a certain criteria for this? 2) How did you decide your anchor teasers? Appreciate your insight! View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	40	November 03, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 :SDQL/ Regression teasers in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by ealxele: @jowchoo thank you so much for sharing these. I am having trouble understanding - would you please help understand this? Genuinely curious and want to learn. Thank you again! Teams that rate to regress(either sides or totals) relative to their ATS record are combined with teaser insurance. It is that simple, when a team gets out of balance with their ats record, the value is already with a regression and when adding in the insurance from teasers you are +EV. Anchor teasers are aggressive and produce a lot of plays and are not for many punters. Very interesting. How do you know when a team that is rate to regress relative to their ATS record? I.e. when a team gets out of balance with their ATS record. Do you have a certain criteria for this? Also when you have the 2 anchor teasers for example this week in week 9 are you using those 2 anchor teasers and then add Green Bay +10.5 in it making it a 3 leg teaser? Then do the same thing except add NYG +10 in the second teaser and so on? Thank you so much for the reply! View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	40	November 03, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Week 9 :SDQL/ Regression teasers in NFL Betting @jowchoo thank you so much for sharing these. I am having trouble understanding - would you please help understand this? Genuinely curious and want to learn. Thank you again! View Post \| View Thread	jowchoo	40	October 31, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Dmitry Bivol vs Artur Beterbiev in Boxing Fight of the year. Would love to see what your guys' thoughts & predictions for this fight. Who do you have and why? View Post \| View Thread	ealxele	3	October 11, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers in NFL Betting View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	47	September 09, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 80% - Team that wins the first game in NBA Betting @RayRayK thanks for sharing. What books do you recommend reading? View Post \| View Thread	RayRayK	23	June 09, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tuesday NBA (65-40 playoffs) in NBA Betting Thank you I agree. Your quote below, can you explain further what you mean by this? "I expect them to win ONE game, and I see the odds makers made this line shorter for a reason." BOL! View Post \| View Thread	MrFreedo	23	May 28, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Paging Mr. Bator in Penalty Box View Post \| View Thread	AnthonyStarks	4	May 26, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Cats NBA Play in NBA Betting @Catwins just ignore the negativity fam happy holidays :) View Post \| View Thread	Catwins	28	May 26, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA Sunday (63-37 playoffs) in NBA Betting View Post \| View Thread	MrFreedo	16	May 26, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA SUN INFO in NBA Betting Thank you @RLeith35. I always look forward to your posts. Any angles for the NY/IND game? View Post \| View Thread	RLeith35	2	May 19, 2024 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Arizona Diamondbacks @ Philadelphia Phillies in MLB Betting View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	40	October 23, 2023 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA Tuesday info in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by RLeith35: And that’s a good segway to a related concern, which is the one-dimensional nature of Denver’s offensive attack. As previously mentioned, Jokic is a world-class talent on offense, so it’s no surprise the Nuggets’ entire offensive scheme revolves around him; however, that also requires Jokic to be on the floor as much as humanly possible, exerting a very high level of energy at the offensive end. So, long story short, Denver’s defensive struggles are likely here to stay moving forward. Another reason for pause regarding this Nuggets’ team is their inability to close out opponents in matchups away from their home arena. The Nuggets posted records of 34-7 at home and 19-22 on the road during the regular season, and since then, they’re just 2-3 in their five road playoff games. Good teams win at home. Great teams win on the road; and for the time being, Denver still qualifies as a good team, not a great one. All things considered, the Lakers are a tough matchup for Denver. Very few teams have the proper defensive tools to give this Nuggets’’ team headaches, but L. A. happens to be one of them. Jokic will go head-to-head with Anthony Davis for most of this series, an incredibly versatile force at the defensive end, and the Lakers have several other options capable of helping and switching onto the Nuggets’ two-time MVP in a pinch as well. The Nuggets rarely win games with their play at the defensive end of the floor, so at times when their offense isn’t firing on all cylinders, they become very vulnerable. The Lakers’ defense in the frontcourt should move the needle in a big way throughout this series. Take the points with L. A. in Game 1. by M.Crosson Score Prediction: Lakers 110, Nuggets 107Best Bet: Lakers +5.5 (-110) @RLeith35 Thank you for sharing, as always! May I ask where do you find these predictions? Would love to read them for every game. View Post \| View Thread	RLeith35	22	May 16, 2023 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Boston Celtics @ Atlanta Hawks in NBA Betting View Post \| View Thread	EastsideBangers	17	April 21, 2023 View Post \| View Thread

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