glyde69

Starting QB only worth a point on the line? 

Agreed all around.  

Really should be neutral.  Like u said, even if an Indiana or Boise state are one and out….at least give them a bowl game in Tempe.  Let the kids enjoy a couple weeks in Scottsdale practicing and “get that bowl experience” like u said.  

More I look at this game, the more I think Boise is the play.  

My first instinct was Penn is too big, too strong, too athletic but now that I’m looking…..I’m not so sure 

It’s rough.  

I can’t fathom why any coaching changes, player moves, etc etc can’t wait until the day after the national championship.  

Why would they allow this madness? 

Strange year continues. 

chalk 10-4 so far (post 4pm games)

AGAIN.   

Total opposite of almost every season in the last 10-15 years.  

ASU +14

PSU -10.5

Oregon +2

Georgia -2

These my first Gut leans without looking at anything.  Penn State….not sure I can lay 11 with that coach, but they are so big and strong and should dwarf Boise.  Maybe I’ll knock it to -4 or -5 and tease them.   

Georgia has a ton of holes unlike in prior years, but they should grind out ND…..

Ewers lays an egg imo and lets ASU hang around.  

Oregon squeaks out another one…..although OSU has earned my respect.  Mid-season I said this team don’t even make the playoffs….and they are playing great ball…..still think Oregon off the bye of sorts pulls it off.  

GL to all. 

@WahooS

 lol I’m an idiot.  

Thanks 

Who are the Rebs? 

It’s a wacky season, Van, you ain’t the only one struggling.   Chalk is covering almost 58% this year….its usually the opposite…..

So strange year to say the least……

Nice post Sac Man 

Love seeing Riley Moss get some love.   Surtain Jr gets all the press and it’s deserved…….

Moss quietly is a STRONG compliment on the other side.  

GL Van Zack 

Hang in there.   I’m having my worst season in maybe 17 years or so.  

Chalk is hitting at like 57-58%.  Was creeping on 60% a few weeks ago.   Favorites usually are in that 42-47% area (hence all of my nfl cards the last decade go through the dogs). 

So strange year….cant remember the last time it was rhis chalky.  And the one week I said to myself “I’m betting chalk, chalk has been at least 10-4 every week for last 6 weeks” and the dogs won 7 of 8 early games and killed me. 

Just one of those years! 

Army, Georgia, and SMU were the ones that jumped up at me seeing the lines for the first time.   

One thing now that bowl season is weeks away….i have to remember….unless its a playoff game(and even then key kids might sit), no more  jumping on lines on December 12th so I might get a -3.5 on the 12th and it’s -8.5 on the 29th.  

I think that side of bowl betting is out the window.  

Im going to look on staying on top of personnel as best I can, and try to make my bets 1 or 2 days in advance.   Stay just a day ahead of the books, and hope to still beat the closing line at the very least.  

GL Wahoo.  Imo you’re the best on here.  

Tomlin one of those coaches where he’s brilliant at some things.  Next world brilliant.  

But other things…..he’s a buffoon.   You would think Pitt could invest 100k in getting some nerd to invest in 23-24 games a year and stand near the coach to make calls like this.   When to use timeouts.   When to challenge.  How to manage the clock etc etc 

Sorry to hear that wahoo.  Always sucks the fat one when u lose a pet.  

Hang in there VZ 

After September I was thinking I might be on pace for my best year ever.   I couldn’t lose.  I think I was 70% college + pro plays.   AND I was getting chewed up with bad beats! 

Last 6 weeks, cannot buy a win.  It doesn’t help I’m an underdog heavy kind of capper, and chalk was on a 5 week 49-20 kind of insane run covering before last week.     

Then last week.   I finally said to myself “I can’t just keep plugging away when fav are 10-4 every week and I went with a more chalky card…..and favorites went 1-8 through the 1pm games.  

So hang tough.   It’s a strange year….chalk covering almost 60%.   Complete opposite of the usual in the NFL.   Keep plugging and a look to get even by new years and a strong playoff run will wash out the taste of a bad start.  

If even one desperate 19 year old kid reads this retard bullshit and takes a beating….its a disgrace.  

GL vanzack.   Strange season im still trying to figure out.   September crushed it but last month was like 42-15 chalk ATS….i lean more dogs so as u can expect….October hasn’t been nice to me.  

GL 

Coach of Arkansas single handedly ruined his team calling that timeout after a sack late in 1st half.  

Instead of going into half 28-13 or 28-17 he’s calling TO.    Sack.   Shank FG.  

Ole Miss right down the field 35-10 at half.   Instead of 28-13 and having momentum.   Clueless.  

Smart going 1st half.   I want to say they were up 38-0 last week in the 4th.  

If my future self told me ECU would need 5 TD to backdoor me…..I would have bet my house.    And army just stopped playing and ECU got 4 TD….

1st half avoids whatever THAT was.   Whether just a glitch in the matrix or ECU found the recipe for beating army……

Either way Air Force gets overwhelmed early and turn the game off at 1:30pm.   

GL you the best capper on this site hands down and I’m not a guy who says shit like that.  Keep doing your thing.  

Yet this is the chalkiest year in 15+ years in the NFL.   

And who cares about sides and over-unders when all the noobs do player props.   

With all these wagers available on a regular basis.  Play 60-100 unique lines in game for every game after every play.  

Who’s betting sides today anyway?  I know I am but I don’t cry and call it rigged when my bet loses.