I'm glad this whole week wasn't Groundhog Week. I'd hate to have to replay it over and over again. It has been bad and i apologize to my followers, but I will bounce back.

 

I WILL BE BACK WITH MORE UPDATES LATER ON AND MY FULL CARD WILL BE UP BY 4PM.  



TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

POWER ANGLE PLAY 

Montana State/ Northern Colorado Under 147.5: Montana State did have a high scoring game in their last game vs Sacramento State (162 points), but their previous 5 road games have all put up less than 147 points, with an average of 131.2 ppg being scored over those games.  For Norther Colorado they have been involved in higher scoring games at home than on the road as their home games have averaged 145.1 ppg, but in their last 3 at home games that number has dropped to 139.7 ppg. N. Colorado has allowed 75.2 ppg at home on the year, but the Bobcats have only averaged 63.4 ppg on the road. The Bears have averaged 69.9 ppg at home on the year, but their scoring has been down a bit of late as they have averaged just 65 ppg in their last 2 at home, while in their last 4 overall they have averaged just 68.5 ppg and one of those games went to OT. The Bobcats Big Sky games have averaged 143 ppg, with 1 OT game, while the Bears Big Sky games have put up 144 ppg, with 2 OT games and both numbers put us under this total. The pace may be pushed in this one a bit, but I feel that both teams will not be able to score enough for this one to go over the Total. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Under - in all games where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points  in a game involving two average offensive teams (67-74 PPG) if the road team has trailed their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half. This play is 38-12 since 1997.  


 

3 UNIT PLAY

Uconn +11 over SYRACUSE:  Im gonna look to the Huskies in this one. Despite all their recent struggles they still are a very talented team, but now you can add desperation to the mix as well. Thewy may not be scoring that much right now, but the Cuse have still given up 62.4 ppg in their last 5 games overall. The Orange are 16-0 at home on the year, but in their ;last 5 Big East home games they have just 1 win over 10 points (23 vs Providence), while allowing 61.2 ppg over that stretch. We know the Cuse can score (77.6 ppg) and that Uconn gave up 80 points in their last game (Louisville), but this is still a team that has played excellent defense of late as they have allowed just 58.8 ppg on 38.6 % shooting in their last 5 games, while overall they are 4th in the nation in FG% defense (37.1%). I expect that Uconn will lean on their defense more in this game, while their offense puts up just enough points to keep this one close. KEY TREND---SYRACUSE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997.


5 POINT TEASER--- Missouri -1  &  Louisville +8.5

  



OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAY

MISSOURI -6 over Baylor: The Bears are a re a very good team this year, but they have had struggles with the top two teams in the Big 12. Baylor has been blown out in their 2 games vs Kansas, while the last time these teams ment the Tiger had a DD lead late, before Baylor made a comeback to lose by just 1. The Tigers speed beat the Bears height in the last meeting and it will do so again. The Tigers are also the more experienced team and they are playing on one of the toughest home courts in the nation. They may win this one by DD.  


 

1 UNIT PLAY

Miami +7 over FLORIDA STATE: Play on Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. This play is 29-6 the last 5 seasons.