wiggins

@soup-can

 all the chiefs have done is win 1 score games this year. they won a one score game last sb vs the eagles on that questionable holding call to secure a 1st down to run out the clock for a game winning fg. its never too big to rig. we can complain all we want but we will all be back here next year. 

and there aint no chance in hell philly is becoming -2

a bunch of nobodies criticizing a proven winner on and off the forum. get a life

same approach i took last week. except i bet ml. i dont care about the math here. if i have to see them win again i am winning money. not losing because of the hook!

@SexyChoc

 seems pretty straightforward yet no team has been able to shut down barkley. especially behind such a strong o line. 

chiefs run defense is suspect.

allen may be better than hurts but eagles weapons are much better than the bills imo. also the bills offensive playcalling the whole year was very conservative. they preferred to run and keep games close rather than let allen just sling the rock.  

with all that said im still very suprised to see people rushing to bet eagles at a virtual pickem against a team going for a threepeat. i didnt understand the outrageous public support for bills last week and still dont get by majority are siding against the chiefs again. seems like its a case of chiefs fatigue/hatred. but again, in a virtual pickem you are betting against the best qb, coach and def coach in the game with a team filled with experience. 

@DogbiteWilliams

 8-0 for mahomes vs fangio is incredible. 10 td's in 8 games? not so much.  so 2 games with russ wilson as his qb in denver? lost in playoffs with miami's defense having lost half of its starters before and more during the game vs chiefs last year? he was hired by philly for superbowl prep in the first meeting vs the chiefs and mahomes was 21 of 27 for 182 yards and 3 tds. kc def had a pick 6 and remember the toney punt return that was almost a td. 

philly's uga def is still young though. losing mike LB nakobe dean is big. quinion mitchell who has been great is still a rookie. its reid and mahomes vs young talented kids. i really have not been impressed by philly's d giving up 300+ to stafford and letting daniels do whatever he wants last game. those 3 fumbles are not likely to happen vs kc. 

i do think saquon will get his yards but hurts vs spags pressure will decide how philly looks on offense. and hurts has been brutal vs pressure this year. so it is very important to keep an eye on eagles pro bowl olineman cam jurgens and dickerson. looks like both will he injured even if they play in the SB. 

@pavaman58

 if a team is getting every call i would say it is pretty easy to bet on them 

@Rush51

 i think eagles are tougher tbh. bills are too conservate. mixon and cook both were able to run on the chiefs. i dont see why they would be able to stop the best rb in the league? and if they do stack the box, give me smith, aj brown and goeddert over wtvr pass catchers the bills have. obviously hurts is the big question here. they key will be getting pressure because hurts looks terrible anytime the pocket breaks down. 

defensively, i thought the eagles had a great defense too but these two playoff games have not been "elite" by any stretch. i think the loss of dean is huge. he is their captain on defense this will open things up underneath for mahomes especially when he scrambles. 

coaching advantage is huge for the chiefs as i dont even know why sirianni is a head coach. i wonder how fangio does vs andy reid?

when i checked before the game it was +187 on bet365. so i decided not to take it. the highest ive seen people tweet about it was +235. did it really open at that price?

isnt it wild how tony romo was able to call exactly were the chiefs were going to run on two of the biggest plays yet mcdermott, a defensive coach - the reason they call such conservative plays on offence - who had a week to prepare, was not able to have his guys ready to stop either of them? as the average fan just watching you forget that reid loves calling a mahomes roll out and having him either pass or run on those run the clock out situations, but mcdermott, whose job it is to know these things was just as clueless.

when you have a glorified kyle juszcyzk as your qb you just dont get the ball

the post game is already on espn2 if you are interested

estes vs vanzack oh no 

been fading philly for a few weeks no. i see no reason to stop here. are they really going to turn the switch on just like that? i mean losing to arizona and the giants the way they did is concerning. even when philly was winning they were getting outgained and outplayed. 

dont care about stroud being a rookie. he has shown poise. but that defense in cleveland is legit. have to check the texans dline injuries but will anderson not playing in last weeks must win game and already starting with 2 DNP's is concerning. he is huge for that run D. if texans cannot stop the run, i think browns offense will find some success especially with the way flacco is playing. also have to check if woods and brown are playing for houston. nico collins is a beast, but this isnt the colts pass defense. honestly im surprised you are so big on texans after what we saw last week. indy really should have won that imo. would like to here your thoughts here van.

give me some of your bitcoin

at least rollout and give mccarthy the option to run. the unwillingness to use him as a runner makes no sense considering he isn't hurt. mccarthy on obvious passing downs is a below average qb and i think im being nice here. 

@glyde69

 public loves to get burried on the trendy dog in championship games. nd vs bama, mich vs uga, tcu vs uga...im on mich too but i just dont trust them enough as the georgia and bama's to hammer them here...and this is without a doubt the best offense this will be playing so we will see if their defense is legit as some say....but historically this is nothing new for the finals in ncaa. and with this line move today i think that pretty much confirms you arent the only one looking at michigan. 

Spoelstra is the best coach ATS for 2nd halves all time in the playoffs. 

98-71-4

Maybe Celtics early, Heat late?

Teams on 5+ days rest (Heat) facing a team on 3 days rest or less (Celtics) in Game 1 of a series are 31-20 ATS in the @Bet_Labs database.

In the 2nd round or later, it's 28-16 ATS.

not an endorsement, just info.

via EvanHabrams

Who is with me?

Oh and i got the heat in a parlay ats.

sprinkle strus to make 1st basket +1100

hit kcp yesterday so i will naturally give back to the book trying to hit these plays again. 

that dog on twitter is now 5-0 in this GS/Lakers series.

But tonight I go against the hottest handicapper alive.

I mean if I can’t cap a game better than a dog maybe I should be the one sniffing butts. 

Lakers -3.5