All Forums | Soccer

World Cup Knockout Tournament.... Round of 16 and on....

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 92390
Posts: 447
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2014
Posts: 73
Posted: #326
Scal, I've been trying to add you as a friend and msg you about a possible hedge on the  GER future bet that I got from you
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 915
Posted: #327
I assume over in the 3rd place match is an auto wager? This is easily one of my favorite wagers in tourney settings...

Not to mention the prolific goal strikers on both sides.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2014
Posts: 73
Posted: #328
I'm in an interesting position Scal. I put $25 to win $100 on GER before the start of the cup. Now, Sportsbook just posted a 25% reload deposit bonus for a free bet worth up to $500. I probably won't put a full 2k on, but maybe close to it. The only issue is I can't use the bet for a future wager. But I can use it for a straight bet. I was wondering if u think a should perhaps acquire the free bet, and put more on GER to win IN REGULATION or maybe put some on Arg at +260 to win in regulation. If you think there is value and a fighting chance for Arg at +260 in reg. Should I put anything on them at all?  And maybe add some more of my own $ in the acct. on GER to win it all at -180. (So they are not forced to win in reg.) I feel like I have to do something in this situation, Scal
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2014
Posts: 73
Posted: #329
........when you make a future bet on a team to win a champ. And they make it to the final game. I feel like there must be a way to guarantee a profit. Thx Scal for any advice as usual.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2008
Posts: 58938
Posted: #330
Quote Originally Posted by Figgygetit:

I'm in an interesting position Scal. I put $25 to win $100 on GER before the start of the cup. Now, Sportsbook just posted a 25% reload deposit bonus for a free bet worth up to $500. I probably won't put a full 2k on, but maybe close to it. The only issue is I can't use the bet for a future wager. But I can use it for a straight bet. I was wondering if u think a should perhaps acquire the free bet, and put more on GER to win IN REGULATION or maybe put some on Arg at +260 to win in regulation. If you think there is value and a fighting chance for Arg at +260 in reg. Should I put anything on them at all?  And maybe add some more of my own $ in the acct. on GER to win it all at -180. (So they are not forced to win in reg.) I feel like I have to do something in this situation, Scal
grow up.
22nd
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2014
Posts: 73
Posted: #331
Thank you for very MATURE and productive response. Some people are actually on this for to make money and help others do so as well. I had a legitimate question for someone who may be able to help me make the optimal decision to have the best chance of making money. If that seems childish to you, I can not possibly fault you in any way, for you must have been dropped head first dozens of times as in infant. Or perhaps someone is a little cranky because his team hasn't been able to sniff the Stanley cup in over two decades
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59782
Posted: #332

3rd place game - Brazil / Netherlands - OVER 3 -108 (4 units) -

Anyone who has been around here long enough knows what happens in third place games.  I was really surprised to see 3 - although this game in particular has some great undertones - I fully expect a training field exercise and many goals to be scored (again).

Bet it early and often....

 

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2007
Posts: 4453
Posted: #333

Van... I agree about Brazil/Netherlands.  There is ZERO reason to play reserved.  Should be WIDE open back and forth and I can see 3 goals in the first half alone.  Plus, Brazil wants nothing more than to send their fans home with a victory after the drubbing they took at the hands of the Germans. 

Brazil    5        Netherlands     3

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 7891
Posted: #334
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

3rd place game - Brazil / Netherlands - OVER 3 -108 (4 units) -

Anyone who has been around here long enough knows what happens in third place games.  I was really surprised to see 3 - although this game in particular has some great undertones - I fully expect a training field exercise and many goals to be scored (again).

Bet it early and often....

 


Every 3rd place match from 1978 on has hit at least 3 goals.  

I played OV 2.5/3 (-125).  Obviously, no guarantees, but both teams should play a lot looser, especially the Dutch.
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2003
Posts: 28196
Posted: #335
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

3rd place game - Brazil / Netherlands - OVER 3 -108 (4 units) -

Anyone who has been around here long enough knows what happens in third place games.  I was really surprised to see 3 - although this game in particular has some great undertones - I fully expect a training field exercise and many goals to be scored (again).

Bet it early and often....

 




was surprised to see this at 3 with the over at -102 earlier today.  but i went ahead and hit it. 


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2006
Posts: 1113
Posted: #336
Line moving the opposite direction... 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2002
Posts: 54475
Posted: #337
Netherlands/Brazil 1st H O1.5 +130 thoughts?
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 19156
Posted: #338
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Argentina / Netherlands - Netherlands to advance +128 (1 unit) - Just a small play on the Netherlands here as I cant really come up with a reason to see why either of these sides are favored.  Just see it as a dead PK - with one or two big plays deciding it.

Whoever wins this will have a real tough time with Germany and should consider themselves lucky to have been on this side of the bracket.

Predicted final score 1-1 after 90, and from then who knows.




Go back to when you were on the hot seat. You said you were leaving the corporate world to be a professional gambler. So is it fair to assume that one unit is much larger than the average better? You seemed willing to wager a unit on a game that could go either way. Means nothing to me Van and like you said most people blew their wad chasing in the first round. 
So did you go back to the corporate world, I hope not it sucks.
Its been a fantastic tournament with what I believe are the two best teams, but not by much. 
BOL 
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 19156
Posted: #339
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Netherlands/Brazil 1st H O1.5 +130 thoughts?


Most people take the popcorn eating as an insult plus the fact you were answered when he was on the hot seat. 
Train you are like a fly that avoids being swatted. 
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 17830
Posted: #340
Quote Originally Posted by Figgygetit:

I'm in an interesting position Scal. I put $25 to win $100 on GER before the start of the cup. Now, Sportsbook just posted a 25% reload deposit bonus for a free bet worth up to $500. I probably won't put a full 2k on, but maybe close to it. The only issue is I can't use the bet for a future wager. But I can use it for a straight bet. I was wondering if u think a should perhaps acquire the free bet, and put more on GER to win IN REGULATION or maybe put some on Arg at +260 to win in regulation. If you think there is value and a fighting chance for Arg at +260 in reg. Should I put anything on them at all?  And maybe add some more of my own $ in the acct. on GER to win it all at -180. (So they are not forced to win in reg.) I feel like I have to do something in this situation, Scal

Why would you mess with those regulation bets? Just take Argentina to lift the cup if you wanna hedge. Don't bother with regulations. 
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 17830
Posted: #341
Quote Originally Posted by Figgygetit:

........when you make a future bet on a team to win a champ. And they make it to the final game. I feel like there must be a way to guarantee a profit. Thx Scal for any advice as usual.

It's really not complicated, just match your $125 payout.

Example: 25-100=125 on germany 
       hedge 54-71=125 on argentina

Guarantees $46 profit. For $25, not sure why you'd bother hedging unless this is considered a big bet for you. But if you wanted to hedge, there ya go. 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 9304
Posted: #342
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

3rd place game - Brazil / Netherlands - OVER 3 -108 (4 units) -

Anyone who has been around here long enough knows what happens in third place games.  I was really surprised to see 3 - although this game in particular has some great undertones - I fully expect a training field exercise and many goals to be scored (again).

Bet it early and often....

 

i'm getting over 3 @even money.Why do I feel like a fish on a line?     Ahhh who cares i'll put just a portion of my winnings on what i bet on Germany and Argentina to advance.GL Van and thnks for all your valuable input on this years' WC. 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2002
Posts: 54475
Posted: #343
Quote Originally Posted by Kurshka:



Most people take the popcorn eating as an insult plus the fact you were answered when he was on the hot seat. 
Train you are like a fly that avoids being swatted. 

Insult? I asked for his thoughts on a bet. Weird i would do so in a gambling discussion forum.....

You are amazing sir. My hero. 

 

P.S. I avoid being swatted because you srent strong enough to get the job done Sally.

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 19156
Posted: #344
Sorry Train you been here longer than me but the popcorn guy is an insult in my forums. What do you think it means?

And what does srent mean and who is Sally?
 
Covers Referee
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 94162
Posted: #345
Poland beat Brazil 1-0 in 1974. That was the last time there were less than 3 total goals in the 3rd place game. That's 9 straight world cups since with 3 or more goals. 6 of those 9 games saw 4 or more.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 9304
Posted: #346
Quote Originally Posted by Kurshka:

Sorry Train you been here longer than me but the popcorn guy is an insult in my forums. What do you think it means?

And what does srent mean and who is Sally?
geezus say hello at least Kurshka. JK brother,hope you  been well.Cute pup in your avi.Is it yours?
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 19156
Posted: #347
Tony your my best friend on this forum. 

Just hate to start making it personal like I have.

Sorry to everybody.  
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 9304
Posted: #348
Quote Originally Posted by Kurshka:

Tony your my best friend on this forum. 

Just hate to start making it personal like I have.

Sorry to everybody.  
thanks,i'm here for ya brother.PM me anytime u like 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 40845
Posted: #349
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

3rd place game - Brazil / Netherlands - OVER 3 -108 (4 units) -

Anyone who has been around here long enough knows what happens in third place games.  I was really surprised to see 3 - although this game in particular has some great undertones - I fully expect a training field exercise and many goals to be scored (again).

Bet it early and often....

 


To bet over 3 goals, you'd better hope Brazil to score all of the 4 goals against these sloppy orange shirts. This Dutch bunch would probably lay a big fat egg again on Saturday, these orange f**** did mostly pass the ball backward to their defenders and goalie through out the game in the semi against Argentines. 
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2009
Posts: 95
Posted: #350
Just to give some credit where its due. Nice call on both games.

Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

Let me say why I like Germany and Argentina.

Germany is playing a team that had a lot of heart but little chemistry. They barely beat Chile and then hung on against Colombia only to lose two of their stars in the process. Now that Brazil is depleted are we to believe that they will magically rally around each other, find the chemistry they were lacking and play their best ball against a German team that is better than any team they have faced thus far? Being a slight underdog might take some of the pressure off of this Brazil team, but not much. This is still Brazil and they will be expected to win. Hence, the injury and the suspension are not so much a rallying cry as they are the straw that broke the camel's back. From this vantage point, Germany to qualify is better than a 50/50 proposition.  
All Forums | Soccer
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.