MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 11, 2025. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
San Diego Padres logo SD
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Colorado Rockies logo COL
Sun, May 11 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
San Diego Padres logo
SD -1.5 (-142)
Best Odds
-2.5 -136 Novig
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
-2.5  -138
-2.5  -136
-2.5  -156

Facing Colorado right-hander German Marquez, San Diego batters have posted an impressive slash line of .354/.394/.521 over 99 at-bats. Meanwhile, Padres starter Nick Pivetta has broken out in his first season in the NL, sporting a 5-1 record and 2.01 ERA. I expect the Friars to blow out the Rockies on Sunday at Coors Field.

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New York Yankees logo NYY
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH
Sun, May 11 • 4:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total RBIs
Aaron Judge logo Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst
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Aaron Judge is hitting .403 on the road this season, so it shouldn’t come as a big surprise that he’s made himself comfortable at Sutter Health Park in this series against the A’s, with a double in Friday’s win and a pair of homers yesterday. He’s looked like the league’s best hitter with a 1.258 OPS through 39 games, and I see his bat making more noise in today’s showdown against Luis Severino, who spent eight seasons in the Yankees clubhouse. While that doesn’t equal in-game experience against the veteran righty, Judge should have a handle on Severino’s pitches and what he likes to throw in different counts, and this is a nice price for the New York slugger to drive in at least one run here.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA
Sun, May 11 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Total Bases
Bo Bichette logo Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
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Bichette is in the midst of a four-game hitting streak with six hits, five walks, and an OPS of 1.149. He’s hit this Mariners staff well too, recording a pair of hits in each game this series with three additional walks. The process has been there all season long for Bichette, but it hasn't yet yielded the results the underlying metrics suggest he should have. Bichette owns a .311 expected batting average, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among all MLB batters. His hot bat should continue into this afternoon’s ballgame as Seattle sends right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound. The Jays slugger is hitting .300 against right-handed pitching this season with an OPS of .738.

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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE
Sun, May 11 • 7:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -1.5 (+100)
Best Odds
-1.5 +112 ProphetX
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
-1.5  +112
-1.5  +108
-1.5  -111

There’s a huge pitching advantage for the Philadelphia Phillies tonight, with Zack Wheeler dialing it in across his past four starts. The veteran righty has allowed exactly two runs in each with a tidy 2.70 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 1.89 xFIP. Wheeler has also been piling up the strikeouts with 38 across 26 2/3 frames while holding opposing hitters to a miniscule .194 batting average and issuing just three free passes. The Cleveland Guardians have Luis Ortiz toeing the rubber, and he sports a career 4.27 ERA and 4.76 xFIP as a starter.

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