The MLB divisional and Wild Card races are heating up, and it’s a loaded slate with 15 games on the diamond this Friday.
My top MLB player props for September 6 have you covered for the action with a trio of starting pitcher Unders.
MLB props for September 6
- Edward Cabrera Under 5.5 strikeouts (-105 at DraftKings)
- Michael King Under 17.5 outs recorded (+145 at DraftKings)
- Cole Ragans Under 17.5 outs recorded (+120 at DraftKings)
Today’s best MLB props
Prop bet #1: Edward Cabrera Under 5.5 strikeouts
The Philadelphia Phillies are scorching along a 10-2 heater while averaging 5.17 runs per game and sporting a monster .363 wOBA. They’ve also been tough on right-handed arms all year with a 21.9 strikeout percentage and a .317 wOBA.
As a result, this isn’t a favorable matchup for Miami Marlins righty Edward Cabrera. He’s recorded four strikeouts or fewer in four of his past five starts, and his 4.23 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and 4.58 xFIP during the stretch aren’t encouraging marks, either.
The Miami starter has also served up a monster 46.6% hard-hit rate for the year, and the pitch values of his two most frequent offerings have both declined considerably from last season, per FanGraphs.
Prop bet #2: Michael King Under 17.5 outs recorded
San Diego Padres righty Michael King threw triple-digit pitches for the sixth time this season last time out, and he recorded 17 outs or fewer in four of the five following starts. The 29-year-old righty is also already up to a career-high 150 2/3 innings in his first season as a full-time starter.
While this doesn’t project as a tough matchup on the surface with the San Francisco Giants, who rank 25th in baseball with a .298 wOBA against righties, but they also rank 10th with an 8.3 BB% and sport the fourth-lowest BABIP (.268) over the past two weeks. If San Fran remains patient and a few more balls find grass on Friday night, King’s pitch count could creep up in a hurry and lead to an early exit.
King has recent command concerns, too. He’s issued 10 free passes across 15 1/3 innings through his past three starts, and his 2.93 ERA has screaming statistical correction coming given his 1.57 WHIP, 5.13 xFIP, and 11.4% barrel rate during the stretch.
Prop bet #3: Cole Ragans Under 17.5 outs recorded
The Minnesota Twins sport an eighth-ranked .324 wOBA against lefties this season, so while Kansas City Royals starter Cole Ragans has an impressive 2.50 ERA across 18 innings through three 2024 starts against the Twins, my MLB picks anticipate him failing to record 18 outs tonight.
His velocity is down across the board from last year, and it’s dropped even further over his past nine starts. The 26-year-old southpaw is also up to a career-high 161 1/3 innings and has failed to pitch six full frames in five of his past seven starts, including each of the past three.
Ragans also hasn’t been as impressive during the noted stretch with a 4.19 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 3.63 xFIP compared to respective 3.23, 1.15, and 3.34 marks across his first 21 outings of the year.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Today’s MLB games
Here is the schedule and MLB odds for today’s matchups:
