MLB Player Props for 9-5: Best Bets for Oneil Cruz, Reynaldo Lopez & Fernando Tatis Jr.

Find out why our MLB expert thinks the hit parade will continue for Oneil Cruz and Fernando Tatis Jr., and why Reynaldo Lopez will cruise vs. the Colorado Rockies on Thursday night.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 5, 2024 • 13:37 ET • 4 min read
Fernando Tatis Jr. MLB San Diego Padres
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We have a quiet Thursday on the baseball diamond with just five games taking place tonight, but there are still plenty of juicy MLB player props to sink our teeth into.

I'm betting on a big game from Pittsburgh's Oneil Cruz while also backing Fernando Tatis and Reynaldo Lopez with my best free MLB props for September 5.

MLB props for September 5

Today’s best MLB props

Prop bet #1: Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 H+R+RBI

-120 at Sports Interaction

Oneil Cruz is having a breakout season at the plate for the Pittsburgh Pirates and he's been on fire since the start of July, slashing .306/.361/.500. He also crushes the ball at PNC Park, where he slashes .315/.380/.547. 

The Washington Nationals are starting right-hander Jake Irvin, who has a 4.08 ERA through 10 starts. Irvin has really struggled over the last couple of months, pitching to a 6.55 ERA with an OBA of .305 over his last 10 starts. 

With Cruz boasting the platoon advantage against Irvin, my MLB picks think he'll have a big day. This is a five-star prop play according to THE BAT X which is projecting 2.6 H+R+RBI for Cruz today.

Prop bet #2: Reynaldo Lopez Under 1.5 earned runs allowed

+115 at bet365

Reynaldo Lopez is putting together the best season of his career, pitching to a 2.00 ERA with an OBA of .226 across 22 starts. He's been even better at home where he has a 1.72 ERA with an OBA of .211. Tonight the Atlanta Braves are hosting the Colorado Rockies, who can't hit on the road.

The Rockies are second-last in the majors in OPS (.638) away from home and they plate just 3.52 runs per game. With Lopez allowing fewer than 1.5 earned runs in six of his last eight starts, bet the Under 1.5 earned runs for him today.

Prop bet #3: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 total bases

-105 at BetMGM

Fernando Tatis Jr. returned to the San Diego Padres' lineup this week after missing more than two months with a leg injury. He went 2-for-6 with a double last night and he looks to keep rolling as the Padres wrap up a home set against the Detroit Tigers.

Tatis has issues with staying on the field but when he's in the lineup, he's one of the best hitters in the world. He had been on fire prior to hitting the IL, slashing .365/.427/.635 in June. He also hits well at home despite the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park and has excellent reverse platoon splits, slugging .524 against right-handers. 

Today, he'll face off against righty Casey Mize. Mize has a 4.25 ERA with an OBA of .286 through 17 starts, and he sits in the bottom 20th percentile in hard hit rate and exit velocity. He also struggles against right-handed hitters, allowing them to slug .474.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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