The Miami Heat lost another heartbreaker on Friday night and now will look to snap a run of three losses in four games when they take on the Chicago Bulls on no rest.
With the Heat’s backcourt defense struggling, our Bulls vs. Heat predictions will highlight how the visitors can rack up some points despite entering with a long list of injuries.
Let’s dig into some NBA player props and hand out some NBA picks on Saturday, March 8.
Bulls vs Heat prediction
My best bet
Chicago Bulls +5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
It’s a true shame that the Chicago Bulls have technically been the worst team over the last two weeks on account of their poor +0.4 Net Rating because their offense has really come to life – narrowly missing out on a top-10 spot in efficiency.
Chicago may have middling numbers across most shooting zones, but with a heavy dose of 3-point attempts and plenty of high-percentage looks at the rim it’s focused on the most efficient spots on the floor to mitigate some of the fluctuation in its numbers.
Things will get tough here with Patrick Williams and Nikola Vucevic both listed as doubtful, likely joining Ayo Dosunmu and Lonzo Ball on the bench, but Coby White should at least be able to play here, and Kevin Huerter will step in and afford the Bulls a great chance to capitalize on many of their outside looks with his recent shooting form.
The Miami Heat is giving up the third-most 3-point attempts over the last two weeks and ranks 10th-worst in defending the shot, something that’s made worse by an eighth-worst field goal percentage allowed at the rim. It’s excelled in the mid-range, but as we’ve covered, the Bulls are avoiding that area quite well.
Chicago, ironically, has been at its worst in the long mid-range while upholding excellent defense in the frontcourt thanks to Vucevic and Matas Buzelis, but with Zach Collins now behind those men, things should continue to hold strong judging by his on/off splits.
The absences should actually work in Chicago’s favor here; Josh Giddey will still be in the lineup to facilitate, and while things down low should remain firm we’ve got Huerter’s 40% 3-point shooting in the last 10 games to look forward to.
Miami has looked a little flat over its last four games and has a laundry list of vital players listed on the injury report. Even though most except for Alec Burks are looking good to play, I’m not quite as confident in the home side as the market.
Bulls vs Heat same-game parlay
Chicago Bulls +5.5
Kevin Huerter 3+ Made Threes
Josh Giddey Over 7.5 assists
We’ll take aim at Miami’s brutal 3-point defense with the aforementioned Kevin Huerter, who’s struggled to find playing time this season but should be locked into 25 or more minutes once again for a shorthanded backcourt.
The sharpshooter has shot 47.1% from deep in his last six games since beginning to find a meaningful role, averaging 8.5 attempts per game and cashing three or more outside shots in each game.
With the volume we’ve seen out of both the Bull's offense and the Heat's defense, I have plenty of faith he’ll come through again.
Then, I want to take a look at some assists with the Heat allowing the ninth-most per 100 possessions over the course of the last two weeks – and Josh Giddey will be my man.
He’s averaged 9.3 in six games since the Dosunmu injury and has hit this number four times with foul trouble holding him back from doing so a fifth time. On top of that, he’s seen 36 minutes per game over this span which is a significant increase over the usage he’d been seeing.
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Bulls vs Heat odds
Bulls vs Heat live odds
Bulls vs Heat opening odds
- Spread: Chicago +4.5 (-110) | Miami -4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Chicago (+150) | Miami (-185)
- Over/Under: Over 229.5 (-110) | Under 229.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Bulls vs Heat spread and Over/Under analysis
- The spread had been fluctuating between 3.5 and 4.5 points for most of the day before hitting 5.5 and settling back at five.
- The Heat have taken on 62% of the bets and 68% of the handle wagered on the spread.
- There’s been one-way traffic with the total, which has plummeted more than four points from where it opened.
- The Over has accounted for 66% of the tickets but just 48% of the money.
Bulls vs Heat trend
The LA Clippers have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 26 games at home (+13.40 Units / 47% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Bulls vs. Heat.
How to watch Bulls vs Heat
| Location | Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida |
| Date | Saturday, 3-8-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CHSN+, FanDuel Sports Network-SU |
Bulls vs Heat latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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