Lakers vs Kings Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Sacramento Gets the Last Laugh

Tonight’s NBA slate promises to end on a high note with an anticipated showdown between two Western Conference rivals the Los Angeles Lakers and Sacramento Kings.

Coming off of a convincing win over the Milwaukee Bucks, Sacramento will look to pick up the dub in a game NBA odds have them priced as home underdogs.

Let's get right into it with my in-depth preview and free NBA picks for the Lakers vs. Kings on Wednesday, March 13.

Lakers vs Kings odds

Lakers vs Kings predictions

We know the Sacramento Kings path to victory here will be the 3-point shot. They take it at the fourth-highest rate in the NBA according to Cleaning the Glass, but in recent games we’ve seen this team’s success rate from deep fluctuate significantly.

In the month of March, Sacramento is hitting a poor 33.8% of its shots from deep which ranks just 26th in the NBA. The good news is the Kings have been roughly a point better at home this season and are coming off a game less than 24 hours ago that saw them knock down 45% of looks from three against an improved Bucks defense.

The Los Angeles Lakers had a brief run of success in defending the three this season, but on the whole they’ve ranked in the bottom third of all teams in that regard, and this month they've allowed opponents to shoot it at a whopping 38.7%.

In chorus with continued struggles in defending at the rim, there’s certainly a cloud cast over this one. The loss of Christian Wood has hurt them a lot in the frontcourt, and the pairing of Jarred Vanderbilt and Cam Reddish, who will also be out once again, had ranked in the Top 10% of all players in estimated defensive impact according to Dunks and Threes.

Sacramento may not be shooting with great consistency, but its offense still ranks 11th in efficiency this month and features a two-pronged attack with the slashing De’Aaron Fox and big man Domantas Sabonis scoring seemingly at will around the basket.

With that, I think the Kings will be fired up as an underdog, a spot where they’ve covered the spread 61.9% of the time this season. 

Expect L.A. to struggle mightily in defending the 3-point line against a Sacramento team that has shot the three better at home, and a team that may be heating up given what we saw yesterday.

My best bet: Kings +3 (-114 at FanDuel)

Lakers vs Kings same-game parlay

Kings +3

De'Aaron Fox Over 27.5 points

Domantas Sabonis 14+ rebounds

25% boost available

+340 +425 at FanDuel

As we touched on above, the Lakers may struggle here to defend the outside shot but their frontcourt is just as liable. With that, I’m going to first attack them with Fox, who has been on excellent run against the Lakers even if his most recent games don’t inspire a ton of confidence.

Am I a coward for taking the alternate line here down a point to 27.5? Perhaps I am, but I like writing out the sentence that Fox has gone over this number in each of his three games against the Lakers — averaging 36.3 points in the three contests with a 44-point showing in their last meeting.

He’s now gone for 28 or more in five straight vs. L.A. and in eight of his last nine. With how poorly the Lakers have looked inside since the Wood injury, this is certainly a solid leg.

Then, I’m on Sabonis to grab 14 boards here, which he’s done in all three meetings in the season series. The Lakers are just 21st in rebounding rate this season and have been a great team to bet against on the glass, and helping matters is the fact Sabonis has been on an insane run in the rebounding department with 16.5 per game over his last six.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Lakers vs Kings spread and Over/Under analysis

The betting here has been rather interesting. The Kings opened up as one-point underdogs and were quickly moved to two points thanks to some early money on the Lakers. Since then, we saw this line a bit stagnant before some afternoon cash has moved the road favorites up to 2.5 and even three points at some shops.

Given what we’ve seen with the spread, it should come as no surprise Sacramento has been steadily bet from +100 to +125 on the moneyline with the number jumping marginally seemingly every half hour.

The total hasn’t fluctuated nearly as much, opening up at 239.5 points and heading down from there. It briefly dipped to 237.5 before leveling back at 238.5, coming down again to 238 for a couple of hours and then rising again to 238.5.

You can guess, then, where the big money is. DraftKings is reporting that 61% of the spread tickets and 83% of the spread handle is on the Lakers, while 60% of the tickets on the total are on the Under. With that said, it seems there’s a slight amount of big money on the Over with just 58% of the handle on the Under.

Lakers vs Kings betting trend to know

The Kings have hit the first half game total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Kings.

Lakers vs Kings game info

Lakers vs Kings latest injuries

Stay updated with the latest picks, odds, and news! Tap the to add us to your favorites on Google News to never miss a story.

Pages related to this topic