The Golden State Warriors got off to a hot start with two straight blowout wins to open the season, but Steph Curry suffered an ankle injury in Sunday’s loss. The New Orleans Pelicans lost Dejounte Murray in their opener, but are 2-1 heading into tonight's matchup at Chase Center.
The Dubs will look to get back on track without Curry in front of the home crowd, but my Pelicans vs. Warriors predictions expect the visiting team to cover as narrow favorites.
Read my NBA picks to see why you should take New Orleans and the points with tip set for 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 29.
Pelicans vs Warriors prediction
My best bet
Pelicans -1.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
My analysis
The Golden State Warriors' first two wins of the season came against the Portland Trail Blazers and Utah Jazz. Those aren’t exactly cream-of-the-crop opponents, and the Warriors dropped their home opener to a more formidable opponent in the Clippers on Sunday.
Tuesday’s matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans doesn’t get any easier, especially with Steph Curry sitting on the sidelines. Andrew Wiggins’ availability will be huge, as he leads the Warriors in scoring through three games. The Pels and Dubs play the second half of a back-to-back set on Wednesday, and it’s unclear if Wiggins will miss the first leg tonight.
Getting Wiggins on the court would give Golden State a better chance to win this contest, but I’m sticking with New Orleans even if he gets the green light. From top to bottom, the Pels will have a more talented team on the floor tonight.
Over the last five seasons, the Warriors are 157-103 straight up with Curry and 27-34 without him. Golden State is +4.4 with him and -3.1 without him. New Orleans won and covered in both games played at Chase Center last season, and that’s the pick again tonight with Curry sidelined.
Pelicans vs Warriors same-game parlay (SGP)
Pelicans -1.5
Brandon Ingram Over 29.5 pts+reb+ast
CJ McCollum Over 2.5 steals+blocks
CJ McCollum leads New Orleans in scoring, but I’m turning my attention to a much more profitable endeavor. McCollum is averaging a robust three steals and 0.7 blocks this season, and he’s hit the Over on this line in two of three games.
He averaged exactly two steals+blocks in three matchups with the Warriors last season, and I like him to cash this prop tonight. With Murray sidelined, McCollum is averaging a monstrous 35.3 minutes per game and leads the team in steals. There are too many quality scorers, rebounders, and facilitators on this team, so I’ll turn to defense and add this +145 prop to our three-leg parlay to beef it up a bit.
Brandon Ingram is off to a quick start this season, averaging 22.7 points, 7.7 rebounds, and four assists. Not counting Murray, Ingram is second on the team in scoring and assists and leads New Orleans in rebounds.
The Pels lost Jonas Valanciunas in the offseason, and the team’s center rotation includes consummate backup Daniel Theis and rookie Yves Missi. Ingram is using his height and length to clean the glass, and Golden State is middle-of-the-pack in opponent rebounding.
Ingram has posted PRA totals of 28, 33, and 42, so hitting the Over on this prop seems like an excellent wager, especially with odds as long as -105 at BetMGM.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Pelicans vs Warriors odds
Pelicans vs Warriors live odds
Get the latest Pelicans vs Warriors NBA odds.
Pelicans vs Warriors opening odds
- Spread: New Orleans -1 (-115) | Golden State +1 (-105)
- Moneyline: New Orleans -120 | Golden State +100
- Over/Under: Over 220 (-110) | Under 220 (-110)
Pelicans vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis
- New Orleans has won two of its first three games of the season but is 1-2 against the spread.
- Golden State is 2-1 straight up and 2-1 ATS.
- The Pelicans have hit the Over in two of three games.
- The Warriors are second in the NBA in points per game (123.7) but 1-2 to the Under.
Pelicans vs Warriors trend
Over the last 10 matchups between the Pelicans and Warriors, both teams are 5-5 straight up and 5-5 ATS. The Under has hit in six of those games. Last season, the Pelicans won the regular-season series 2-1 and covered in both of those games. The two wins came on the road at Chase Center. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Warriors.
Pelicans vs Warriors game info
| Location: | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date: | Tuesday, 10-29-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TNT |
Pelicans vs Warriors latest injuries
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