NBA Rising Stars Game Picks: Thompson Spearheads Versatile Roster

The NBA's budding stars are set to take the court at Chase Center tonight, and Andrew Caley expects Team Mitch Richmond to be a force at +150.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Feb 14, 2025 • 12:52 ET • 4 min read
Amen Thompson Houston Rockets NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Houston Rockets forward Amen Thompson brings the ball up the court.

The NBA Rising Stars Challenge will continue its tournament format this season, with the game taking place in San Francisco.

The three teams of rookies and sophomores will be coached by the legendary Run TMC trio — featuring Tim Hardaway, Mitch Richmond, and Chris Mullin. They will once again be joined by a G League team, which will be coached by Jeremy Lin.

The semifinal matchups are a race to the target score of 40 before a finals matchup with a target score of 25. I break down all the rosters and bring you my NBA picks for the Rising Stars showcase on Friday, February 14.

NBA Rising Stars team odds

Team bet365
Team Mitch Richmond +150
Team Chris Mullin +200
Team Tim Hardaway +320
Team Jeremy Lin +600

Odds as of 2-14

2025 Rising Stars Challenge Picks

Team Chris Mullin vs. Team Tim Hardaway predictions

Team Chris Mullin Team Tim Hardaway
-150 Moneyline +125
-2.5 (-115) Spread +2.5 (-105)
Over 75.5 (-110) Total Under 75.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365.

Chris Mullen’s squad is favored in this semi-final matchup because it boasts the flashiest group of rookies among the four teams, including three of the Top 5 favorites to win Rookie of the Year. 

San Antonio Spurs guard Stephon Castle leads the way, averaging 12.9 points and 3.5 assists per game this season. Castle will pair nicely with Memphis Grizzlies big man Zach Edey, while Jaylen Wells and Dalton Knecht should provide some shooting for this team.

However, don’t overlook Tim Hardaway’s team. Hardaway's team features the top two picks in the NBA Draft, Zaccharie Risacher and Alex Sarr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Brandin Podziemski were also both named to the NBA All-Rookie First Team, while Gradey Dick is enjoying a breakout sophomore season with the Toronto Raptors, averaging 15.0 ppg.

Not only does Team Tim Hardaway have more experience, but they have the shooting and defensive versatility to get the job done in this semi-final matchup. Give me the underdogs to win this one outright.

My best bet: Team Tim Hardaway moneyline (+125 at bet365)

Team Jeremy Lin vs. Team Mitch Richmond predictions

Team Jeremy Lin Team Mitch Richmond
+180 Moneyline -220
+4.5 (-110) Spread -4.5 (-110)
Over 73.5 (-110) Total Under 73.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365.

This year’s G League team will once again be led by honorary coach Jeremy Lin. However, unlike past years with standout prospects like Scoot Henderson or Ron Holland, this year’s crop isn’t as highly touted.

Speaking of Henderson, he was on Mitch Richmond’s team, before being ruled out with an injury. But even without him, the Hall of Fame shooting guard has built himself a strong squad.

Richmond's team is led by the Thompson Twins, Amen and Ausar. Both are playing great basketball this season, but Amen in particular has taken a leap with the Rockets, averaging 16.5 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 5.4 rebounds per game since becoming a starter at the beginning of January.

Team Mitch also rosters Washington Wizards youngsters Bub Carrington and Bilal Coulibaly. Combined with his team's familiarity with each other, they should overmatch this G League team and cover the spread. 

My best bet: Team Mitch Richmond -4.5 (-110 at bet365)

Rising Stars outright pick

The Thompson Twins are going to be unstoppable on Friday night. The roster is full of wings who can switch everywhere on defense, and they are dynamic when it comes to getting buckets. 

Team Mitch has the easiest path to the Rising Stars Challenge final. They face one of the weaker G League squads in recent years, while the matchup between Team Mullin and Team Hardaway should be much more competitive.

If Team Hardaway pulls off the upset, Team Mitch will be a clear favorite. And if Team Mullin advances, Mitch’s squad still holds the matchup advantage — especially with Yves Missi going head-to-head against Edey.

The Thompson Twins shine here with Amen capturing MVP, bringing home the trophy for Coach Mitch.

My best bet: Team Mitch Richmond (+150 at bet365)

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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